01/22/2015 4:03PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/24 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


1,5,9 / 3,8 / 2,5,9 / 1,4,5 = $54

MEET STATS: 17 - 42 / $118.40  BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $13.20  SPOT PLAYS: 1 - 4 / $21.60

Best Bet: HIT AND GIGGLE A (8th)

Spot Play: SOMEWHERE FANCY (6th)

Race 1

(3) COUGAR HALL gapped his cover a bit on the final turn last time then came again in the lane to fall just short against a better group. This slight drop in class should do the trick. (2) SUNNY BEACH DAY also drops slightly and could be powering up late to complete the exacta. (7) JM JET SET exits the same dash as the choice and certainly showed big improvement in that mile; in the mix.

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Race 2

In a race that looks loaded with early speed types, (1) LIFEIMITATESART looks best equipped to take advantage with a late rally; top call. (2) PUSH BACK left hard, took a shuffle then caused interference in the stretch. He could do much better here even with the class rise with a more patient steer. (3) TOUCH OF LIGHTNING stung a prohibitive favorite enough early to enable a successful late rally and returns in five days; some things to like here.

Race 3

(7) POWER MOVE has performed quite well since being claimed three back and moved up into the conditioned ranks. He should contend with this group. (2) LIMITLESS ships in from Dover where it appears he was facing better. He could take these with a trip. Note: Top choice STAR RUFFNREADY was an early scratch.

Race 4

(9) A REAL COMMITMENT was inexplicably kept in by Filion last week and spent the rest of the mile twisting, turning and running up the backs of rivals looking for room. She remains razor-sharp and should offer a great price here. (5) GIVE ME AN AMEN had a similar trip just in front of the choice and gets a massive driver change here; beware. (1) WILDCAT BEAUTY will take big money at the windows dropping out of the Mares Preferred and drawing the rail. She is no lock, however.

Race 5

(3) SIX BAX closed okay belatedly first off the claim also off a 25-day break. He switches to Waples who is sure to send him hard and get good early position; he can topple this group. (8) EW FISHER remarkably wasn't taken when dropped into 12 claimers last week and looks for his third straight here. These are tougher and he might need more late speed to hold some of these off. (5) OUR MOJO had some serious traffic troubles last week and can certainly make some noise here if moved off the rail at some point.

Race 6

(2) SOMEWHERE FANCY got too far back behind too much cover last week but he certainly retained his sharpness coming home in 53 3/5. He should lay closer and move earlier. (5) GEAR BOX has lost twice in a row mainly due to driver error. There's no guarantee it won't happen again. (9) URBAN BAYAMA made two moves in a big winning mile but may get a similar trip to his penultimate race from out here.

Race 7

(4) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELLS drops out of the Preferred where he stormed home in :53 to fall just short. He looks best but will likely be overbet. (5) KG DRAGONATOR went a big trip to take down a decent NW 4 group but steps back into the deeper waters here. He should get a good piece with his closing brush though. (1) WAZZUP WAZZUP drops from the top class and is a big threat from the rail.

Race 8

(9) HIT AND GIGGLE A went a monster first-over trip to beat a couple that would be major contenders here. Henry will likely move this one to the front on the backside and be long gone. (8) I SCOOT SAM was overbet last week but had too much cover to pass in a pace that wasn't slowing up late. He remains a sharp contender. (7) CURATOR was perfectly steered by Drury to blast off cover late for the win. He is another of many contenders in a contentious dash.

Race 9

(9) THE ONLY ONE fired a huge effort on the 5-day quickback, parking most of the route and getting up late. Right back into the same class this one gets top billing. (6) WILD AND CRAZY GUY also had a long overland journey in the same race and tired late. He gets a big driver switch and is one of the ones. (4) QUIT SMOKING NOW took down a weak group off a covered trip when finding room very late. A repeat is doubtful.

Race 10

(3) ALEXAS JACKPOT went a huge trip parked the route from the 10-hole last week to just miss and the best part is he'll be a square price against some class droppers. (2) MACHAL JORDAN drops and is an obvious contender. (4) AVATARTIST moves down into a class where he can contend but needs a perfect trip to get the job done. He will be an underlay for sure.

Race 11

The finale is a tough dash to figure with several contenders but we'll side with (5) HES A SENSATION, whose late kick should be much more effective with the class drop. (1) LEAFS AND WINGS returns from the top class at London; in with a good chance. (2) MCKINNEY takes another drop in class and has enough talent to compete with these. This one's form is a bit darkened and he could pop at a price here. (3) CANBEC KINGKAZMIR was involved in the early pace and couldn't keep up in a fast third 1/4 but he's usually good for a piece. (7) GOLDSTAR BADLANDS gets away from the London Preferred company and could better this placing.

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