03/18/2016 4:26PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 3/21 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,6,7/2,5,6/2,3,4/6/2,3,5 = $16.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,6,7,8/2,3,5/2,4/3 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 3/2,4,5,6,8/4,6,7/3 = $15

MEET STATS: 300 - 948 / $1571.60  BEST BETS: 48 - 89 / $171.50

SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 89 / $218.80

Best Bet: ER QUINN (10th)

Spot Play: SENIOR MARKET (6th)

Race 1

(2) EXEMPLAR moves back into Moreau's barn here after an okay try vs. lesser; slight nod based on the barn change. (7) O U SEXY GUY was claimed when an easy winner last time when in against the choice and his current sharpness should be respected. (6) ENTRANCED races better when handled more aggressively. Perhaps he will be put into the race earlier here like he was in his Feb. 20 win.

Race 2

(5) ETRUSCAN HANOVER was cooked early last week so perhaps he will take a more patient approach here and launch his assault in the second half; slight nod. (2) LINDYS TRUE GRIT powered up late to beat most of these last week but might not get the same set up this week. (6) FEARLESS MAN refused to let anyone go last time and paid the price late. He is pretty much one dimensional but dangerous whenever he can get a breather.

Race 3

(4) SUGARSAM has paced three consecutive miles in 1:53 4/5 now in his 4th start of the year switches to Jamieson. It could be 'go' time here. (2) JAKE LEOWEN continues to pace home quickly but would need to be closer early to threaten for the win here. (3) CHEYENNE FORD has left hard twice in a row and it hasn't worked. He will likely revert to a more effective closing style here and should have some early pace to chase.

Race 4

(6) P H KENNY was overtaken late last time by a promising colt in a good effort and he rates highly here. (2) SCARY HARRY faced a couple of tough ones last time and couldn't mount a challenge. These are easier and he should be heard from. (7) BAD AS CREEK has raced well in all four of his 2016 starts so far and will get there soon.

Race 5

(5) FAVORITE TWEET was passing horses late in her season's debut and looks as good as any in a race where you are basically throwing darts looking for a winner. (3) MARCH was a following 2nd in his season's debut and could improve here but his 0-14 record doesn't inspire great confidence. (2) MIAMI MAGIC looks like a contender here but needs to stay flat.

Race 6

(2) SENIOR MARKET projects to get a good trip near the lead here and could be a pocket rocket down the lane. (4) HIGH FLIER made two moves in the top class at Flamboro last Sunday but the leader had too much left late. A big speed try by this gelding would be no surprise here. (7) STIMULUS SPENDING took advantage of a slowing pace to score a huge upset last time. He is more likely to be closing for a smaller share here.

Race 7

(3) TOWNLINE MOMMA got hung out chasing an unyielding leader when claimed by Moreau last week. She can take these a long way. (2) JAYPORT SUNRISE beat the choice last time but had a much softer trip. She retains Moiseyev and is in with a shot in this suspect field. (9) EXCUSE ME PLEASE exits the same heat as the two above and showed big early speed there then didn't fade horribly; consider for exotics.

Race 8

(8) INTENDED STYLE endured a very long trip last week and kept coming late. He is one of several in here that goes first off the claim that has a shot. (2) LUMIERE has been lights out at the B tracks recently and should be tough debuting for Larocque/Filion despite the class rise. (6) MEERSBURG ships in and goes for Weller who has been hot at this meet; using.

Race 9

(4) IN SECRET was a sharp winner last time when timing his move a bit later and looks good to repeat vs. these. (7) BURNIN MONEY drops from the top class and should be prominent here. (6) BAGS FOR ALL has been 2nd twice in a row but hasn't threatened the winner. She is likely to take another smaller share here.

Race 10

(3) E R QUINN takes a class plunge here and has beaten better as recently as Feb. 20. Weller has priced him to win here. (5) PAR INTENDED faces claimers for the first time and should get a big piece of this. (1) PERFECT VISTA made several moves to win his last and was claimed; contender. (6) YORK SEELSTER made a big move then tired late vs. better. He should share here. (4) P J CAMDEX has been racing well at London and can make one of the lower rungs of the exotics here.

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