11/17/2016 3:07PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 11/19 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 4,9/1,4,7/1/1,4,6,8/1,3,4,6 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,6,8/1,3,4,6/5,8/5,9 = $64

LATE PICK 4: 4,7/2/1,3,4,6,8/2 = $10

MEET STATS: 10 - 42 / $61.30  BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $6.00

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 4 / $0.00



Race 1

(4) HOT SPOT HANOVER had her win streak snapped right on the wire last time but she has post position advantage on that rival here and she can get a new streak started here. (9) STYLISH BEACHWHERE capitalized on a slowing late pace to get up on the wire last time and while she is sharp, she may not get the same type of trip here. (1) MISTY DE VIE can pass many of these and take a smaller share. (3) MISS BABE DELIGHT is worth a look for the exotics entering the top trainer's barn here.

Race 2

(1) PRINCESS AURORA was an excellent 2nd from the 10-hole to the division leader in the Breeders Crown and that rival doesn't show up here; top call. (7) WINTER SWEET FROST raced well for Zeron at Dover and her good early speed should play well here. (4) TEMPLE RUINS is another that will be positioned close to the lead early which is the place to be on this track. (3) GRAVITATOR is one of the better locals and she has shown improvement this autumn.

Race 3

(1) IMAGINE DRAGON unleashed an impressive late surge to win in this class last week. The short field works to her advantage; call to repeat. (3) SANDBETWEENURTOES was nailed right on the line by the choice last week. She should be the main threat again. (6) DELIGHTFUL HILL could threaten the top two if she is pushed hard off the gate, but, that scenario seems difficult to predict from week to week. (5) MS MAC N CHEESE raced better last time vs. weaker but she is likely to be limited to a smaller share here.

Race 4

(1) VEGAS ROCKS was a sharp winner last time he was in this class and he may offer a decent price here; slight nod. (8) ASAP HANOVER couldn't chase down a strong leader last time, but he was game in defeat and he rates highly here. (6) COOL ROCK is in sharp form and he is in with a good chance here if the track is playing fair. (4) THE REV should improve off his November 12th comeback race.

Race 5

(1) SOMEOMENSOMEWHERE fell victim to a :59 flat middle 1/2 last week as no one was in any hurry in that elimination. Expect a more aggressive steer this time. (3) IDYLLIC BEACH was the benefactor of that slow pace, but good horses make their own luck and she is always a threat from close range. (6) THAT'S THE TICKET was flying at the wire last week. She would be the one to watch for late if any mid-race battling develops here. (4) CAVIART ALLY overcame a slow pace and powered up late to win her elimination. She isn't out of this.

Race 6

(5) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE moved first up into the fastest part of the mile last week and although he was quickly repelled, he did show some grit down the lane coming on again late. A slightly better trip could get him home at a price here. (8) PRESCOTTS HOPE will blast off the gate one of these weeks and when he does he could lead his rivals on a merry chase. (4) REEL has been closing well and he has an upset chance here if he is in range turning for home. (1) DARCEE N figures on the class drop here but he is often a victim of pace and trip.

Race 7

(5) SNOWSTORM HANOVER rode a soft early pace to an easy elimination win, but note that he doesn't need the lead to win and he can work out a good trip here starting from the middle of the gate. (9) WHAT THE HILL is sure to be more aggressive early here; using. (2) ANDY M was passing horses as the pace quickened last week which is a sign of sharpness. Toss him on some Pick 4 tickets. (3) JAKE was a solid elimination winner and he could better this prediction racing from close range.

Race 8

(7) DAYLIGHT RUSH was pushed hard early last week and he showed some determination re-rallying for 2nd. He could take this group coast-to coast. (4) BLAYDE HANOVER easily beat the choice, but he was the beneficiary of some spirited front-end dueling that night. He is obviously a contender, but likely to be overbet here. (2) MASERATI SEELSTER comes off a sharp front end win and he can take a slice here facing better this time. (5) ELECTRIC WESTERN is a great one to use in the bottom slots of exotic wagers.

Race 9

(2) HUNTSVILLE is on a tremendous roll and he proved in the Breeders Crown that he is the best in this division; top call. (3) DOWNBYTHESEASIDE was no match for the choice last time and the chalky exacta seems logical to repeat here. (1) MISO FAST can follow along and take a smaller share here. (4) BLOOD LINE had a tough trip in the Breeders Crown. He's worth a look here leaving from a much better post.

Race 10

(1) SASS couldn't chase the winner down last week on a night where the front was golden. He can turn the tables here if he gets a good enough start from the tricky rail post. (3) A ROD HALL will be a threat here if he can stay flat, but that part is a bit iffy. (8) MARQUIS VOLO finally put it all together last time. He is a threat to repeat off that sharp win. (6) RENEGADE MAGIC always seems to be around the money and she has an upset chance here if she is put into the race early.

Race 11

(2) NIRVANA SEELSTER went a monster first-over trip chasing the sharpest horse on the grounds last week and he was still digging at the wire. He should be very tough in here. (3) JINS SHARK makes his third start off a break and she is obviously fast enough to contend, if right. (1) AMERICAN VIRGIN figures on the class drop here. (7) TRACEUR HANOVER steps back up off a nice win but these are much tougher; minor share predicted.

Race 12

(8) BIGTOWN HERO qualified at least a second faster than his opponents go for purses here. If he stays flat, he'll be tough to overhaul. (9) MACH ON THE BEACH moves into Moreau's barn off a sharp victory; using. (5) ARRIVED LATE always hits the ticket it seems; consider for exotic wagers. (1) BALI can parlay an inside following trip into a share here. (6) CHAMPAGNE PHIL - a classy veteran - should be part of the early pace and he may stick around for a slice.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]