02/28/2015 12:26AM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 3/2 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


5/2,4,6/4,8/4,5,6 = $18

MEET STATS: 77 - 230 / $420.40  BEST BETS: 11 - 22 / $46.50

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 21 / $54.10

Best Bet: WELL WRITTEN (4th)

Spot Play: BAD AS CREEK (3rd)

Race 1

(6) WIZARD OF OSNEY fought back to regain the lead after losing it at the 3/4 then was chased down again late. That was his third very good effort straight off the layoff and he looms large again here. (2) DOMEDOMEDOME won her 2nd and 3rd lifetime starts impressively at Flamboro and returns to the big track full of confidence. She could do here, too. (7) PL HOUDINI was a clear 2nd to an impressive winner and is likely to be prominent early again.

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Race 2

(8) PL GYRO was allergic to winning last year but has really turned it around in 2015 most recently with an impressive first-over win; sticking with him. (7) A AND C ARTIST raced Thursday a class higher and closed 16 lengths in the final 3/4 despite missing the board. He fits much better here if he goes. (4) LOST IN PANSLATION was reclaimed by Macintosh who has done well with him. He'll be right on the point for as far as he goes.

Race 3

(2) BAD AS CREEK has faced three promising winners in his past three starts but none of these appear to be as good as those. He can get back on track vs. this group with a win. (7) HARBOR PLACE faced many of the same horses but he seems somewhat one-paced late and more apt to get a slice. (10) GIOVANNI inherited a win through DQ but he has shown dramatic improvement the past two starts and raced big out of the 10 hole on Feb. 9; respect.

Race 4

(5) WELL WRITTEN reached up late on Monday night to break his maiden and is wheeled right back into the same class looking to strike while the iron is hot; top call. (2) THREE RIVERS DELL showed promise in a limited fall campaign and returns with a good qualifier under his belt. (1) PIER HO TEMPTATION was nailed very late by the choice in his best effort to date. He is a threat again in here.

Race 5

(4) INCOGNITO tipped his hand with a big second half last week and the step up isn't that steep vs. this group. He is likely to be prominent much earlier; top call. (6) SEA DONKEY didn't exert a lot of effort from the 10-hole last time after missing a week. Look for him to go much better here from the middle of the gate. (2) COBBLE BEACH tried it first up and didn't back up terribly. He is likely to keep covered up to the lane here and come late for a share.

Race 6

(8) OHO DIAMOND went a big first-up trip to win his first of the year last week and projects to get a similar trip here; call to repeat. (4) TAROT changed barns and drivers and was never headed. He looked like a different animal and could repeat despite the class rise. (7) SHOPSMAGICWAND endured a long journey first time over Woodbine and wasn't disgraced but that came almost a month ago so she may need this start.

Race 7

(6) WHISKEY N PIE has been very impressive the past two weeks and while this group is tougher, he may be up to the challenge. (5) INNOCENT VICTIM couldn't reach an impressive winner despite pacing his own last 1/4 in 28.2. He could turn the tables here. (4) VELOCITY DRIVEN showed a new dimension last time with an impressive late charge which makes him more dangerous.

Race 8

(6) MISTER ICON was prominent throughout first off the claim and only nailed very late when the pace slowed dramatically. He can make amends here. (9) LITTLE QUICK motored down the middle of the track to nail the choice late but his racing style often depends on flow which sometimes is non-existent at Woodbine. Keep on your late pick 4 tickets anyway. (7) ROCKNROLL BAND has been very good the past two weeks for Filion who seems to know how to time his move just right. He is another for late pick 4 tickets.

Race 9

(6) SHOULDHAVEBETMORE is a full brother to millionaire world record holder Drop The Ball as well as Mattie Terror Girl, Special Terror and Straight Shooting who all took lifetime marks of 1:50 1/5. He is a big threat on pedigree alone. (5) NOBETTORPLACETOBE was flying up the inside late in the Count B Final but is sure to be wildly over bet off that race. He may not last trying to make his own luck. 9) TEAM CAPTAIN was called to win and was conservatively driven but was making noticeable headway in the lane. He'll win soon and this might be the night to nail him at a price.

Race 10

(7) GLAMMIT has been showing some signs of improvement in higher classes now drops to the bottom of the conditioned ladder. A Mac may send this one vs. this weak group; top call. (9) ARI ALLSTAR tried to go down the road last week but tired late. He ranks highly in here. (4) FUTURE MILLION is a 'trip horse' that just may get a good one here; beware. (3) SAVANNAH SPLENDOR can leave better and stay covered up until late and get a piece of the high-5. (1) BURNING SHORE will likely leave hard for position from the inside and can better this placing.

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