03/22/2015 5:05PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 3/23 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


10/6,7/1,5,8/5,7,9 = $18

MEET STATS: 115 - 353 / $619.70  BEST BETS: 16 - 34 / $88.00 

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 33 / $59.20

Best Bet: WHISKEY N PIE (8th)

Spot Play: CARD SHOCK (10th)

Race 1

(6) ORDER BY COMMANDER dropped into a claimer last week and went a big mile to register the upset. These don't look any tougher; call to repeat. (7) TYMAL COLLOSSUS has been solid in this class all winter and is obviously the one to beat. (2) IGOTTOKEEPONMOVING dropped into a claimer last week but couldn't keep up to the choice. He can share vs. these.

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Race 2

(1) CAMSTER was overtaken only late on Monday night by a very good winner who needed to motor home in :27 to beat him. He looks formidable here. (2) TEA WITH MS MCGILL also was beaten by a nice winner in his debut and is the other main contender in what shapes up to be a two-horse race. (9) CASIMIR OPEE was expected to do better in his opener and now draws farthest outside. He will likely improve, but it will be a tall order to beat the top two choices.

Race 3

(6) COVERT OPERATIVE came off the bench and recorded a huge first-up win at a big price. Stepping up in class the trainer hands the reins to a catch driver; call to repeat. (3) MICHAELS TURN's winning streak looked doomed when he broke at the start, but he made an amazing recovery to go a long trip to win and stay unbeaten; call to repeat. (8) WIZARD OF OSNEY has used his good early speed to hit the ticket in every one of his 2015 starts. He should share again vs. these.

Race 4

(10) MITT JAGGER was a 1:53 1/5 debut winner at 2. If he's ready to fire big like that in his 3YO debut, his foes may be in big trouble, even from the 10-hole. (2) PIER HO TEMPTATION moved at the exact right time when overtaking a slow pace and turned on the jets to beat NW1. He steps up and missed almost 3 weeks; tough call. (4) WELL WRITTEN was in perfect striking position and hung late in a bit of a disappointing performance. He is turning into a bit of a money burner on the win end.

Race 5

(7) MISTER ICON was claimed for the fourth time in the past five races following a second defeat in a row to the suddenly-hot Smokeys Luck. He escapes that one here and is a good bet to take these coast-to-coast; top call. (6) ROCKNROLL BAND debuted in a new barn last week and finished just behind the choice in a rapid mile. He should be much closer here. (1) LOST IN PANSLATION exits the same heat and beat both of the above; he is more likely for his typical minor share, however.

Race 6

(1) SEAWIND PASCALE put up some big fractions then bravely held her challengers at bay late. She will be tough to overhaul here from the rail in the Lifetime Dream final. (5) MEADOWVIEW VICKY gets a much improved post and could leave and trip out for a big share here. (8) STANDING MY GROUND was only a length back of the choice and although winless this season, she is showing signs that the first victory is coming soon; beware.

Race 7

(9) SPORTS IMAGE dropped five seconds off his fastest qualifier in his debut pacing the fastest mile on the program page. He can break his maiden here for a suddenly hot barn. (5) THREE RIVERS DELL tried the WEGZ series and showed some early foot before backing up a bit. These are easier, obviously. (7) READ THE PROPOSAL showed more in his 2015 debut than in many of his 13 losses last year and it's possible veteran trainer Cass may be ready to turn this one around. He's on our pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(6) WHISKEY N PIE continues to roll right along and there's no indication his win streak should or will be stopped here. (1) ARRIVED LATE looks like the one that may have the best chance of toppling the favourite but only if Filion revs him up early and grabs the pocket; possible. (4) A AND C ARTIST has likely been facing better in straight claimers and has been finishing fast in most of them. He would be the one to capitalize if a mid-race battle developed.

Race 9

Millionaire (7) SANTANNA BLUE CHIP showed more in his season debut than in many of last year's starts. He might be a good play here at a decent price despite stepping up a bit. (1) HES A SENSATION was full of pace last week but got going too late to catch the winner. He often looks obvious on paper and fails to deliver; tough call. (8) GLAMMIT has been showing improvement the past few weeks and will pop soon, likely at a good price; maybe tonight?

Race 10

(4) CARD SHOCK has been facing better and his farm is darkened somewhat as a result. His mile three back gets the job done vs. this group. (10) UFDRAGONS ROCKET moves back into Puddy's barn and drops to the lowest level. A Mac has to be gunning with this one, doesn't he? (9) DONEGAL GERALD closed a good gap from the 10-hole last time and should be coming late for a piece of this. (3) HIDDEN POTENTIAL closed 10 lengths in the final 1/4 last out and should get away closer here and contend earlier in the race. (1) REAL ROCKER took a break in action and comes back off a good qualifier win. He can get a slice from the rail.

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