12/12/2013 3:36PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/14 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: CAMAES FELLOW (3rd)

Spot Play: SKY MCFLY (7th)

Race 1

(1) BARE NECESSITY draws the rail and now moves into the Johnson barn. He won in this class last week and is a high percentage winner. (2) DAPPER DENZIL draws the deuce and has hit the board in two of his last three. He comes from a top barn and is very versatile. (10) JAC SPADE will have to overcome post 10, but has gate-speed and raced terrific last week in this class.

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Race 2

(3) DUKE OF DONEGAL has been knocking on the door in recent weeks and is due for a win. He's one for 25 this season, but has gate speed and should be properly positioned. (9) MOPEY COREY did all the work last week on the front en route to victory. He now moves into a conditioned event, has a good record and is competitive in here. (10) BLUE PORSCHE will have to overcome the outside, but raced very well last week. He'll likely offer a fair price and is very capable of hitting the triactor.

Race 3

(2) CAMAES FELLOW has been a top threat in this class for many weeks and that continues. He draws well, has terrific gate speed and won last week in this class. (4) FRANCESCHETTI has been racing at his best in recent weeks and has a terrific record this season. He won two starts ago in this class and will get a lot of attention. (6) UPFRONT HOOSIERBOY has an excellent record this season, comes out of Johnson's barn and has hit the board in each of his last two.

Race 4

(4) KINDLY POET continues to climb towards the $1 million milestone.  He draws well and has been racing very well when in this class. (6) THE LADIES MAN drops in class and that's the main reason for my selection. He also gets post relief and is back on a seven-day rotation. (7) BOLD DECISION has hit the board in two of his last three. He can race either way and has a good record.

Race 5

(2) CHARLIE IS A JOKER hasn't been racing at his best, but if he stays flat he's very capable. He comes out of Moreau's barn, has the speed and record in his favour. (7) AMIGO DE GRANDE also drops in class and should be much more competitive in here. He'll likely offer a fair price, but has the speed and closed very well in his latest. (1) GUNGA WIN draws the rail, is fresh off a win and has a good record. He moves up in class, but has excellent gate speed and should be in proper position.

Race 6

(5) BREES CREEK won last week for O'Sullivan and is capable of stepping up even more. He closed very well, draws well and is a top threat in here. (2) JETTINS DRAGON draws inside and ha been knocking on the door in recent outings. He comes from a top barn and has been racing very consistent. (1) PRO DUECE gets the rail and has been pacing some credible miles at The Meadows. He's versatile, has the speed and gets Waples in the bike.

Race 7

(4) SKY MCFLY raced very well last week considering it was his first start off the bench. He closed very well at high odds and should be even better this start. (6) AMAZON ART had post 10 last week after racing at higher level prior. He gets post relief and a top threat in this bottom class. (9) BLUE CHIP SUNSHINE comes out of the Moreau barn and will have to overcome post nine once again. He was only beaten two lengths last week.

Race 8

(1) COOL ROCK finally draws inside at a level he's very capable of winning. He's been assigned outside posts in recent starts and has a patented closing kick. (4) MCKINNEY drops in class and has a good record this season. He certainly has the speed and has hit the board in five of his last six. (7) WINNING DREAM likely will offer a fair price and has hit the board in each of his last three starts. His gate-speed will likely be utilized from post seven.

Race 9

(6) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT has a terrific record this season and finished strong last week after some time off. He can only improve off that effort. (8) TAKE MY PICTURE will get a lot of attention in here and hasn't missed the board in his last three. He has terrific gate-speed and a likely candidate for the exactor. (9) CATCH THE DREAM put in a sub-par effort last week but has been very consistent in prior starts. He draws outside once again, but has proven to be a top threat at this level.

Race 10

(1) GRANDE SEELSTER gets the rail and drops in class. He certainly has the speed and may offer a fair price. (9) THORN IN YOUR SIDE faces tougher competition, but has climbed the ranks very quickly and should be able to handle the transition against older foes. (3) HARD TO MACH has the speed and will likely race off the pace. He draws well, gets Waples in the bike and will likely offer a price.

Race 11

(1) TWIN B LEGEND gets the rail and went a tough trip last week on the front. He was the favourite and failed to deliver. Maybe this is his week. (5) ANDERLECHT finished second last week by a nose. He draws well once again and enjoys being put into the race. (3) ROETHBLISSBERGER has terrific gate speed and will likely offer a price. He drops in class, which only increases his chances.

Race 12

(5) OK FANTASTIC was put into the race last week and finished a strong second. He has the speed and is very capable as he moves to the bottom class. (2) SIMPLY BUSINESS draws inside, comes out of Moreau's barn and certainly has the speed for this class. (3) WORLD AWAY was the favourite last week and failed to deliver. He draws well once again and will likely get a lot of attention.

Race 13

(2) SOULFUL LINDY draws inside and has a terrific record this season. He has excellent gate speed and has been knocking on the door at this level. (5) KINMUNDYS STRYKER comes out of the Shepherd barn and finished second in this class last week. He's versatile and a top threat in here. (4) BUTTON FLY has finished first and second since moving into the Auciello barn. He provided high odds last week in this class and gets post relief.

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