01/15/2015 5:21PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/17 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4 PLAY (Race 4):

1,3,9 / 2,3,5,7 / 1,5,9 / 4 = $36

MEET STATS: 11 - 21 / $70.50  BEST BETS: 2 - 2 / $13.20

Best Bet: GEAR BOX (8th)

Spot Play: FIVE TOWNS (5th)

Race 1

(3) CURATOR put up some big fractions on a track rated -2 last Saturday in a much-improved effort when dropped into claimers. He could get a breather in this short field. (5) UFDRAGONS ROCKET encountered a ton of traffic issues in the lane when attempting a closing move. He can contend at a price here. (7) I SCOOT SAM looks obvious on paper off two sharp wins, but the short field doesn't necessarily play to his strengths.

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Race 2

(5) BWT TAJ closed a big gap in the final 1/4 on an untouchable winner when brought back in 5 days last week. This one looks sharp and is a top contender here in a much weaker field for the class. (2) QUIT SMOKING NOW was used aggressively last out and didn't miss by much. He too could be rounding into top form now. (9) SIMONE HALL was used hard early and had trouble keeping up to an extremely sharp shipper. She could get a piece of this at a big price if she can land a spot near the front from the outset.

Race 3

(2) A REAL COMMITENT went an unreal trip last Friday while out the route and still winning comfortably. Tough to see her getting beat in her current form. (1) GIVE ME AN AMEN may have caught the top one if free earlier, but she was covered up the entire mile until very late and is likely to be over bet off the perceived 'trouble'. (4) OCEANVIEW BINDI rolled right by late but her rally was set up by Miss Coco Luck's rapid third 1/4 which played into her rally. (6) RUBIS PRESCOTT is as consistent as they come and rarely throws in a bad effort in these classes. Toss her in your tri and super bets.

Race 4

(1) SANATTLE SLEW is sent back into action quickly after a very good return race Monday night. Yes, he steps up in class, but he's beaten better before and should be able to leave close enough for his late rally to be effective. (9) MR DENNIS takes a drop in class off a deceptively-good line and can make his presence felt here. Note the 15 shares vs. only two wins in the past 35 races, however. (3) WINNING DREAM makes his second start for Auciello and likely has a much better shot of making front early here which would give him a much better chance.

Race 5

(2) FIVE TOWNS looked live at the end of his mile last week but was too far back to make an impact on the top three. Expect Henry to get better position and move earlier here. (5) WILD AND CRAZY GUY went a big first-up trip in the same dash and held well for 2nd. He's a threat here. (7) OUR MOJO made two moves and hung in there okay vs. a tough class-dropper. The win-shy Kadabra gelding should get a share in here. (3) SIX BAX debuts off the claim for the ice-cold Ballargeon barn. They have done well with this type in the past though; tough call.

Race 6

(5) TOPCORNERTERROR was stuck in behind a fading leader last week as a big winner sprinted away. Tackoor has him sharp and he fits vs. these. (9) COUGAR HALL has been going some long trips and the 9-hole is no bargain; but he takes another class drop and was beating much better than these last year; beware. (1) DONT SAY GOODBYE tripped out last week for 2nd. He could get a similar dreamy trip here starting along the pylons though.

Race 7

(4) CHEYENNE REIDER used a wicked-fast :26 2/5 3rd quarter last week to demolish his foes. He's as sharp as they come and a slight step up should be no issue. (1) NO BU is also in terrific form and looks for three straight here. Last out he beat the choice, then skipped a week. These two may be developing a nice rivalry. (6) HES A SENSATION was wildly over bet last out but did race decently enough to project him as a contender here.

Race 8

(4) GEAR BOX, the evening's best bet, was the victim of a poor drive last out. The same mistake won't be made here. (6) URBAN BAYAMA was away poorly but closed with one of the faster final 1/4's of the card. He can be dangerous with a better start. (1) FOUR BOYS was left alone for too long by the choice. He is sharp and a contender, but we don't see a repeat in the cards.

Race 9

(9) RAY HALL takes a massive class plunge after a long trip vs. much better Monday night. Expect a big speed try from Henry here. (6) PAPER BACKED LINDY dropped and popped last Saturday and steps back up tonight off a bravening blowout victory. (7) J CS JAKE is a good one for the bottom of tri and super bets as he always seems to be passing horses late.

Race 10

(9) CAMAES FELLOW is as sharp as a racehorse can be right now and will be tough to overhaul as he almost always is. (7) FRANKIES DRAGON has been facing better at The Big M and perhaps if he can leave in the choice's pocket he could be the upsetter. (8) NICKLE BAG's only bad effort recently came over the slop where he had obvious footing issues two back. He will be closing late for a piece, the question is: will he be close enough to threaten to win?

Race 11

(6) SOMEWHERE FANCY showed good determination to keep chugging and get up late last out. Call to repeat. (5) BILBO HANOVER looked like he had the choice put away but gave it up very late. He was used quite hard by Hudon while pacing a :26 2/5 third 1/4 to get clear. He could turn the tables here with a bit of luck. (2) KG DRAGINATOR faces much easier here and could also threaten for the top spot in a race seemingly made for closers. (4) BUGGER BRUISER has been much better in recent weeks but may get over driven here by A-Mac trying to outgun other speedsters. (7) REGAL SON has hit the tri in almost 2/3 of his last 30 starts. He is in the mix too in a competitive finale.

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