12/07/2017 3:46PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/9 Analysis


Best Bet: RENEGADE MAGIC (7th)

Spot Play: LIGHTS GO OUT (1st)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 9/2,3,6,8/1,3,4,7/3,6,7,8/3,7 = $25.60

EARLY PICK 4: 3,6,7,8/3,7/2,3/1,5 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 1,5/6,7/3,6,7/5,6,9 = $36

MEET STATS: 86 - 280 / $505.10  BEST BETS: 15 - 27 / $61.80

SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 27 / 100.60

Race 1

(9) LIGHTS GO OUT has been sharp for weeks, but victim of some adventurous trips. With the drop in class, don't be surprised if Hudon leaves hard with her here and wires this field. (4) BOURBON SEELSTER had a comeback race, now she drops, moves inside and picks up a local veteran driver. She's a threat here. (6) AINTSHEASWEETIE has a good closing kick and she could take this with some luck. (8) SHES LIGHTS OUT is in good form and she can leave then hang around for a share here.

Race 2

(3) CASIMIR JITTERBUG lacked room in the lane last week and he picks up Henry here, who should provide an aggressive steer; top call. (8) CULTURAL PARADISE gets McNair for a second start after missing more than a month between starts last time. He should improve here. (2) COOL ROCK races well for Filion and he could get a slowing late pace to close into here; using. (6) FANCOURT has been in some quick miles recently and he isn't out of this.

Race 3

I'll take a stab with (1) REBELLIOUS here in the opening leg of this stakes series. He is capable of coming up with a huge mile without warning and he should be a big price in here. (3) BEACH PRO raced tough last time making several moves. An better trip puts him right there. (7) JK PRIDENJOY is sent out for a high percentage barn and he picks up the leading driver; using. (4) HURRIKANE KINGKONG had a decent start over the track and he is another that could take this contentious dash with a trip.

Race 4

(6) THIS DRAGON ROCKS motored home to just miss last week and she gets a better post here; top call. (7) DAWN SHOOTER slid up the inside late to just miss. She should be prominent again here racing near the front. (8) V STRING can go better here picking up Lasix; using. (9) EVERY TIME steps up off a narrow win, but she has been sharp for a few weeks and these may not be out of reach for her right now.

Race 5

(7) ROCKIN WIZARD drops and moves to a post that is better to leave hard from; slight nod. (3) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE makes his third start in 10 days, but, he's as sharp as they come and a must-use here for me. (6) HES A SENSATION figures to take a share at this level. (1) TOTALLY KISSED is worth a look for the bottom of exotic bets starting from the inside.

Race 6

(2) BETTER B ROLLING unleashed some serious third 1/4 speed last week to take control, then he showed some grit late in holding a challenger at bay; call to repeat. (3) ARTOFFICIAL FLAVOR was flying late and just missed catching the choice. He will likely be the main danger here. (5) TUXEDO BAY wasn't used at all last week. Keep him in mind here if he gets ignored in the wagering, because he could pop at a price. (4) TWOMACSONESHADOW beat easier, but he is hard to toss with such good form. He should be in the thick of things here.

Race 7

(1) RENEGADE MAGIC was an easy winner two starts back in this class from this same post position, then she raced okay a class higher. She should be tough here back at the non-winners of $10K last five starts class. (5) O NARUTAC PERFETTO is in solid form and gets a much better post. He is the one the choice should fear. (4) POP I has raced well since shipping in and he figures to take another share here. (9) TOTALLY RIPPED can pass a few of these late to finish on the edges.

Race 8

(7) AWESOMENESS has returned to the races in razor-sharp form and he should take these with anything close to a repeat of his last effort. (6) AMERICAN VIRGIN gets McNair back here which should mean an aggressive try is coming. (1) NIRVANA SEELSTER drops, but he will likely find the top two choices tough to beat; small share predicted. (5) CHAMPAGNE PHIL steps up off a nice win but he is likely to be a fringe player vs. the three chosen ahead of him.

Race 9

(7) ALWAYS N THE MONEY makes his second start out of the Cullen barn after closing quickly last week and he has some speed to chase here. He can mow these down in the lane. (3) PHYSICALLYINCLINED was a narrow loser in fast time two starts back with Roy driving and he returns here; using. (6) MACH CODE was used up early last time and tired as a result. He is a contender here, but he has to be careful to not suffer the same fate. (1) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN has improving form and he's one to consider for vertical wagers.

Race 10

It's hard to ignore the driver change to McNair on (9) IMSPORTY here, and it's an angle that continues to provide some good prices. I'll give this one the nod. (5) EAST END raced first up vs. tougher and he should enjoy the class drop here. (6) P L JACKSON is racing well using an aggressive approach and he merits inclusion here. (3) MR CARROTS is in good form, but rarely wins. I'll use him on the bottom here. (10) NICKLE BAG qualified well and he can obviously win in this class, but winter is where he makes hay and he may be driven conservatively from this post in his first start in three months.

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