12/03/2015 4:01PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/5 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 4,7,8/4,7/1,5/1,4,7/2,4,7,8,10 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,7/2,4,7,8,10/1,3,8,9/1 = $60

LATE PICK 4: 1,3/1,5/2,3,6/1,6 = $24

MEET STATS: 119 - 378 / $601.90   BEST BETS: 19 - 34 / $60.60

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 34 / $99.80


Spot Play: RISE UP NOW (9th)

Race 1

(7) JULERICA closed like a rocket last week vs. a couple of tough rivals and should be able to get in closer range here in this shorter field; top call in the opener. (8) ON THE ROCKS was stung early in the same mile but was only a 1/2 length behind the choice at the wire. He should be tough in here. (4) PAN STREET USA has been racing well in some quick miles down south and can’t be dismissed.

Race 2

(7) CHEYENNE REIDER got into contention by pacing his own third 1/4 in :27 flat last week and kept coming to fall only a nose short. This race could come down to a battle with (4) VITAL SIGN again. The latter was able to just keep the choice at bay last week and is in top form. (5) CRAFTY MASTER was used hard early when finishing third to the top two. I still think a closing style is his best style and he may try that approach again here.

Race 3

(5) MOHAWK WARRIOR was a pretty easy winner last week in non-winners of two and has the class and speed to handle this move up. The one he will need to upend is (1) C L ART MAGIC who is fresh off an outstanding lifetime-best 1:51 flat win but could face some early heat in here. (7) SENIOR MARKET has really raced well since he moved to Woodbine and his solid form and gritty style should be respected.

Race 4

(4) REGALLY READY is sharp and drops to a level where she should be prominent. (7) ADAYMER SEELSTER left much more alertly as predicted last week and was right there at the wire. She should win one soon. (1) WILDCAT BEAUTY drops and gets an improved post. She could get a great trip here then capitalize late.

Race 5

(2) MY MY HEY HEY was so good last week that none of his rivals could keep up to him at any point of the mile. Curiously, he gets a driver switch to Baillargeon, who is good with trotters but this one does have a penchant to break stride often. Slight nod based on last week’s super mile. (4) STORMONT WIZARD is the one most likely to benefit if the choice self-destructs. (7) LOVE HUNTER is in with a shot, too, if he can stay trotting.

Race 6

(3) VEGAS ROCKS appeared to have trouble grabbing the wet track last time. He can rebound if the track is fast here. (9) ERLE DALE N was a sharp winner despite missing a month last week and is a must-use in the early pick 4 coming back in 7 days. (1) NIRVANA SEELSTER missed getting a check last week which allows him to drop again and he gets a much better post; using.

Race 7

(1) AMERICAN ROCK shakes the white-hot C L Art Magic here and draws inside. He should be prominent throughout. (7) D GS CAMME left hard then took a shuffle in a swift mile. He could get a better trip near the front here if Christoforou rolls him early. (2) CAMS TUX parlayed a perfect trip into a narrow win last week but looked good pacing home in 27 1/5. Keep him on your exotic wagers.

Race 8

(3) CAJON LIGHTNING was sold privately following the first leg of this series and came back with a lifetime-best dominating score last week. Beat him to greet the cashier. (1) JACK REACHER was visibly motoring late last week and should get lots of pace to chase here. (7) MACH ON THE BEACH has been sharp winning two legs of the series but will need to find more speed to upend the choice who is also a stablemate and one of three entries for the leading trainer here.

Race 9

(5) RISE UP NOW was so impressive last week when mowing the field down despite coming off a 5-week break that he could make this step up successfully and he should be third or fourth choice. (1) PRESCOTTS HOPE has been phenomenal the past two starts but has now missed three weeks which is a bit concerning. (6) EVENIN OF PLEASURE was a big winner in the last Preferred but now has to deal with the speed of Prescotts Hope again which could compromise his chances.

Race 10

(6) GRIN FOR MONEY uncorked a wild late rally first time in the new barn last week and could be good for another stepping up one class here. (2) SOMEWHERE FANCY made a big move to the front in the same race then tired late. He could do here with more careful rating. (3) CHAMPAGNE PHIL also led until late in an improved performance and is another to consider for late Pick 4 bets.

Race 11

(6) HIGH FASHION MEL looks like she was sold after her last win and now debuts for the leading trainer here. She likely tops this High-5 at a short price. (1) DILLY DALI was a late-closing 2nd to a strong winner last week and is a contender here but must get away better from this post. (5) VRAKA HANOVER races better when placed near the front and Jamieson should be leaving this time. Both (7) MACHMETER and (10) LITTLE MISS SPORTY drop out of the Autumn Series and both should make the High-5 ticket.

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