01/26/2017 4:40PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/28 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 8 / 2,3,9 / 1,4,6,7 / 1,3,5 / 1,3,7,8 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5 / 1,3,7,8 / 2,4,7 / 2,3 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 2,3 / 3,5,6 / 1,2 / 3,5,6,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 88 - 354 / $496.10

BEST BETS: 14 - 33 / $54.50

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 32 / $56.60

Best Bet: D GS PESQUERO (1st)

Spot Play: DON MCWHITE (4th)

Race 1

(8) D GS PESQUERO won easily last time she dropped to this level. She should be formidable here. (4) KIWI FOCUS N scored a sharp win at a similar level last week. She is unlikely to get a comparable easy trip on the lead, but she is still dangerous. (6) HOT SPOT HANOVER gets along well with driver Macdonald and he returns here. (1) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK should share off a following trip near the front.

Race 2

(9) LIFE STRIKES has recorded seven wins and she gets into this non-winners of three on an earnings allowance. She should be tough coming off a lifetime best score. (3) ABSOLUT SEELSTER wasn’t far behind in a similar class here two back; using. (2) WITHAHEARTTOMATCH won last time Henry drove and he returns here; consider. (8) PICK UP THE TAB can take a share racing from close range here.

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Race 3

(4) SPORTSMANSHIP is sharp now and he could get the best trip in a race where it looks like any one of the seven entered could win with the right trip. (6) J JS DELIVERY was a great claim and he has been on a big roll, but these are tougher and he could be an underlay here. (7) TRACEUR HANOVER must be considered dropping from the top class; note he won off a similar class drop in November. (1) MACH CODE steps up off a sharp win. Consider him for the bottom of the exotics at a price.

Race 4

(1) DON MCWHITE was purchased by trainer Johnson for himself and a partner. He debuts for those connections here and has the ability to beat these; top call. (5) THE WAYFARING MAN drops and he should be tight enough now to make an impression. (3) PROVEN DESIRE raced well in this class last week. He’s a threat from close range here. (2) IDEAL JET should be good for another smaller share.

Race 5

(8) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS steps up off two solid wins for Auciello. A threepeat is within his scope here in his current sharp condition. (1) HALF A BILLION picks up Jamieson here and he should get a good setup for his late charge. (3) RESISTANCE FUTILE steps up off a win that was easier than it looks on paper; using. (7) CARACCI HANOVER class drops but he is in poor form. He will likely get rolled early by Henry. Its hard to say if he will be around at the finish.

Race 6

(2) READY ANY TIME has turned into a bit of a money burner, but she was beaten by a very strong winner last week and she does look best here. I’ll give her a cautious nod. (7) ONE TOO MANY was narrowly beaten by a rival that came back to win easily from the 10-hole; using. (4) DEVILS ADVOCATE will contend if she stays flat, which is always the main concern with her. (1) SWAN FOR DEE can be closer here if she gets a better start, but the rail is tricky at this track – especially for trotters.

Race 7

(3) BRINGHOME THEBLUE gets class relief and McNair back here. Expect a big try. (2) AUDREYS DREAM got bet like he couldn’t lose last week then he passed them all in the back 1/2. He is too sharp to ignore right now. (5) MACH ON THE BEACH was flying late last week; consider for exotics. (6) VEGAS ROCKS is also worth a look on the class drop.

Race 8

(3) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT should be within striking range here starting from a better post; top call. (6) MAJOR HILL comes off a sharp qualifier and he looks ready to roll for his debut for the leading trainer. (5) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE showed some ability last year and he is worth a look debuting for Cullen. (1) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP should be forwardly placed and stick around for a slice.

Race 9

(1) NICKLE BAG went a tough mile and just missed last week. He will likely get an aggressive steer in this short field and I’ll give him a slight nod over (2) ALEXAS JACKPOT, who will look to control things again and should go a long way on the lead. (4) THREE OF CLUBS will be first off the gate likely and he can stick around and make the ticket. (5) COMPANY MAN is in good form and comes off a decent try at this level. He is another to consider for the bottom of exotic bets.

Race 10

(6) JUSTICE JET has been too far out of position in his past two starts. Maybe Jamieson can wake him up starting from the best post here. (3) HUBBY NUMBER ONE closed into an accelerating late pace last week. He is sharp and fits well here. (8) ESCUELA comes off a sharp win in the top class at London on Tuesday; beware. (5) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS is likely to be much closer early here starting from the middle of the gate. He’s not out of this. (2) KINETIC KING moved early last time and tired late. Expect reverse tactics here.