04/03/2015 3:38PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 4/6 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

3,4,7/2,4,5/4,6,7/1 = $27

MEET STATS: 120 - 393 / $653.80  BEST BETS: 16 - 38 / $88.00  

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 37 / $59.20

Best Bet: CAST NO SHADOW (1st)

Spot Play: URBANA BAYAMA (3rd)

Race 1

(5) CAST NO SHADOW showed no ill effects of missing a month's action last week and was a very impressive winner especially in the final 1/8th; tonight's Best Bet. (2) MOONLIT DANCE closed well to be a distant 2nd to the choice and is a good bet to complete a chalky exacta. (1) HIGH FASHION MEL stayed in last time and encountered traffic issues. She could go better here.

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Race 2

(1) DOCTOR TERROR was passively-driven most of the way last week in her seasonal debut but when she finally had room to roll she closed well to pass all but the winner. She has the talent and ability to turn the tables if pushed for a little more effort tonight. (6) MAPLELEA continued her roll and was long gone by the time Doctor Terror even thought of making a move; the one to beat, obviously. (3) MUCH ADOO was third to the top two and looks third best here again.

Race 3

(6) URBANA BAYAMA has been facing much better the past two starts and could get back on track here at a square price; top call and Spot Play. (5) IDEAL SHADOW stayed in as usual but escaped to the outside early enough to get the job done. He has talent but it's always a question mark how he will be driven; tough call. (4) A BOY NAMED SUZZ was beaten by the choice more than a month ago and hasn't been seen since. He may need this one before he is ready to show his best.

Race 4

(4) VELOCITY DRIVEN was much better the 2nd time Jamieson drove last week, powering up to nail one that had won several in a row; call to repeat. (3) TURBO MACH  made a big 3rd-quarter brush and just failed to hold off a big chalk. He is dangerous here. (7) D GS JUSTLIKETHAT failed as a big chalk last week but may not have liked the track then; keep on pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(5) JUSTICE DEPARTMENT paced a qualifying mile that suggests he is much faster than he was last year. He can take this group with a logical drop of a couple of seconds here. (2) SPORTS IMAGE tried the Youthful Series last week and wasn't disgraced. He looks like the one to beat. (4) WILDCAT LIGHTNING also drops out of the Youthful Series and can grab a share here.

Race 6

(6) TOP DOLLAR left hard but was forced to take a major shuffle mid-race. He had some trot when free and that was his best effort to date. He may be capable of breaking his maiden here. (4) HARTNELL got a confidence-boosting win at Flamboro and returns to face a mediocre group. (7) LADY PING has closed well the past two starts and finished in front of the choice last time. She's a threat here.

Race 7

(1) SPORTS BETTOR towers over this group based on last year's speed record and the company he kept. He should make short work of these. (9) BADEND LARRY made several moves in a race that featured as many lead changes as you will ever see in a WEG race. He can threaten at a price here. (2) SINGLE WHITE SOCK was much better earlier in the season that later last year but he did need one start before he showed his best; mixed signals.

Race 8

(5) COVERT OPERATIVE couldn't reach undefeated Michaels Turn last week but there is nothing like him in here; top billing. (3) WHY ARGUE used a big third 1/4 brush to demolish a field a class lower. He may try the same tactics here. (4) COOL CREEK VALLEY raced Thursday night and made two moves before finishing a close 5th. She is a contender if she goes.

Race 9

(2) UFDRAGONS ROCKET 2015 record doesn't inspire a lot of confidence but he has been hinting at impending improvement and Puddy's barn has been warming up a bit this past week. Call to upset first time in a claimer. (4) SKY DESPERADO took a shuffle last time vs. the streaking Grande Seelster but had late pace to offer; logical contender. (7) CHEYENNE RAIDER has been in great form the past month but is compromised a bit starting farthest out.

Race 10

(2) A REAL ROCKER had no shot of contending last out when dropped light years off the pace early. He has a much better chance here moving inside; top call. (8) MY MAN CHARLEY was called to win but had trouble keeping up to a dominant winner last week. He could go better here with that race under his belt. (6) YUCATAN has improved greatly the past two with Waples at the lines. He should share here, too. (7) CARD SHOCK was too far back last time to make an impact. He can lay closer here and close for a share. (10) MACHAPELO has sneaky good form and could hit the super at a huge price.

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