01/28/2016 3:20PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/30 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 4,7/2,4,9/4,5,7/2,5,6,8/1,6 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,6,8/1,6/4,8,9/2,5,9 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 2,5,9/2,6/2,7,8/3 = $18

MEET STATS: 212 - 666 / $1134.20  BEST BETS: 34 - 61 / $115.80

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 61 / $183.80

Best Bet: AVATARTIST (10th)


Race 1

(4) WITCH DALI returns from a break and goes for the top trainer here. She looks ready to roll based on the wicked late speed displayed in her qualifier. (7) ONE HOT MAJORETTE has been one of the hottest horses on the grounds the past few weeks and can't be dismissed here. (3) TOTAL LEE lost her cover when the eventual winner cleared past the 1/2 last week but she kept coming. She needs a trip but can win this if she gets it.

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Race 2

(4) MY KID SISTER raced in this lowest conditioned class for the 2nd time straight last week and made a threatening move into the stretch but couldn't sustain it. She looks like one of few contenders here. (9) SANTO DOMINGO was a closing 2nd last time in this class and will likely offer some value starting from an outer slot here. (2) TWIGGYS TWICK figures here based on recent form, but notice she manages to finish 3rd in exactly 1/3 of her starts.

Race 3

(7) UF BETTORS HANOVER was beaten by one that took advantage of a perfect trip last week. The short field plays into his hand here and he will be coming late. (5) IDOLE DUHARAS took advantage of a great trip to beat the choice but also figures to get a good trip here up near the front. (4) TRACK MASTER D ships back to the big track and fits well here in for a tag.

Race 4

(2) BRINGHOME THEBLUE had lots of company looking for the lead early last time and couldn't get his preferred trip. He should get better position at the start here which makes him very tough. (8) LEGION OF BOOM was a powerful winner vs. lesser but the slowing pace helped. Most of these don't look that much tougher, though. (6) MACH CODE had an excellent comeback try off the shelf last week and better positioning here would make him a threat to win this.

Race 5

(1) MOHAWK WARRIOR continues to roll through these conditioned races and will be tough to beat here. (6) MACHAL JORDAN drops a couple of classes which is when he usually does his best work; beware. (9) COOL ROCK is in top form but will likely be trying to pass them all late. He isn't impossible but needs some luck.

Race 6

(4) GIRL DRAMA drops down to the class where she does her best work and should rolling up late here; top call. (9) BROADWAY PRINCE also drops to the lowest level and should show much more here. (8) UTOPIA raced decently last time chasing a loose leader and is another that rates highly here.

Race 7

(5) ER QUINN showed rapid improvement in two starts for owner/trainer Weller since a private sale in November, taking a new life's mark last week vs. lesser. Catch him while he's hot. (9) TOWER OF POWER lost all hope at the start in the Snowshoe series final. The class drop here makes him a big threat. (2) KING OF DELIGHT showed good speed most of the way last week and is another in with a shot here.

Race 8

(6) NICKLE BAG looked like his old self last week, powering up late in an impressive effort. He will have a strong pace to chase here, too; call to repeat. (2) RISE UP NOW had a rough first-over trip in the same dash and faded late. He is more dangerous closing late and will likely revert to that style here. (7) PRESCOTTS HOPE continues to race well but will likely have some early company looking for the front here.

Race 9

(7) CAJON LIGHTNING missed four weeks prior to last week's late fade. Returning in 7 days here should make all the difference for him. (2) DIGGIN IN was an unlucky loser, beat by one that sat a covered third the entire trip and came out very late in the stretch. He continues to be a threat. (8) PROVEN DESIRE closed powerfully late last week and trainer Brealey goes to his main driver here; consider.

Race 10

(3) AVATARTIST drops a few levels here and is sharp and ready to beat a group like this; coast-to-coast. (6) TENDTOWIN was a good 2nd last time he raced in this class three weeks ago and should offer some value in the exotics. (5) BIG CITY JEWEL also steps down in class and will be coming late. (7) THE BIG YEAR beat easier powerfully but may find the class-droppers a bit too tough here. (4) SOUTHWIND AMAZON is usually around at the finish at this level and should be used in lower rungs of exotic wagers.   

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:35 p.m.]