02/25/2016 3:18PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 2/27 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5,6/6/2,4,5/1,2,7/1,3,4,9 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,7/1,3,4,9/1,7,9/3,5 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 3,5/7/1,7/2,3,6 = $12

MEET STATS: 261 - 818 / $1374.60  BEST BETS: 42 - 76 / $149.90

SPOT PLAYS: 18 - 76 / $196.90

Best Bet: HOUSE OF TERROR (8th)

Spot Play: ER QUINN (6th)

Race 1

(6) KINETIC KING takes a big class drop and won a class higher on Dec. 21; top call in the opener. (3) OLE JACK MAGIC was a big winner when last in this class and should enjoy this easier company. (5) HUBBY NUMBER ONE also takes a class drop and should get a more aggressive steer.

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Race 2

(6) NICKLE BAG was a ridiculously easy winner last week and now shoots for five straight wins. He's tough to go against in his current form. (1) RISE UP NOW should offer some exacta value here returning to a 7-day cycle. (5) NIRVANA SEELSTER was 2nd to the choice last week and has been racing well for several weeks. He should make the ticket again.

Race 3

(5) CAJON LIGHTNING could get a perfect trip behind his stablemate here and should offer the higher price. (2) RAFA fought off several challenges last week but was picked off late. He should be the pacesetter again but needs more late speed. (4) HALF A BILLION scored at huge odds last week aided by a big mid-race battle for the lead; however, his improvement should be respected.

Race 4

(1) YOUR MY SECRET takes a class drop here and should get a much more aggressive steer vs. weaker. (7) MISCHIEVOUSGIRLS also takes the plunge and is sure to be heard from late. (2) MACHET ROCKET has raced well for the Byrons and has an upset chance here is she can carve out an energy-saving following trip.

Race 5

(4) GRIN FOR MONEY overcame terrible cover last week to finish a strong 2nd. He should be able to work out a much better trip here; top call. (1) THE BIG YEAR should get away better here and have some pace to chase. He could upset if he finds the right helmet to follow. (9) VELOCITY DRIVEN takes a big class drop here and will likely be heavily bet but the outer post could be his undoing.

Race 6

(9) E R QUINN was expertly driven to a huge upset last week by Filion. He did show he fits in this class, however, and may go off at a square price here from an outside post; slight nod. (1) BETTER ART should get a better trip this week starting from the inside, using. (7) GRITS N GRAVY has improved racing in this class and is in with an upset chance here.

Race 7

(5) MOHAWK WARRIOR closed strongly last week despite missing 3 weeks action. Returning to a 7-day cycle should make him even tougher here; on top. (3) CROCADILE CANYON went a very big trip at long odds and is one to toss on Pick 4 tickets with the improvement he has shown recently. (4) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY returns home and rejoins Menary's stable. He is certainly good enough to beat these if he is ready to fire his best shot.

Race 8

(7) HOUSE OF TERROR made two moves and drew off to an impressive win last week. If he produces anything close to that mile here he is a repeat winner. (9) SPORTSMANSHIP closed strongly but still couldn't get near the choice last week. He could improve in his 2nd start of the year, however. (10) SINGLE WHITE SOCK was interfered with while making a big move on the final turn last week and he could offer some good value in the exotic wagers here.

Race 9

(7) TRACK MASTER D makes only his second start ever in a claiming race. The first time he was tagged on January 30th he jogged and was taken. History likely repeats here. (1) ONE WARRAWEE debuts for Johnson off the claim and looks like the only real threat to the choice. (5) U F BETTORS HANOVER will be passing horses late but needs a slowing late pace to make the exacta.

Race 10

(6) EASY LOVER HANOVER goes for his third straight win since coming north and handles these with a reasonable trip. (2) SMALLTOWN TERROR has raced great in both conditioned tries and should get a favorable pace setup here. (3) MITT JAGGER should improve making his 2nd start of the year and could seek out a trip rather than race from the front. (8) SABINE PASS will be closing late and is a good bet to hit the Super. (7) YOURE MY HERO was an impressive winner on the barn change but these are a lot tougher; minor share predicted.

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