12/31/2015 3:44PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/2 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5:  2,3,5/3,4,6/5,6,10/6/2,4,6,7 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 6/2,4,6,7/5,7,9/3,4,5 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,8/1,3/2,6/2,5 = $24

MEET STATS: 173 - 519 / $944.50  BEST BETS: 26 - 47 / $91.80

SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 47 / $167.60

Best Bet: DILLY DALI (4th)

Spot Play: JORDIES HOPE (8th)

Race 1

(2) MACHET ROCKET qualified decently free-legged on a 'good' track now races without hopples for the first time. She looks as good as any in this weak conditioned field. (3) J HIGH raced out of her skin to take a new life’s mark two back then faltered against a tough class-dropper. She has a shot here. (5) MARY CELESTE raced well two back then was hung the mile vs. better. The main concern with her is the driver who hasn’t won a race since 2012.

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Race 2

(3) RISE UP NOW went a huge trip on the lead to win his most recent then took a couple of weeks off. The break should help in this case; top call. (4) BILBO HANOVER went a big trip last week but was nailed late on a night where speed didn’t hold up very well. He will be tough here. (6) THUNDER STEELER has faced the best company lately and isn’t out of this.

Race 3

(5) MY MY HEY HEY is obviously the best horse in this race but has now missed a month since winning the Autumn Final; slight nod considering the break. (6) LUAU HANOVER closed decently first time over the track and moves to the middle of the gate which should mean a more aggressive steer. (10) ALL B OVER went a long trip to win in this class last time and has upset possibilities here.

Race 4

(6) DILLY DALI performed decently in the Niagara series and looks best of this group. (2) LITTLE MISS SPORTY raced okay over a snow covered track in London on Monday and fits here. (4) CHEEKIE also drops out of the Niagara series and should be passing many of these late.

Race 5

(2) BIG CITY JEWEL has closed strongly twice in a row and gets post relief and a positive pace scenario here; top call. (6) CROCADILE CANYON goes first off the claim for new trainer/driver Zeron who could get instant results at a price. (4) SIR MACHALOT beat a strong non-winners of four lifetime field and is another to consider at a price in a wide-open race.

Race 6

(7) DOMEDOMEDOME closed strongly over an off track and has cycled back to her best form. She should be tough in here. (5) GAME ON HANOVER didn’t handle the off track but should bounce back with a good showing here if the track is dry. (9) COLD CERTIFIED drops and could go a long way on the lead here.

Race 7

(4) NAT A VIRGIN parlayed a good trip into an easy win last week but the way she flew home makes her a top contender here. She should get plenty of pace to chase as should (3) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE, another sharp closer that must be considered. (5) MARQUISE DE SARAH is in good form and is capable of withstanding some tough trips.

Race 8

(4) JORDIES HOPE produced one of the better efforts of her life last week off a layoff but couldn’t hold off the pocket-sitter late. A similar effort can get the job done here. (5) SHEZ A GOLD MINE has converted two sweet trips in a row into wins and will be looking for a forward placing early here. (8) POP GOES THEWEASEL arrives with a lengthy winning streak on her card and certainly merits consideration for late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 9

(1) JULERICA went a monster first-over trip to win last week and should be a decent price here on the class rise. (3) C L ART MAGIC has been facing much better, is the one to beat and will likely be odds-on here. (6) ANDREIOS KARDIA will be passing most of these late for a share.

Race 10

(2) DIGGIN IN cut all the fractions last and finished fast but was caught by one who outsprinted him on a night where the front wasn’t holding up that great. He can make amends here. (6) TEAM CAPTAIN closed sharply for 5th in the same dash and has a much better post to work with here. He is the main threat. (10) SPORTS WARNING tried the Valedictory series with no luck. He could grab a share at a price here.

Race 11

(2) VICTOR BAYAMA drops and likely pops here starting from a good post for top connections. (5) HUNCH MAN also drops out of the same race as the choice and is worth including on late pick 4 tickets vs. this much weaker group. (4) VITAL SIGN has been in tremendous form for almost two months but will likely find the top two choices too tough here.

Race 12

(7) TOTAL LEE has endured two tough first-up trips in a row now takes a significant drop and picks up the leading driver; big shot. (3) LIGHTS GO OUT should get plenty of pace to chase here; using. (1) MAPPOS MEONHAY has been racing well but is more likely to nab a smaller share here.

Race 13

(4) BAD GAMER was a solid winner a class lower last time and this field isn’t much tougher; call to repeat. (7) BIEBER HANOVER was involved in some solid splits while losing to a rival that came back 5 days later to win a stakes series final; consider. (3) BIG BANG BOOM looks great on paper but has missed 43 days. I’ll play to beat him at a short price. (2) SABINE PASS is a good one for the bottom of exotic wagers as is (8) METTA WORLD PEACE.