11/19/2015 4:12PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 11/21 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,5,7/1,3/4,9/1.3/1,5,6,10 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3/1,5,6,10/4,6,8/4,6,7 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,8/3,6,9/4,6,7/8 = $27

MEET STATS: 85 - 293 / 433.70  BEST BETS: 14 - 26 / $46.80

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 26 / $85.00

Best Bet: VEGAS ROCKS (11th)

Spot Play: CRAFTY MASTER (12th)

Race 1

(7) MACH ON THE BEACH has turned up his game out of town recently and picks up the leading driver here and should drop at least a couple of seconds off his London time. (2) STATURE SEELSTER took a new life's mark last week and is the one to beat. (5) SPORTS LIGHTNING raced evenly against a better field last week and should be used on Pick 5 tickets.

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Race 2

(1) MS MAC N CHEESE is razor-sharp right now and can race effectively from anywhere the driver chooses; top call. (3) PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY just failed to hold off the choice last week and is the main danger. (4) BET YA looks like the main speed threat. She would need a major breather to hold off the top two, though.

Race 3

(9) WIN THE DAY takes a huge class drop here but is also likely to be overbet. He's no lock from the 9-hole in this series' 1st leg, but does look best on paper. (4) STORMONT WIZARD continues to fire home quickly every week and is the main - if not only - danger. (2) MY MY HEY HEY can put a solid mile together when he stays flat which has been a rarity lately.

Race 4

(1) CAJON LIGHTNING managed to get himself trapped at the worst time at the head of the lane last week which cost him the win. He can take this with a more alert steer. (3) DOCTOR ROYAL has been very sharp in his last two and should be primed for a good showing in this series. (6) NATURESCAPE was very fast earlier in the year and bears inclusion on Pick 5 tickets in his first start back off a rest.

Race 5

(6) MONTEZUMA BLUECHIP got cooked early going for the front last week. Filion may elect to revert to a closing style similar to the one used in his win two back. (1) ROCKINONBY ships in sporting several miles that should make him competitive here although he may need one over the track first to produce his best. (5) GOOD FRIDAY THREE looked like one of the better 3YO this spring then went off the rails. Both he and trainer Robinson return to the track here and bear watching.

Race 6

(8) TAROT makes his third start off the shelf here and should be ready to produce his best effort now. (6) KADABRASNEWRECRUIT won in this class Monday night and comes right back for more; using. (4) MUSICAL RHYTHM ships in and joins the Baillargeon barn but has missed almost a month; mixed signals.

Race 7

(7) PUSH BACK drops looking to pop and should get an aggressive steer from Henry here. (6) VELOCITY DRIVEN has found his very best form and merits inclusion on Pick 4 tickets. (4) CHEYENNE REIDER was nailed by the one above last week but could turn the tables if he can reverse the trip here.

Race 8

(4) GRONK was hard-used last week and only faltered late. He should be tough in here. (5) FREDDIE has been racing well at Flamboro and fits well here. (8) LOVE HUNTER faltered late but now gets Lasix which could make the difference.

Race 9

(6) HIGH FASHION MEL used a big third quarter to get in contention last week then motored home to register the upset. Henry should keep this sharp filly closer this time looking to double up. (9) HAZMATT is always dangerous in this class but needs to work out a trip from out there. (3) ABBIJADE HANOVER has solid form but always seems to get just a slice.

Race 10

(7) ELLIS PARK escapes the white-hot Prescotts Hope this week and deserves top billing here. (4) BILBO HANOVER is sharp as a tack for a hot outfit; using. (6) EVENIN OF PLEASURE will be dangerous from close range here, as always.

Race 11

(8) VEGAS ROCKS is one of the sharpest horses on the circuit and should take his fourth straight here. (6) THORN IN YOUR SIDE drops slightly and could live up to his name if he can land in the choice's pocket early. (2) MACHAL JORDAN is in good form and should follow along for a share here.

Race 12

(9) CRAFTY MASTER was live last week but didn't get the greatest trip. He can upset here using his deep closing style if the pace is honest. (4) TOPCORNERTERROR ships back in off a win at Flamboro for the top trainer and is dangerous here. (8) SOMEWHERE FANCY took big action at the windows last week and disappointed. He should go better here with that start under his belt. (6) LISVINNIE steps up off a quick win and can share here. (10) PRINCE CLYDE is capable of grabbing a share at a big price here.

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