01/19/2017 4:07PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/21 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 4/3,6,7/4,5/2,3,7,8,9/2,6,7,9 = $24

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,7,8,9/2,6,7/1,5/1,6 - $60

LATE PICK 4: 1,4,5,6/2,4,5,8/5,6/2 = $32

MEET STATS: 75 - 312 / $428.30  BEST BETS: 12 - 29 / $44.70

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 28 / $44.20


Spot Play: MACH CODE (5th)

Race 1

(4) MUSSELSFRMBRUSSELS made several moves last week and he still won easily and that came following a one-month break; call to repeat. (6) LONEWOLF CURRIER improved immediately for Moreau, but he was still no match for the choice. This exacta has a good chance of repeating here, but it won't pay a lot. (7) PAR INTENDED gained some ground on the top two late last time, but he likely won't be in position to win turning home here. (8) MCKINNEY comes up tagged here and he could be blasting early.

Race 2

(6) AMERICAN VIRGIN almost lasted in this class last week and the rival that nailed him late isn't here this week; top call. (3) NICKLE BAG closed okay but he was out of position last week. He is always a threat in this class. (7) PRESCOTTS HOPE got pushed out wide last week in the second 1/4 which cost him some placings. That line is better than it looks; consider. (1) ALEXAS JACKPOT should get a good trip up near the front and is another that isn't out of this.

Race 3

(5) SWAN FOR DEE moves to the middle of the gate and retains the leading driver. Expect an early move this time. (4) READY ANY TIME is in top form and will be the one to fend off in the lane. (2) GIANT MUSCLES should be able to take a smaller share despite moving out of claimers. (6) P L JILL showed some ability at three. She could make the ticket at first asking here as her qualifier was decent.

Race 4

(8) ER ZACH ATTACK showed good speed both early and late last week. He should be prominent throughout here. (7) UF BETTORS HANOVER drops and figures, but he could be overbet. (9) RAFA had a good comeback race. He could be blasting off the gate this time. (3) GOOD FRIDAY THREE is back in decent form after a very long dry spell; consider.

Race 5

(2) MACH CODE drops and gets the potent first-time McNair angle in his favor here; top call. (6) PAPARAZZI HANOVER drops back into a class where he dominated two back. He's a must-use. (7) HALF A BILLION has raced well for the past four starts, but he is somewhat trip-dependent. He can win with some racing luck. (9) THE WAYFARING MAN drops off a decent comeback effort. Keep him in mind when making vertical wagers.

Race 6

(1) STONEBRIDGE PEACE won vs. similar last week and she has clearly figured things out the past two starts; call to repeat. (5) DEVILS ADVOCATE has really turned it around under Vanderkemp's care. She should be right there vs. these if not too rusty after missing five weeks. (2) CROWN CLASSIC faces easier and she should be heard from here. (7) KEEGAN HO is also capable of waking up in this easier company.

Race 7

(1) ARTISTIC MADISON continues her ascent and can win in this top class too when she is at the top of her game, which she clearly is now. (6) SANDBETWEENURTOES was a victim of pace last week. She will likely be on the move earlier here. (4) P L HURRICANE was trapped in until it was too late last week. She should take another share here. (5) MS MAC N CHEESE parlayed an easy trip on the lead into a win last week. I don't see her getting the same trip here.

Race 8

(1) BRINGHOME THEBLUE has excelled for Auciello since returning to this circuit and he should get a good trip here; slight nod. (5) THE REV was just short last week as his form continues to improve; using. (4) NIRVANA SEELSTER is sure to try to bottom out this group and he should be included on Pick 4 tickets. (6) SHADOW PLACE is on a good roll and isn't out of this, but he will have more competition for the lead here.

Race 9

(2) SIR GALAHAD made a power move to win last week and he retains aggressive driver Roy facing similar; call to repeat. (4) REEL rates highly, but he will likely be looking for room late which could go either way. (5) P L JACKSON comes off a sharp win vs. similar. He's a threat here starting from a good post. (8) MACH POWER set big fractions on his way to a win vs. easier last week. McNair sticks; using.

Race 10

(6) J JS DELIVERY destroyed easier last week. If he can replicate that mile, he will be tough to overhaul here. (5) ERLE DALE N is the class of this field and he looks ready to roll based on his latest qualifier. (8) SPORTSMANSHIP had a brutally long trip last week. He can fare much better here if he can find a seat early. (3) PERFECT VISTA can pass a few of these late and take a share.

Race 11

(2) SPIDER MAN HANOVER lays over this group and he looks ready to fire a bullet based on his January 13th qualifier. (1) FLAHERTY woke up with a sharp effort last week. He can take a big chunk of this purse with an alert start. (4) SENIOR MARKET exits a quick mile. He can take a slice at a price here off a following trip near the front. (5) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL was wildly overbet last week and didn't make the board. He will be a better price here, but he projects to take a smaller share. (8) QUICK FUN N can close in late for a small share.

[DRF HARNESS EYE: The digital edition of Harness Eye is now available for just $6! Monthly rates are as low as $2.67 per issue.]