10/15/2015 5:05PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 10/17 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,4,6/3,4,5/2,5/1,4,5,8/3,4,5 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4:1,4,5,8/3,4,5/3,5/6,9 = $48

LATE PICK 4:2,7/1,3/1,2,4/4,5,8,9 = $48

MEET STATS: 28 - 86 / 150.20  BEST BETS: 2 - 7 / $6.60

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 8 / 30.30


Spot Play: MARQUISE DE SARAH (6th)

Race 1

(6) PHYSICALLYINCLINED raced tough first-over against one of the best sophomore pacing colts in the country last week. This assignment vs. mostly elders is likely easier; top call. (3) MACHAL JORDAN returns from a break sporting a good qualifier and typically does well at this meet. He's a threat here. (4) ATOMIC MILLION AM drops from the Preferred and should be contentious here.

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Race 2

(5) HIT AND GIGGLE A had a useful tightener from the 10-hole last week and now steps up one level which should help his price. (4) THUNDER STEELER tried it first up last time which isn't his trip. Expect more early aggression here. (3) TOPCORNERTERROR started quickly and finished fast to beat similar. This gelding merits inclusion on Pick 5 tickets.

Race 3

(2) REVEREND HANOVER has a mighty foe to conquer here in (5) FREAKY FEET PETE, but he just may be up to the challenge in his current form. Expect driver Christoforou to impose his will early on his home turf and force his rival into the pocket then try to outsprint him late. Slight edge to the Reverend in a great matchup. (7) ROCK N ROLL WORLD looks next best and most likely to complete the tri.

Race 4

(8) ROCK ME GENTLY catches a field loaded with leavers and this filly could be blowing by them all down the lane if the expected early battling materializes. (1) FROST DAMAGE BLUES has a perfect record and has been getting faster recently. This is a big step up but she may be up to it. (4) SOUTHWIND ROULETTE has yet to win this year but has been right there in several big events and would be no surprise should she record her initial 2015 score here.

Race 5

(3) WAKIZASHI HANOVER arrives full of confidence sporting a five race win streak but gets only a slight nod in a very contentious Breeders Crown elimination. (5) ARTSPEAK arrives with a new life's mark of 1:47 4/5 taken in the Tattersalls and is a formidable foe. (4) LOST FOR WORDS is also in top form and this is a race you need to go three-deep on Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets.

Race 6

(3) MARQUISE DE SARAH was sent first up when the pace was accelerating last week and she hung on well, considering. If her move is timed better this time she can get the job done here. (5) NAT A VIRGIN seems to have hit her best stride finally after a mostly disappointing season and she could take her third straight here. (8) HOPE FOR PADDY fires home quickly every week but is dependent on a late slowing of the pace to get up in time. She should be a good price here.

Race 7

(6) DIVINE CAROLINE comes in off two sharp wins at The Red Mile and looks like she's getting hot at the perfect time. (9) SASSA HANOVER was flawless in two heats of the Jugette and will be tough here, even starting furthest out. (2) WRANGLER MAGIC has come up huge in several big events this year. Don't dismiss her lightly.

Race 8

(2) ULTIMATE BEACH BOY makes his second start for Burke on a track where he has already won in sub-1:50 time this year; upset special. (7) JK ENDOFANERA has excelled for Takter and can win using a variety of styles; using. (4) MCWICKED hasn't been able to break through in eight 2015 starts but he should make the ticket here.

Race 9

(1) HARPER BLUE CHIP makes a late four-year-old debut but need only drop a couple of seconds off his qualifier to contend here. (3) INTIMIDATE takes another class drop and will break the 2015 goose egg soon. (4) CLASSIC MARTINE and (2) RIVETING ROSIE both go in the Breeders Crown Mare Trot next week so it's hard to say how aggressively they will be driven here.

Race 10

(2) MACH IT SO has recorded a couple of big upsets already this year and is likely to be an overlay here which makes him playable. (1) ALWAYS BE MIKI is the 'now' horse getting all the press but is no lock by any means making only his second start in almost a year after returning from a major injury. (4) STATE TREASURER has danced all the dances and won many of them. He can never be discounted.

Race 11

It appears with so few leavers signed on that the early lead is there for (8) VEGAS ROCK's taking of Henry decides to send him. If he makes the front quickly, he could take these a long way. (9) SPORTSMANSHIP looks like the only rival capable of blasting off the gate and should be a square price. (5) MR CARROTS is a relentless closer facing much easier but may not get the required pace to pass them all late.

Race 12

(1) CHEYENNE REIDER was too far back last time to kick past them all but he should carve out a better trip here; top call. (10) MOONWRITER has really improved late in the racing season and can take this if he is sent for position from the outset. (4) HES A SENSATION is the perfect horse to use for third or fourth seeing as he almost always lands there at the finish. (8) CURIOUS PHEONIX has raced well every time since his return from a break and isn't out of this. (3) THORN IN YOUR SIDE recorded a huge upset out of the pocket last week and should be a good price again stepping up in class. He wouldn't be a shock either in this very contentious finale.

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