12/22/2015 6:09PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/26 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,6,8/3,5,6,8/1,2/3,6/1,3,4,5,7 = $48

EARLY PICK 4: 3,6/1,3,4,5,7/5/4,8,10 = $30

LATE PICK 4: 3,9,10/2,7/1,2,3/4,5 = $36

MEET STATS: 168 - 506 / $905.10  BEST BETS: 26 - 46 / $91.80

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 46 / $142.70

Best Bet: DIGGIN IN (13th)

Spot Play: STAR COVER (7th)

Race 1

(6) DAZZLING ROCKETTE just failed last time at odds-on to one has come back to beat better last week. She's missed three weeks which might be a concern except that Moreau has won with several of these types at this meet already. (3) ST LADS PENNY LANE showed some life late last time, pacing a strong final 1/4. She has upset possibilities here. (8) DIANNA SANTANNA drops to face easier but often finds herself too far back to contend for the win; minor share predicted.

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Race 2

(8) STRONG HOPE raced decently last time off a 5-week break now gets Filion for the first time which has been a big angle at this meet. (6) UPFRONTLUCKYCAROL goes first time for trainer Baillargeon here which is also a potent angle - especially with trotters. (5) OLE JACK MAGIC closed for 2nd after gapping his cover on the turn last week. He needs to be able to keep up around the final turn to be able to threaten for the top spot.

Race 3

(2) CAJON LIGHTNING had to circle stalling cover last week which thwarted any hope he had of winning as stablemate (1) MOHAWK WARRIOR was driving out of the pocket and converting a perfect trip. This Valedictory Final should come down to these two. (8) ROCKINONBY was third to the top two after setting the pace last week now joins them in Moreau's barn. He isn't totally without a shot considering that barn change.

Race 4

(3) CHICAGO HANOVER engaged the leader in an all-out third quarter war last week and despite having to pace that frame in 26 3/5 still prevailed for the win. He can take another here. (6) ROCKABELLA moved first up into some strong fractions last time and held on reasonably well. He can threaten here in his 2nd start over the track. (5) LETS WAIT AND SEE stands a much better chance of grabbing a share here starting from the middle of the gate.

Race 5

(7) CHEYENNE REIDER made a solid late move for third last week on a night when speed ruled. He should get a good pace to chase here. (1) VEGAS ROCKS went a phenomenal trip last week - although somewhat aided by the track bias - and is the one to beat here (5) VELOCITY DRIVEN couldn't close in the speed-biased conditions and can improve here. Consider also (3) MCKINNEY and (4) SHOCK N ROCK for multi-race wagers as this is a very competitive dash.

Race 6

(5) MUSICAL RHYTHM was flawless last week and will likely take another here if he stays flat. (9) IN SECRET got a good trip to win his last but is sharp and in solid form. He will be passing horses late. (2) STORMONT WIZARD exits the Autumn Series where he did well but has missed 3 weeks and will likely be overbet here.

Race 7

(8) STAR COVER got stung first-over to the tune of a 26 2/5 third 1/4 last week and still hung in until very late. He's very sharp and would be extra tough if he made the front early here but he doesn't need the lead to win, either. (10) BIG CITY JEWEL closed impressively last week against the bias and can threaten here at a price. (4) AMERICAN ROCK tried to overcome some insane fractions last time but tired late. He fits here.

Race 8

(3) TWIN B SWEETHEART recovered from an interference break early to finish 4th last week. She can take these with a smoother trip. (9) WEEKLY SPECIAL looked home-free at the 3/4 last week then ran while on a big lead. She clearly is improved and dangerous. (10) BAD AS LEADER is on a roll but the post may be her undoing here.

Race 9

(2) WANDA BAYAMA has been sensational in the preliminary legs of this series and looks mighty tough to beat here in the final. (7) MUCH ADOO hasn't been able to hold the choice off late the past two weeks but others in similar scenarios have turned the tables. She needs more speed late, though. (8) PINKY TUSCADERO made a big move then hung in the stretch last week. She can close for a smaller share here.

Race 10

(3) SOMEWHERE FANCY had lots of pace late on a night where closers basically couldn't win. He will likely move much earlier here starting from a better post. (1) NIRVANA SEELSTER drops from the top class and is a must-use in the late Pick 4. (2) GRIN FOR MONEY is undefeated in Moreau's barn but faces tougher and has missed three weeks; your call.

Race 11

(5) MACH A WISH had to circle poor cover when the pocket-sitter was moving to the front last week on a night when closers were at a disadvantage. She should be better coming back in 7 days, too; top call. (4) ANISTON SEELSTER just failed to catch a razor-sharp winner that is on a major roll. She's the one to fear most. (3) NAT A VIRGIN closed decently off excess cover last time and retains a catch-driver which makes her a threat.

Race 12

(1) SUNNY BEACH DAY isn't the most reliable for the top spot but he's as sharp now as he's ever been and should get a good trip here. (6) TRACK MASTER D was right there with the choice at the wire last week and rates highly here. (8) MACHAL JORDAN drops in class and he has earned most of his money this year when that scenario presents itself; beware.

Race 13

(2) DIGGIN IN simply lays over this group and likely tops this High-5 as the odds-on choice. (7) STATURE SEELSTER paced a sub-27 second third 1/4 on his way to victory last time and looks like the only real threat. (3) JULERICA took ridiculous money last time and struggled to make it around the final turn then closed for third once straightened out; minor share predicted. (5) READ THE PROPOSAL likely surrenders the lead on the backside here then sticks around for a slice. (4) PISTOPACKINPIPER brings some good form north and should make the High-5 ticket.

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