12/10/2015 3:38PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/12 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3/3/3,4,5,6,8/5,9,10/1,3,6,7 = $12

EARLY PICK 4: 5,9,10/1,3,6,7/4,5,8/1,6 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 1,4/7,8/2,6/4,7 = $16

MEET STATS: 137 - 420 / $719.00  BEST BETS: 21 - 38 / $73.20

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 38 / 105.80


Spot Play: MAKE SOME LUCK (9th)

Race 1

(3) MOHAWK WARRIOR has been flawless racing out of Moreau's barn and outclasses this bunch. It's hard to see him getting beat, but he will be a prohibitive favorite here. (2) NATURESCAPE was closing quickly at the end of his mile last week and is coming to hand quickly after taking most of the summer off. (1) ROCKINONBY figures to get a good following trip and stick around for a share here.

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Race 2

(3) CAJON LIGHTNING was a force in the Autumn series and lays over this group in the 1st leg of the Valedictory series. It looks like a very chalky Daily Double to kick off this card. (4) THE ROCK passed 1/2 the field in the last 1/4 last week and looks solid to complete this exacta. (2) SHADES OF BAY was a game winner in his first Woodbine start and should share here.

Race 3

(3) AMERICAN ROCK faces better off a sharp win last week cut could be up to it. Moreau and Filion have owned Saturday night this month. (6) SHOCK N ROCK has raced well twice against tough winners since arriving in November. He has a big shot here. (4) MCKINNEY took a new life's mark last week now curiously adds Lasix. Toss him on your Pick 5 ticket.

Race 4

(5) HIT AND GIGGLE A drops in for a tag here and should be prominent throughout. (9) VEGAS ROCKS also faces easier and will be blasting looking for the front, no doubt. (10) CHEYENNE REIDER is hard to leave out at this class, even from post 10.

Race 5

(7) MUSICAL RHYTHM was not asked at any point of the mile after making the front last time and still won easily. He should be tough to beat here. (3) SILVERHILL VOLO has shown he can take a lot of air and keep coming. He is the main threat. (6) KEN KAN WIN switched trainers, made some equipment changes and won his last start. Now the former trainer takes over again after that one start; head scratcher.

Race 6

(4) PUTMEINTOGO takes a big class drop here and should improve dramatically as should (8) KISS ME OR NOT who faced the same field as the choice last time. (5) LIGHTS GO OUT also faces easier and should be a late threat.

Race 7

(6) NICKLE BAG raced very tough last week in a quick mile against several class droppers. He looks best here. (1) ERLE DALE N showed little from an outer post last week but is in with a shot here at a price from the inside. (9) APPRENTICE HANOVER is the class of the field but may need one or two before producing his best considering he has been laid up since summer.

Race 8

(4) DONTTELLRUSS moves into the hot Waxman barn shipping in and should be a top contender here the only concern being the time missed. (1) D GS PESQUERO drops, moves inside and should get an aggressive steer from Drury here. (9) KAYLA GRACE is a good one to use in the exotics at a price from the outside. She will be passing horses down the lane.

Race 9

(8) MAKE SOME LUCK was used hard first-over vs. tougher last week and hung in gamely. Jamieson will be looking to take these coast-to-coast. (7) TRACK MASTER D drops out of the same race and should show improvement here. (9) EXPLODENT has ripped off five straight wins in Pennsylvania now ships in off the claim. His sharp form can't be ignored.

Race 10

(6) RISE UP NOW got stuck behind stalling cover on the final turn last week which led to his demise. He faces easier here and should be right there. (2) NIRVANA SEELSTER was as game as they come last week and is the one to beat here. (5) PUSH BACK is always a threat from close range but is more likely for a minor share here with the top two signed on.

Race 11

(7) STAR COVER had some late pace last week, closing behind a winner that was taking a new life's mark. The first time this gelding gets sent to the front he will lead throughout; maybe tonight? (4) UFDRAGONS ROCKET put forth a solid first-over effort last time vs. a couple of tough veterans. He's dangerous here. (5) WARAWEE PHOENIX has raced well out of town the past month and can get a piece of this. (6) KINMUNDYS STRYKER has raced great lately in the top classes at the 'B' tracks and fits well here. (3) ROCKABELLA ships in with decent from and can make the High-5 ticket.