02/26/2016 4:53PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 2/29 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 5,7/1,2,3,6/2,5,6/1,7,8/7 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,7,8/7/2,3,8/4,7,8 = $27

LATE PICK 4: 4,7,8/1,4,9/5/2,3,4,6,10 = $45

MEET STATS: 263 - 828 / $1386.30  BEST BETS: 43 - 77 / $152.90

SPOT PLAYS: 19 - 77 / $205.60

Best Bet: IN SECRET (9th)

Spot Play: PETTY HANOVER (6th)

Race 1

(5) PISCEAN led to very late last week then was picked off by an improving pocket-sitter. She should carry her speed a long way vs. these. (7) SECRET MISSY gets Saftic back and he did well with her two and three starts back; using. (1) TRUMPETS got stuck behind bad cover last week when the pace was accelerating. She can be closer here.

Race 2

(3) WINDSUN REVENGE usually needs one tightener when returning from a break. He should be ready for a top try now. (6) LINDYS TRU GRIT raced much better second time over the track and will be coming late again here. (1) ZEUS LIGHTNING may be overbet off his narrow loss to Fearless Man last time. He is a contender but often falls short.

Race 3

(2) PRINCE CLYDE was sluggish early last week likely due to some rust after missing 3 weeks. Expect a speed try here. (5) TOMITTA BAYAMA couldn't close into a quickening late pace but remains sharp and is the best closing threat here. (6) HIT AND GIGGLE A went a big first-over trip last week and narrowly beat the choice. He will be a threat here again.

Race 4

(1) TWOMICKEYTRIP plunges to the bottom conditioned class here and should be put into the race early; top call. (8) PRINCE SHARKA gave up a big lead very late last week. He will carry his speed all the way one of these weeks. (7) MAC RAIDER has been facing some decent stock in the non-winners of three class and he could wake up here in a big way.

Race 5

(7) BURNIN MONEY drops and likely pops here in gate-to-wire fashion. (1) MURMUR HANOVER also drops and should contend but he does tend to be a bit win-shy. (4) NOWUCITNOWUDONT raced well for Vanderkemp last week and he certainly has enough class to beat these.

Race 6

(2) PETTY HANOVER showed improvement last time and could pounce late off a following trip here as he has done in the past. (7) WARAWEE PROTON was an impressive winner first time out for Moreau and is the one to beat. (3) GIRL DRAMA is always dangerous at this level but needs a stopping late pace to pass them all.

Race 7

(4) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT was hung the mile last time when claimed. He has a good chance of clearing quickly here which makes him far more dangerous. (8) ROCKABELLA drops in class and will likely be sent for position early; using. (7) INTENDED STYLE is always dangerous at this level but may face too much early heat this time.

Race 8

(9) MIAMI MAGIC was visibly flying late last week and her maiden win is likely imminent although she will need to overcome the outermost post here. (1) LEGIONOFANGELS raced well to finish ahead of the choice and is an obvious threat from close range here. (3) LILYSGONECHEATING was 4th in that same dash and is another to consider for the late Pick 4.

Race 9

(5) IN SECRET drops from the Preferred and should be put into the race earlier than usual by Christoforou here; Pick 4 single. (7) MUSCLE MATTERS has been racing well at this class but is more likely to grab a slice than take a win. (2) BAGS FOR ALL steps up off a big win vs. weaker; minor share predicted.

Race 10

(6) LOVES A CHALLENGE won at this level when claimed three back. Facing easier puts him right there on the money. (4) RETAIL goes for Montini off the claim here and is sure to show speed but needs more finish. (10) FIRST IMPRESSION is another that is dropping to the bottom who will be blasting for position at the start. (3) ZAMBUCA GASS is a classy old veteran that can hit this ticket. (2) CASIMIR LOW GEAR has Filion which is as good a reason as any to use him in this head-scratcher of a finale.

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