12/05/2013 5:11PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/7 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: SHELBY’S COBRA (9th)

Spot Play: CONOR’S ACCORD (11th)

Race 1

(5) BURNIN MONEY drops to the bottom class and draws better. He's overdue for a win. (9) SURVEILLANCE has finished second in each of his last two starts. He has the speed and if properly positioned, he's capable in this class. (10) O U GUS will have to overcome the outside, but he hit the board last week in this class and gets Waples in the bike.

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Race 2

(6) APPRENTICE HANOVER scored a sizzling win last week with a terrific final quarter. He faces many of the same rivals once again. (4) COUGAL HALL has a terrific record this season and just missed to APPRENTICE HANOVER. He'll likely take a lot of money once again in here. (2) ASLAN draws inside, is fresh off a win and gets Jamieson in the bike.

Race 3

(1) AQUANILLA gets the rail, drops in class and has a high win percentage this season. (5) CHUCKALO CADEN enjoys leaving the gate, gets Jamieson back in the bike and will look for a rebound effort from last week. (6) VACATION DAY comes out of the Auciello barn and has a lot of back class in his favour. He's trip dependant, and should get a clean trip from post six.

Race 4

(9) BLUE CHIP SUNSHINE has the speed and moves into the Moreau barn. That's the main reason for my selection. (2) WINNING DREAM draws inside and has hit the board in each of his last three starts. He has gate-speed and has Jamieson aboard. (3) TOP GEAR won in this class two starts ago, but tends to be very inconsistent. He should offer a fair price.

Race 5

(1) EXCUSE ME PLEASE moved into the Cherwaiko barn two starts ago and has yet to miss the board. He gets the rail and is a logical option at this bottom level. (3) HIDDEN IDENTITY draws inside and has terrific gate-speed. He likely will offer a high price and is capable provided the correct trip. (4) IGOTTOKEEPONMOVING comes from a top trotting barn, has been racing very consistently and has a good record this season.

Race 6

(7) DRAIN DADDY finished second by a nose last week in this class. He was timed in 1:50 and a repeat effort should be able to seal the win. (5) RED BUGLER drops in class and has raced well this season despite no wins. He finally drops in class and should get some attention. (9) THATS THE LIFE has the record in his favour this season. He's been racing well and likely will offer a price.

Race 7

(2) SPARKY MARK drops significantly in class. He draws inside, has terrific gate speed and will offer a low price. (8) MYSTICIAN has a good record this season, comes out of the Gillis barn and gets class relief. (9) FRANKIES DRAGON draws outside once again, but raced terrific late week in the debut for O'Sullivan. He moves up in class but appears capable of making the transition.

Race 8

(4) SLIP INTO GLIDE drops in class and raced very well last week. He closed well and comes from a top trotting barn. (5) ZEUS LIGHTNING made a miscue last week and recovered to win. He moves up in class, but has terrific back class and draws well. (2) WINDSONG GEANT moves into the Herlihy barn, draws inside and may offer a fair price. He made a break last start for previous trainer Zeron and may have a few equipment changes this week.

Race 9

(2) SHELBYS COBRA draws the two-hole and drops in class. He raced in the Preferred just two starts ago and comes from a very high percentage trainer. (4) GENESEE draws inside, has a good record this season and comes out of Moreau's barn. He has the speed and is capable of moving up in class. (8) COOL ROCK has a terrific late kick and drops in class. If he isn't too far back, he's a top candidate turning for home.

Race 10

(3) BREES CREEK has some time off and raced very well last start in his first start back. That sets him up well for this week and should be put into play. (6) OK FANTASTIC was against strong company last week, but still was timed in 1:51 4/5. He's in lighter in here and enjoys racing from behind. (4) BURNING SHORE has a strong record this season and will offer a price. He draws well and will need a trip.

Race 11

(5) CONORS CONCORD got away too far back last week, but draws better in here. He gets Jamieson back in the bike and should get a cleaner trip. (6) GLAMMIT raced very well last week and was put into play early. He comes out of the Auciello barn and races at his best when he leaves the gate. (10) ADVERSARY SEELSTER found the wire first last week and now moves into the Moreau barn. That's the main reason for my selection as Moreau is excellent with first time starters.

Race 12

(4) WORLD AWAY comes out Tackoor's barn, draws well and has the speed to win this class. He offer a low price last week and will likely offer the same again. (1) ANDERLECHT draws the rail and has been the beneficiary of terrific trips despite not finding the winners circle. He'll likely be put into the race early again and should get a ground-saving trip. (6) MY MAN CHARLEY has hit the board in two of his last three starts, draws well and likely will offer a fair price. This is a very wide open tilt.

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