11/16/2017 3:51PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 11/18 Analysis


Best Bet: DOCS SAUSALITO (2nd)

Spot Play: YOURE MAJESTIC (5th)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 2,3,4,5,6/7/4,6/2,4,5,9/4,8 = $16

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,5,9/4,8/1,2,4/5,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 5,8/1,2,3,5/3,5/4,5,9 = $48

MEET STATS: 43 - 160 / $268.20  BEST BETS: 9 - 15 / $39.60

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 16 / $54.90

Race 1

(4) WILD AND CRAZY GUY has been a different horse with McNair driving in his last two starts and he might get overlooked here on the class rise. I'll give him the nod in a race where it looks like 5 or 6 of them could win. (2) LEAN HANOVER hasn't missed the exacta since September 22nd and he should get his trip here; using. (5) TONY SOPRANO won off a break and he could be even better here. He's another contender. (3) BIG RICH should set the pace on the class drop, but he will have plenty of challengers here.

Race 2

(7) DOCS SAUSALITO goes for Moreau here and she likely notches another short-priced win with the roll she is on. (2) ARGYLE ABERWHOSUR and (4) SHES A MANIAC both go for new barns here and merit consideration for the exotics. (1) MYSTICAL WONDER never misses a check and she was flying late last time but she ran out of racetrack.

Race 3

(4) PAULY WALLY paced a phenomenal uncovered trip Monday night. I'll stick with him here despite him facing much tougher. The price will be better, too. (6) MACH DEJA VU took a new speed badge in his most recent start and he is too hot to leave out. (7) EAST END moved up for McNair last time with a big trip from the 10-hole. He should share here. (1) MAKASI can take a smaller share racing inside most of the way.

Race 4

(9) TEARFUL OF HAPPY flew home last week and she has been sharp and consistent for many weeks. I'll give her the call here despite her post. (4) EXHILARATED was impressive grinding out a win last week and she should be tough in here right back. (2) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR is sharp, but often rallies late after the winner has been decided. Use her underneath. (5) BUTTERMILK HANOVER can close late for a small slice vs. these.

Race 5

(8) YOURE MAJESTIC got an aggressive steer last time and she unleashed an impressive back half on her way to a new lifetime mark; call to repeat. (4) RENEGADE MAGIC was motoring late last time, but it was too late. She could surprise here with the right trip. (2) SASS figures to get a decent trip near the lead here and he can make the ticket. (1) MAJOR MUSCLE is worth a look for the Tri and Super coming off a break with two solid qualifiers in tow.

Race 6

(4) MS MAC N CHEESE is at the top of her game and she should be tough to beat again here. (2) WITCH DALI is the other obvious contender here as she and the choice knock heads every week. (1) LYONS RIVER PRIDE is improving and she's in with a shot here at a price. (5) L A DELIGHT couldn't get clearance in the lane last time, but she is still winless and it's tough for her facing the potent 1-2 Moreau combo that both show speed regularly.

Race 7

(5) TRACEUR HANOVER drops and enters Moreau's barn. I'll side with him based on those two factors despite him coming off a vet scratch here. (8) CHAMPAGNE PHIL paced strong final quarters in his last two starts and he will get a win soon if that trend continues. (3) SHADOW MARGEAUX has won two of his last four by following near the lead until the stretch. If the trip works out again, he could pop here despite the class rise. (4) COOL ROCK will likely be closing late for a slice.

Race 8

(2) FEARLESS MAN may get away with slightly easier fractions on the lead here which would be all it takes to get him to the winners circle. (5) FREE WILLY HANOVER is sharp now and he may be a good price here. Look for him late. (1) FLYING ISA N was claimed by trainer Gillis for himself and he is worth a look here for the late Pick 4. (3) FINISH LINE could give the choice a run for the early lead and if that happens the race will likely set up for closers.

Race 9

(5) EASY LOVER HANOVER's win last week was easier than maybe it looks on paper. He will be very tough to beat here again. (3) AMERICAN VIRGIN has improving form and he reeled off several wins in a row here last winter; using. (1) ELLIS PARK likely closes belatedly for a slice again. (7) EVENIN OF PLEASURE rarely misses the ticket and he will likely take a stalking approach here and pass a few of these late.

Race 10

(5) MACH CODE flew home last week; now from a better post, he is sure to be sent for position near the front here early; top call. (9) REGAL SON takes a big drop and he should get an aggressive steer, too. (4) HIS BOY ELROY has been on a roll since returning from the Maritimes and he can't be counted out in this spot. (6) AUDREYS DREAM is likely a fringe player in this spot. (2) PISTON BROKE can wake up with a much better effort here starting from the inside and he can add value to Tris, Supers and High 5's.

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