12/17/2015 2:24PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/19 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5,8/2,3/1,4,5,7/5,6,7/1,4,8 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 5,6,7/1,4,8/1,7/1,4,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,9/1,8/3,6,7/1,2,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 150 - 461 / $778.70  BEST BETS: 22 - 42 / $75.40

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 42 / 122.60


Spot Play: CHICAGO HANOVER (10th)

Race 1

(5) JACK REACHER tried it first up in the Autumn series final vs. a very strong winner and was easily repelled. There is no foe like that here and he is the horse to beat. (3) JULERICA continues to power home but needs to be closer turning home to get there on time. (8) WIN ONE SOON faces easier here and should threaten.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:50 p.m.]

Race 2

(3) APPRENTICE HANOVER produced an incredible kick to win his first of the year off a 5-month break last week. Call to repeat despite the class rise. (2) PRESCOTTS HOPE was nailed right on the line last time after missing three weeks action. He returns quicker here and must be respected. (1) THUNDER STEELER won off a lucky trip last start and is more likely for a minor share here.

Race 3

(7) SANTO DOMINGO started up too late last time but is clearly in his best form now and faces similar here. Zeron likely pulls the trigger earlier in the mile this time. (4) SUMMIT CITY NATE improved last time when he was on a 7-day cycle and can threaten the choice here. (5) TWIGGYS TWICK has faced better and shown good closing power in her last two without threatening. She has upset possibilities here.

Race 4

(5) VITAL SIGN is in top form and goes first off the claim here. He should be tough with any reasonable trip. (6) CRAFTY MASTER improved with Filion as many do and he retains the top teamster here; using. (7) VEGAS ROCKS gets Henry back here which could be a difference maker.

Race 5

(8) MACH A WISH ships in sharp and should be able to get good positioning near the front early here; slight nod. (1) KAYLA GRACE can land closer to the front at the start with her improved post and that makes her a win threat. (4) RUBIS PRESCOTT has beaten better in the past and Nixon could have her ready to roll here off the break; beware.

Race 6

(7) OUR HOT MAJORETTE is on a major roll and shows no signs of slowing down. She should take another here. (1) DOCS HOLLYWOOD will be passing most of these late and has an outside shot of nailing the choice if the early pace gets too hot. (8) P L HURRICANE raced tough to win last week but this post does her no favors here with so many early speed types signed on.

Race 7

(1) VELOCITY DRIVEN is in the best form of his career and should get another favorable pace setup here. (4) CAMAES FELLOW showed some grit down the lane last week and when he gets good he can throw in a wicked mile. Don't sell him short here. (7) NICKLE BAG races much better off a helmet and could get a better trip and convert here.

Race 8

(9) MARQUIS VOLO trotted a 27 1/5 third 1/4 on his way to a brush and crush win last week. If he reproduces that effort here, the rest are racing for 2nd. (3) SILVERHILL VOLO raced okay off a 4-week break but tired late. Expect sharp improvement here with the quick return. (4) MUSICAL RHYTHM blew up at the start last time and lost all chance. If he stays flat he should make the ticket here.

Race 9

This race comes down to the two Moreau trainees. Slight nod to (8) CAJON LIGHTNING who has been flawless since being sold. (1) MOHAWK WARRIOR, the choice's stablemate, could sit his pocket and try to pass late here. (2) THE ROCK looks best of the rest to complete a chalky tri.

Race 10

(3) CHICAGO HANOVER paced an incredible third 1/4 of 26 1/5 at Flamboro while winning off a long break. He could be a square price on the class rise and tonight's the night to jump in. (7) UFDRAGONS ROCKET couldn't cold off an improving rival last time but fits this class well. (6) TWOMICKEYTRIP also fits this class well and will likely be sent on a speed mission here.

Race 11

(6) STAR COVER has rounded back into top form and can take this group if he leaves hard for good position early. (1) SHOCK N ROCK closed well for 2nd when free last week and the winner of that race has been hot this month; using. (2) LYONS LEVI LEWIS has not faced earlier competition all year but will probably be bet off the board and is no lock.

Race 12

(8) COMPANY MAN wasn't far behind some tough company in Chicago. Most of these look easier; top call. (7) MCKINNEY went a brutal trip last week. He could be right there with a better trip. (2) SUNNY BEACH DAY was a very impressive winner last week and should share here. (1) SOUTHWIND AMAZON faces easier and should be able to work out a decent trip for a share. (10) ANDREIOS KARDIA should be passing many of these late for a share.

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