12/15/2016 2:58PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/17 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 2,4,5,7/3,6,7/2,5/2,3,6/1,5 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,6/1,5/3,4,9/2,5,9 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 5/3,5,6/2,3,5,6/1,2,3 = $36

MEET STATS: 50 - 197 / $276.20  BEST BETS: 8 - 19 / $25.80

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 19 / $15.20

Best Bet: LIGHTS GO OUT (8th)

Spot Play: MACH CODE (7th)

Race 1

(2) SENIOR K showed little in the first leg of this series after missing a week. He likely needs a good performance here, while others do not necessarily. Expect a more aggressive steer. (4) AWESOMENESS couldn't get close to a powerful winner last time, but he still rates highly here. (7) TWOMACSONEMACH is another coming out of that race that should improve here. (5) ARTFUL BLISS raced well in the first leg and is another to consider in a race where deep Pick 5 coverage may be wise.

Race 2

(6) DEVILS ADVOCATE produced a quick final 1/4 last week, but the leader wasn't slowing at that point. She is in excellent form now and can take this group if she stays flat. (7) WINDSUN MISSILE finished ahead of the choice off a better trip, but he does rate highly in this field. (3) LEGGS MATTER has a good record and he looks ready to produce for Weller first time in his barn; using. (1) ARE YOU IN should be passing horses in the stretch to take a share.

Race 3

(2) DREAMFAIR MESA made a sensational pre-race appearance last week, then delivered with a sharp win; call to repeat. (5) DRAGON STRIKES flew home to win at a big price. He looks like the main threat. (1) THINK ON IT failed as the choice although the track wasn't kind to speed most of that night. He could do here with a bit easier trip. (4) BREAKTIME HANOVER can stick around for a slice here.

Race 4

(3) SOUTHWIND GEISHA drops to the bottom class and adds Lasix. I expect Henry will be sending her here. (6) AINSLEYNEOLLE could last longer this time after showing good speed last week. (2) THREE DREAMS has improved in each start for Cullen. She has upset possibilities here. (1) WILDCAT BEAUTY figures for a smaller share, as has been her custom most of the year.

Race 5

(1) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE has some sneaky good form as he has been finishing quickly in each start despite being out of contention vs. better. He should get placed closer to the front at the start here which gives him a much better chance. (5) WAZZUP WAZZUP stopped in the lane last week on a night where many leaders couldn't seal the deal; using. (3) DARCEE N continues to peck away with fringe efforts; expect similar here. (10) UF BETTORS HANOVER will be winding up from far back and passing many of these down the lane.

Race 6

(9) KEEGAN HO couldn't quite reach the winner late last week, but that race came after a month away from the track. I'll give him the nod here returning in 7 days. (3) READY ANY TIME closes fast every week, she just needs to be more forwardly-placed to contend for the top spot. (4) SAFEKEEPING adds Lasix here which could help get her back in the winner's circle after three narrow losses. (2) HONOR ABOVE ALL raced tough to win last week, but it's hard to say if he can duplicate that effort.

Race 7

(9) MACH CODE made several moves last week and he suffered the consequences of that overexertion late in the mile. He has a good shot here if he can clear or sit the pocket early. (2) COOL ROCK continues to race well, but he is often at the mercy of the flow which can make it tough to pass them all. (5) DOMETHATAGAIN drops and figures; using in multi-race bets. (8) VEGAS ROCKS comes off a sharp effort and he is another in with a chance in a contentious dash.

Race 8

(5) LIGHTS GO OUT could bottom out this field as she gets to drop to the lowest conditioned level here. (6) YOUR MY SECRET paced a 54 3/5 back 1/2 last time and she too drops and rates highly here. (3) VELOCITY REIGN makes her second start for Weller and returns quicker this time. She should share here. (7) JUSTABIT MEAN can close for a smaller slice again.

Race 9

(6) NICKLE BAG loves this time of year and the colder it gets, the better it is for him; top call. (5) PRESCOTTS HOPE steps up off a phenomenal first up win; using. (3) MODERN LEGEND is obviously the class of this group, but he faces some sharp foes and he probably needs this race after missing close to 19 month's action. (4) AMERICAN VIRGIN should pass some of these in the final 1/4 and take a share.

Race 10

(5) TRASHYTONGUETALKER had some pace late in the mile last time vs. a tough rival. He is on the improve and he can take this with a decent trip. (3) IMKEEPNTHISGUY is another with improving form that figures here; using. (6) DAYLIGHT RUSH faces much easier and he should be the main speed threat. Toss him on your late Pick 4 tickets. (2) SIR GALAHAD was sharp in victory last week, but these look much tougher.

Race 11

(2) REEL steps up one level after making a powerful first-up move to win last week; call to repeat. (3) SHADOW MARGEAUX was just short when on the choice's cover last week; respect his improving form. (1) PAPARAZZI HANOVER is another that is in sharp current form that is hard to leave out here. (8) PANEDICTINE will be passing foes late in the mile making his first start off a claim; minor share predicted. (10) YS LOTUS takes a big drop, but the post likely will be his undoing here.

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