03/02/2013 4:34PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 3/4 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (9 - 23 / $31.50): DEFINE THE WORLD (3rd)     

Spot Play: GEORGE JETTISON (2nd)

Race 1

(4) MAX MONEY went a tough trip last week and was parked for most of the mile. He still managed to finish fourth and now drops in class. With a cleaner trip, he's a major contender. (9) DOLCE DUCCI remains in a class where he's been very competitive, but will have to overcome post 10. He does show enough gate-speed to be well positioned and has been very consistent at this level with three straight second place efforts. (5) CON BRIO HALL has also been very consistent in this class and draws much better than last week. He's a very playable horse.

Race 2

This is a very wide-open race in my opinion, but I selected (2) GEORGE JETTISON. He certainly has enough speed to win, but I think he'll need the right trip and not be used too hard in the early going. I'm looking for value on him as he's my spot play of the night. (4) MACHIN MUSIC came first-over last week and used a solid final quarter to finish third at high odds. In this short field, he's capable again. (5) DOCS HOSS comes out of the Gallucci barn, which has been very good this season. He drew outside last week and was taken to the back, but this week he starts from a better post.

Race 3

(4) DEFINE THE WORLD was my pick last week and I'm sticking with him again. He got a great middle-half last week and that was enough for the sprint home to win. The short field only helps his chances. (1) BAX OF LIFE was full of trot last week with nowhere to go and Waples can dictate her trip much better from post one.  She's very capable and may provide some value. (2) ZEUS LIGHTNING hasn't missed the board yet this season from six starts. If you're playing the triactor, he's a must-have with his consistency at this level.

Race 4

(2) SEA DEUCE scored the win last week in comfortable fashion and I think he can win at first asking in this class. He draws inside, shows enough speed and is fresh. (4) ASLAN has been knocking on the door at this level and that likely will continue. He hasn't missed the top three in each of his last four starts and is an obvious candidate for the exactor. (1) TALBOTCREEK ARMANI had post 10 last week and raced very well to finish fourth. He now has the rail and should be better positioned. He closed very well last week and I feel that could translate into an even better effort in here.

Race 5

(2) FIRE UP THE MACH charged to the front last week and simply got outsprinted down the stretch and had to settle for second. He returns to the same class and draws even better and I expect to see the same tactics used. (9) HIGHLAND BOREAS was the horse that outsprinted FIRE UP THE MACH last week, but has been assigned post nine. His gate-speed should come into play and he's classified accordingly once again. (5) OUR STAR raced very well last week to finish third and this isn't a deep field. He draws better and I expect to see him well positioned around the final turn and within reach.

Race 6

(1) WINDSONG HERCULES finally draws inside and that's a major part of my selection. He also now has three starts under his belt since his layoff and I feel he's ready to perform at this best in this class. (9) CELEBRITY COWBOY is a very good option to consider for the exactor/triactor. He does have post nine, but shows good gate-speed and at this level he's been very consistent in hitting the board. (2) ARMBRO CHRONICLE's age has caught up to him, but he's still a playable horse in my opinion at this bottom level. He's been very inconsistent, but draws well and is capable.

Race 7

(6) ROCK ME PLEASE comes out of the McIntosh barn and at this level, I feel he's very capable of winning. He's a class horse who had some time off and this will mark his fourth start back and he's fresh off a win. (3) LIFEIMITTATESART gets class relief and draws well. If he gets the correct off-the-pace trip, I like his chances turning for home. (9) TEE MAN has won two straight and is a good horse to use if you're playing the triactor. He won at this level last week, but I'm not sure he can do it again from a post nine start.

Race 8

(6) HESGOTLEGS probably has the quickest gate-speed in this field and draws much better than last week. This class suits him well and he may even provide a price. (4) TAKE MY PICTURE was won two straight and moves slightly up in class. I think he'll be the post time favourite and should get a lot of attention. (2) CATCH THE DREAM drops out of the Preferred level and is an obvious choice to consider. I'm not convinced he can win at this level right now, but this is a much easier class than he's been facing.

Race 9

(7) THREE ROCK NIGHT posted a solid qualifying effort and I think he can win at first asking this season. He scored a comfortable win in his qualifier with a solid final quarter. (6) MR OPPORTUNITY was parked the entire mile at Flamboro and still held on for second. He moves onto this circuit, but he does come from the McIntosh barn. He always brings his horses ready to compete. (9) CHROME SEELSTER is a longshot play, but this isn't a deep field and he's capable of being top three. He needs the right trip and not be used too hard in the early going.

Race 10

(5) GARETH NOURRIR is put back into the claiming ranks where he is most competitive. He's a much better horse than he's been showing and I'm looking for a rebound effort. (4) RIDING WITH P likely will provide value because I'm hoping for a good return. This is a short field and if he's not hard used early, he can close very well. (7) GUTSY GREG is a very playable horse in my opinion with this short field. He enjoys racing from off-the-pace, so look for him late in the mile. He has been racing very well in his last three starts.

Race 11

(9) DUKE DID IT adds lasix and drops in class and that's the major reason behind my selection. He does have the gate-speed to overcome post nine and I think he's capable of winning. (3) JUST ASSIGN TO ME is fresh off a claim and moves onto this circuit. I'm using that angle and that fact than Jamieson will steer him from an inside post. (7) LITTLE QUICK also drops in class and paced in 1:54 3/5 last start. That effort alone makes him a threat in this bottom class.

 

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