01/29/2015 3:30PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/31 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,3,10 / 4,6,8 / 1,3,5 / 4,6 = $54

MEET STATS: 25 - 73 / $153.90  BEST BETS: 2 - 7 / $13.20  SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 7 / $28.40



Race 1

(6) URBANA BAYAMA has strung together two excellent efforts showing good speed both early and late. He should be prominent throughout again. (2) PUSH BACK was aggressively driven to a blowout win by Allard last Saturday but these are a bit tougher and he will need more late speed. (3) NIRVANA SEELSTER faces easier but missed a week and always seems to get shuffled; mixed signals.

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Race 2

(2) PAPER BACKED LINDY raced Monday night vs. tougher and showed little from an outer post. A return to the form displayed in his penultimate race would be no surprise here. (1) EW FISHER has reeled off three straight easy wins since shipping north and is likely to be a big chalk here; the one to overhaul. (7) SLIP INTO GLIDE takes a big drop into a field he should be able to handle but he's missed some time and goes for an ice-cold barn. Beware taking a short price on the win end here.

Race 3

This is a competitive but compact Preferred group. We'll give top call to (4) NICKLE BAG who went a crazy-good overland mile last out but fell just short to one that crafted a perfect trip. (1) CAMAES FELLOW was pushed to a much faster 3/4 than normal by the choice and faltered as a result. You know where he's heading when the gate pulls away; must be chased down. (3) FRANKIES DRAGON made the most of a pocket journey and rewarded his many backers. A repeat is within his scope. (6) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS rallied smartly to win a class lower and has a recency edge on the ones above. He needs some battling to have a chance though, which is hard to predict in a short field.

Race 4

Despite his far outer post, the pace shape of this race seems to fall right into (10) I SCOOT SAM's wheelhouse; expecting another swoop late. (2) UNIQUE BARAN was 2 for 2 off the claim for Stewart but was taken by Blake MacIntosh Monday night and he wheels him right back quickly in this higher class. He has to be on pick 4 tickets in his current form. (3) SPARTACUS JIMA debuts with Lasix for Auciello off a layoff. He can be ready to do some damage.

Race 5

(6) SIX BAX was called to win last Saturday but had to trot in 27 1/5 in his third 1/4 just to get into contention which took its toll. This one is ready to win but needs a good steer. (8) JUST CALL ME LADY came with a big rush first time off the claim and was gaining rapidly at the wire. She has really picked it up the past month and is a solid contender again. (4) LIMITLESS shipped in from Dover and bossed a much weaker group. These are tougher - especially the top two.

Race 6

(1) ALEXAS JACKPOT was stung to the tune of 26 3.5 while parked in the third 1/4 last week chasing an unbeatable winner taking a big edge. He gets top call here from the rail. (3) MACHAL JORDAN exits the same heat and was cooked first-over. These look a bit easier. (5) WORLD AWAY drops back to a class where he is in the mix and could very well carve himself out a winning pocket trip here.

Race 7

Several that raced Monday return quickly in this highly-competitive dash. We'll give the edge to (4) FORK who showed nice closing power considering he had missed a month. The quickback has to help this one and he's beaten better in the past. (6) NORTHERN VICTORY was at the mercy of a leader that stole a pedestrian third 1/4 and he still almost got up on the inside. He's in top form now and is the main threat. (8) WATKINS came barreling up the inside late on a night where his trainer was winning everything. He's sharp now and shouldn't be dismissed too easily.

Race 8

(5) GOLDSTAR BADLANDS' first start over Woodbine was pretty good as he camped out at the back but managed to pass half the field in the lane. We'll give him top call to best a field of underachievers. (2) ROCK ME AMASTREOUS raced well enough in this class from the 10-hole two back to take this; the main danger. (6) MONTE CHRISTO is sure to take big money as he always does and almost just as sure to be a beaten favorite again.

Race 9

(1) RESISTANCE FUTILE raced great from the 10-hole last time losing narrowly to two dropping from the Preferred. Top call here. (6) JOSHUA MY BOY also had the misfortune of facing one dropping from the top class that blew the field away. He has been razor-sharp in two starts off the claim for Puddy. (3) GD AIRLINER had no shot of showing his late foot the way his dash played out. He could be powering up here late.

Race 10

(2) HES A SENSATION gets the call to repeat here stepping slightly up in class. There should be enough early pace and decent flow to set up his charge. (6) TOUCH OF LIGHTNING keeps outperforming his odds and should get a piece of this at another decent quote on the tote. (3) LEAFS AND WINGS got trapped in last week and was motoring noticeably late. Keep him on your pick 4 tickets. (4) JOLT OF WHISKEY has stepped up his late speed in his last couple and could hit the vertical wagers here at a monster price. (7) ROAR looks obvious on paper but the 28-day break in action is concerning. We'll try to beat him.

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