11/24/2017 8:53AM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 11/25 Analysis



Spot Play: MACH DEJA VU (2nd)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,4,7,8 / 1,2,3,7 / 4 / 2,7 / 4,8,9 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,7 / 4,8,9 / 4,5 / 5,6,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 5,6,8 / 1,3,6 / 4,6 / 5,6,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 59 - 200 / $365.50  BEST BETS: 11 - 19 / $47.60

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 19 / $75.30

Race 1

(4) ALLSTAR PARTNER showed little in the slop last week, but now he drops, gets a much better post and retains driver Henry. I'll give him the call here over (1) D J POWER, who raced well but was nailed very late last week by a horse that was later sold online. (8) NATIONAL DEBT is a classy campaigner that could step up in a spot like this. (7) MAJOR HILL isn't out of this and he will likely get a better trip here on cover.

Race 2

(3) MACH DEJA VU was a victim of a speed-killing bias last time and I'll side with him here in a spot where his price should be better. (1) DREAMY FELLA was aided by the same bias when beating the choice, but, he is too sharp to leave out. (2) PAULY WALLY was circled late by Dreamy Fella, but, he is sharp and dangerous here and the track may be playing fairer. (7) FANCOURT was beaten by the choice last time and the same trip scenario could play out here.

Race 3

(4) NIRVANA SEELSTER raced great last week vs. a winner that was streaking to his third straight Preferred win. With that foe not in this easier spot, Nirvana Seelster should handle these. (1) EVENIN OF PLEASURE drops out of the same race and he can be dangerous here if he pushes forward for position near the front at the start. (3) CHAMPAGNE PHIL was a victim of the closer bias last week. He should hit the ticket here. (5) AWESOMENESS should improve in his second start back and he can share here, at a minimum.

Race 4

(7) TOM HILL faces much easier here; top call. (2) TOTALLY KISSED raced tough first-over last time and he can threaten with a slightly better trip here. (1) MR CARROTS fits here despite stepping up in class and he can close to make the ticket. (4) MCKINNEY should be more aggressive early here and he has upset possibilities if he can land in the pocket at the start.

Race 5

(9) YOURE MAJESTIC is so sharp that she easily beat the closer bias last time. I'll stick with her here. (8) FEARLESS MAN tried hard, but the slower part of the track that he raced on led to his demise. He has a good shot here. (4) TONY SOPRANO is in good form and he could vault past these late if there is some early battling. (3) P L JILL steps up off a sharp win, but she isn't out of this contentious dash.

Race 6           

(5) BUGGER BRUISER couldn't keep pace with a very sharp Mach Code last week, but these are a bit easier and he can take these with a similar type of trip. (4) HES A SENSATION is logical on the class drop, but, notice he has only one win vs. 10 slices this year so far. (6) AUDREYS DREAM has been racing better in his last three starts and he can share here. (7) SINGLE WHITE SOCK paced a big mile on the rim uncovered last time, but he loses McNair here and he has always been his best partner; small share predicted.

Race 7

(5) FOUR CARD MAJOR has been consistently good when teamed with driver Roy and he is the one to beat in here. (8) THINK ON IT was nailed by the choice last time, but he is dangerous again likely setting the pace here. (6) BUGATTI figures to blast off the gate here and he could get the best trip of any; using. (3) LISVINNIE should be closing for another small share.

Race 8

(1) RENEGADE MAGIC couldn't get anything going in the slop last week, but she gets Henry back here in a spot where she should be tough. (3) CLASSIC VENTURE drops and he looks like the main danger. (6) ABSOLUT SEELSTER has been racing well, but she took a shuffle last week. She is in with a decent upset chance here. (8) APRIL ROSE has improving form and she can take a share here racing near the front.

Race 9

(4) PHYSICALLYINCLINED just failed to last in his first start out of the Moreau barn in a quick mile. A repeat of that effort likely gets the job done here. (6) PHEONIX WARRIOR N drops from the top class and he makes sense here. (5) MACH CODE steps up of a sharp win and he is a threat right back in his current sharp condition. (3) HIS BOY ELROY has been in great form since he arrived back on the circuit and he should make the ticket here again.

Race 10

(6) KAYS SHADOW drops and moves from the worst post to one of the best ones. Expect an aggressive try here. (9) GIA DIAMOND also drops in class and she is likely to be forwardly-placed this time; using. (5) D GS PESQUERO moves inside five posts and she should also be leaving for position here; using. (3) ER MONICA is an interesting shipper who can hit the ticket in her Woodbine debut. (10) CAYO LOCO should pass a few of these in the lane and finish on the edges.