02/21/2013 3:08PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 2/23 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (8 - 19 / $28.80): NOWUCIT NOWUDONT (5th)      Spot Play: BOOGIE WOOGIE (8th)

Race 1

(2) MEGO MOSS was hard-used to earn the front last week and that took its toll on him as he tired late in the mile to finish second. If he doesn't have to use a :27 opening quarter again to earn the front, I like his chances even though he's moving up in class. (5) HOUSE OF CASH won at this level last week and the trip worked out. He enjoys racing from behind and that will likely happen again. (1) KENDRA HANOVER finally draws inside and has been very consistent this season. She also likes to be involved in the race early.

Race 2

(8) ANDERLECHT finished third in the Preferred in his most recent outing and that makes him a top contender in here as he drops in class. Vrablic's barn has been terrific so far this season and he's got a great shot to win. (1) WINDFALL BLUE CHIP also drops out of the Preferred and draws inside again. He's a good option to consider for second as he finished his mile with a lot of pace last week with his :26 4/5 final frame. (2) INTHEBLINKOFANEYE comes out of the Allard barn, which will decrease his price, draws inside and finished fourth in the Preferred last week. Don't expect value.

Race 3

(2) MODERN LEGEND got interfered with in the final of the Presidential in his most recent start. He hasn't raced since January 26, which is a concern of mine, but he should be able to handle this group. (6) CASIMIR JITTERBUG is likely the only horse that can defeat MODERN LEGEND. He's won three-straight at the Preferred level and that can't be overlooked. (3) SPARKY MARK hasn't missed the board yet this season and will offer a very low price. These three horses likely will get the most attention in this field.

Race 4

(8) CHASIN RACIN debuts for new trainer Montini and that's the major reason for my selection. He's at the bottom level and posted a respectable qualifier on February 7.  (9) WORLD AWAY draws outside again and he's a much better horse than he's been showing. I hope his gate-speed comes into effect and he's involved in the race early. (1) PEENIE went a very tough trip last week and I'm looking for a better effort. He draws inside and comes out of Johnson's barn.

Race 5

(9) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT is the obvious choice in here after winning two of his last three starts at this level. Even with a post nine start, he's the horse to beat. (5) BURNIN MONEY hasn't missed the board in her last three starts, all in this class. He likes to race from behind and is a very good option to consider. (2) COOL GUY draws well once again and has terrific gate-speed. I'm not sure if I'd like to see him on the front in this race because he tends to tire late in the mile.

Race 6

(5) JJ SHARK conquered the Valedictory series before getting some time off. He's now back after a very good qualifying effort and if he races like he did in the Valedictory, he's a major contender. (7) POP COP has developed into a very nice horse. He can race on or near the front or from off-the-pace. Hudon has options on how to steer him and he's certainly worth a look. (2) ST LADS ZOOM ZOOM is coming off a pair of very impressive wins at Western Fair. I feel he's a one-dimensional horse and has to be on the front. He's certainly capable in here.

Race 7

(1) SPEED AGAIN did all the work last week and tired late in the stretch to finish fifth. He's a much better horse than he's been showing and I'm looking for a better effort. (2) THEPANINSULAHOTEL has a good on-the-board record this season and gets Filion back as a driver. He usually offers a price and that likely will continue. (3) UPFRONT HOOSIERBOY got parked the entire mile at Kawartha Downs in his most recent start and the race before he paced his mile in 1:51 4/5. Any type of repeat effort and he's a very playable horse.

Race 8

(5) BOOGIE WOOGIE is my spot play of the night. His last two starts he came first-over and that's not his best racing style. If he's positioned second-over or in the pocket, I like his chances. In this class, he should provide a price. (1) NORTHERN SPARK has hard-used in the mile last week and still finished fourth. From post one, he can dictate his own trip and Fellows' barn has been much better in recent weeks. (2) PROTEGE SEELSTER came from well off-the-pace last week for the win. He moves up in class, but he races like he did last start, I think he can be top three.

Race 9

(6) WHIPPET GOOD has post 10 last start and was unable to overcome it. The last time he was at this level, he finished second and third. He draws much better and I'm expecting a competitive effort. Look for him late in the mile. (3) OVERCARD provided high odds last week and finished second. He draws well again and is a playable horse for the exactor or triactor.  (2) AS DUHARAS finally draws inside and I think he'll make the most of it. The addition of lasix has appeared to help, as he's been top three in two of his last three starts.

Race 10

(5) NO BU will likely be the post time favourite after his sizzling win at The Meadowlands in his most recent outing. He draws a good post again and comes out of the Allard barn. (1) SING FOR ME GEORGE has been racing very well in his last number of starts. He's a very versatile horse and at this level, he's a major contender. (6) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE has scored back-to-back wins for top trainer Moreau and has been performing at his best. He's certainly capable in here, but I'm not convinced he can beat NO BU.

Race 11

(1) DRAIN DADDY returns to the level that he won at two starts ago. He draws inside and will likely be the post time favourite. (8) NATURAL HABITAT came from well back last week to finish second and begins from the same post. I wouldn't expect to see much value on him. (5) MONTE CRISTO is a natural closer and provided the right trip and honest fractions, he's a very playable horse, especially in this class.

 

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