02/08/2015 8:47PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 2/9 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

2,8 / 4 / 3,6,9 / 1,8,9 = $18

MEET STATS: 46 - 134 / $280.10  BEST BETS: 6 - 13 / $28.90

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 12 / $43.50

Best Bet: BOURBON BAY (5th)

Spot Play: LOST IN PANSLATION (1st)

Race 1

(4) LOST IN PANSLATION gets almost an identical pace advantage as two starts ago when he easily wired a field void of early speed similar to this one. Down the road he goes. (1) ROCKNROLL BAND was coming fast at the wire last time and is the obvious one to fend off. (3) PL GYRO used the 1 post to lay closer and move earlier which resulted in an improved effort and narrow loss. He fits vs. these.

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Race 2

(4) CASH FOR GOLD keeps finding himself out of position at the 3/4 mile mark of his races then can't close into quickening paces. He is undoubtedly one of the best horses in this series. Maybe his driver figures it out tonight and points him to the front at some point of the mile before the stretch. (1) OAKLEA WYATT was hopelessly blocked in by a horse gapping the pocket and another that just sat outside of him. He had plenty of trot when he finally got free and is the main danger. (8) BAGS FOR ALL had his win skein snapped last week by a sharp shipper but will need to be chased down again.

Race 3

(8) AMERICAN ROCK was called to win his debut and just failed to chase down a repeat winner that put up big fractions. He should graduate here at a prohibitive price. (6) BARRYS SHELBY camped at the back and showed little but we get the feeling this one has more to offer and could hit the exotics at a big price tonight. (9) CAMSTER, likely one of the last of the Camlucks, debuts here in a field where he can make his presence felt.

Race 4

(8) JAC SPADE hasn't faced a field this easy in months. He need only be in position to chase down the only other logical contender (2) GOLDSTAR BADLANDS who also takes a class drop for his third start over Woodbine. I don't think it's a secret where Henry will be sending that one; slight edge to the former. (4) ARI ALLSTAR showed good improvement last time albeit while finishing 7th. Look for him to be coming late for a piece.

Race 5

(4) BOURBON BAY shipped in and went a big trip to knock off a very hot rival. He's tough to go against here, so we won't. Let's make him tonight's Best Bet. (5) HEADSAREGONNA TURN exits the same heat and figures to get out closer to the front so he could make the ticket at a nice price here. (6) SEVERUS HANOVER took no prisoners but his dash went more than two seconds slower than the choice's. We think he comes back to earth here.

Race 6

(3) VELOCITY DRIVEN was ready to roll despite missing more than a month of racing action and although he faces better here, he should be even better himself back on a 7-day rotation; top call. (6) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ tried to bottom out the field in the Snowshoe Series Final and tired only late. He is the obvious danger along with (9) IDEAL SHADOW who has excelled since the Valedictory Series Final.

Race 7

(8) MACH TWO POINT SIX debuts for Waxman and you know where Henry will be pointing this one when the gate pulls away; for as far as he goes. (1) LITTLE QUICK got a little too far back behind too much cover last week. He is an obvious threat from the inside. (9) MISTER ICON was aggressive as predicted and got the job done. This is a tougher assignment but he might be up to it.

Race 8

(2) ASHLAKE went a monster trip, trotting Flamboro in 1:57 over a track rated two seconds slow. If he repeats anything close to that he will be tough here. (3) INCREADABLE FRANK won the Preferred 3 on the same card albeit a second slower than the choice. He is in top form for Moreau and is a big player here. (4) IMMINENT REPONSE has been racing well at Rideau and matches up decently vs. his nine rivals here.

Race 9

(9) WHISKEY N PIE really dug in and fought back last week late when Randys Plan got by him. This one looks like he has a lot of talent and may be up to facing slightly better. (3) HARBOR PLACE was driven conservatively last time from an outer post but still wasn't beaten far. Look for him to be up near the front both early and late tonight. (4) BAD AS CREEK showed some good late pace vs. a very tough winner in his first Woodbine start. He fits here.

Race 10

(2) AMERICAN ISLAND drops out of the Snowshoe Series and is likely to be sent right down the road by Henry against this weaker group. (5) TERROR OF THE NITE has improved greatly in the past two trips when Vanderkemp sent him early. He may be looking for the pocket early here behind the choice. (1) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE had good early and late speed last week in his first start over Woodbine and is improving quickly. He should get a good chunk of this. (3) SINGHAMPTON KENNY has shown he can take air and keep chugging at Flamboro; for a piece. (8) WINDSUN CHEYENNE makes his third start off a lengthy break and has much more ability than those two lines indicate; beware!

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