01/10/2013 4:26PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/12 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (1 - 5 / $3.70): SPARKY MARK (9th)   

Spot Play: BURNIN MONEY (3rd)

Race 1

(7) HOUSE OF CASH might be considered a longshot, but he closed extremely well last time out to finish third. He doesn't have the best gate-speed and if he's not too far back, he's got a good shot. (5) IMMINENT RESPONSE continues to drop in class and he certainly didn't live up to my expectations last week. You can't count him out at this bottom level. (8) DUKESTER came from behind last week and closed very well for Mayotte. He'll likely provide value again.

Race 2

(6) SUNDAY POKER is always a threat at this level and enjoyed a very successful 2012 season. He's due for a win and I hope he's better placed in the early going.(3) LIFEIMITTATESART made up countless ground for MacDonell last start and he begins from a better post in here. The trip worked out with the quick fractions and he benefited. Look for him to race from behind again. (3) MODERN XHIBIT was running over horses at the wire last start, which leads me to believe he's ready to be a major contender in here. He does move up in class, but based on last week's effort, I wouldn't count him out.

Race 3

(1) BURNIN MONEY has continued to race tremendously since moving into the Auciello barn. He's latest time of 1:54 4/5 makes him a top threat in here. He doesn't leave well, but has post one and I can't see him getting away too far back. (4) TALE TO TELL has been racing very well in his last three starts and will get a lot of attention in here. He draws inside and it appears he races at his best when he's forwardly-placed off-the-gate. (9) HOUSE MONEY used a solid :28 1/5 final quarter to finish second in his latest outing. He'll likely provide value and is a good option to have, especially if they go quick up front.

Race 4

(4) DOUBLE DRIBBLE drops to the bottom class and I'm looking for a rebound effort. He hasn't been racing well lately, but this is a light field and he's capable. I hope (9) ROCK THE WIND gets pushed forward off-the-gate for Mayotte. He's also very capable with the correct trip. (10) MACH OF BALLYKEEL comes from the Moreau barn, which can't be overlooked. He has enough gate-speed to be positioned and likely will provide a price.

Race 5

(7) VACATION DAY hasn't been racing at his best, but he's a much better horse than the bottom condition he's currently in. He drops in class, comes from a solid barn and only five starts ago he was racing at the Preferred level. (9) ARMBRO CHRONICLE has a ton of back-class and finished second at this level last week. Perhaps if he had drawn inside, he would have been my top pick. (4) MR JOE SIXPACK did most of the work last week before fading to third. He draws inside and once again will likely offer a price.

Race 6

(2) THE LADIES MAN got parked to the quarter last week from post 10 and faded to third, only beaten a neck for the win. He remains at the same class and begins from a much better post. Don't expect the same value as last week. (3) MIDNITE ROMP also draws inside and raced very well last week considering where he came from. I expect him to be put into the race this week. (6) WHIPPET GOOD enjoys racing from behind and if they go quick fractions on the front, I like his chances late in the mile.

Race 7

(8) GOBAN has proven to be very competitive at this level and is due for a win. He finished second in this class last week and faces seven of his nine rivals. (7) BARE NECESSITY continues to race tremendous since his return to the track. He'll likely offer low value and is a major player in this event. (5) CAJON HOT SHOT draws much better than last week and I expect a better trip. I'm not sure what value you will get on him.

Race 8

(3) IMA MAGICIAN TOO made up countless ground last week to finish second. He wasn't going to catch the winner, but raced tremendous from a post 10 start. He draws much better this week and I expect a closer off-the-pace trip. (2) YACKETY YAK moves up in class off a win and draws the same post as last week. He'll likely be pushed off-the-gate again. I'm looking for a rebound effort from (1) BRANDON CS. He wasn't at his best last week, but gets Jamieson's services again and begins once again from the rail.

Race 9

(3) SPARKY MARK has regained his top form in recent weeks and that likely will continue. He won at this level in his latest and will likely offer very low value. (7) HIGH DEF Z TAM will be a major player in this race, especially if they go quick speed on the front. Look for him closing late in the mile. (4) IN COMMANDO moves back into the Preferred level and I think he'll make a better case for himself. He's fresh off a win and draws well.

Race 10

(5) TOP GEAR has won two-straight since being claimed by trainer Vrablic. He moves up in class and faces tougher competition, but I think he can handle it. I'm looking for a price on him. (2) WORLD AWAY has been racing very well lately and drops in class. He draws inside and likely won’t offer much of a price. (1) MAJOR HOTTIE won at this level two starts ago and has been assigned post one. He'll likely be the post time favourite or close to it. You can't count him out in this class.

Race 11

(4) ALED HANOVER closed very well last week to finish third, using a :27 2/5 final quarter. He drops in class and begins from a good post. (2) ROCK ME AMASTREOS was my spot play last week and he was only beaten by a head for the win. I don't expect to see the value like last week, but he draws inside and can only improve off that effort. (7) HILARIOUS HALO also finished second last week and made up terrific ground in the stretch. I only hope he doesn't get away too far back.


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