02/22/2015 9:09PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 2/23 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

3,8 / 3,5,7,10 / 6 / 5,6,9 = $24

MEET STATS: 70 - 198 / $391.70  BEST BETS: 9 - 19 / $38.10 

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 18 / $54.10

Best Bet: INNOCENT VICTIM (6th)

Spot Play: TEAM CAPTAIN (4th)

Race 1

(1) GUSCREST is a homebred out of a dam that broke her maiden first out in the Trillium then won a $130K Gold Final in her third start. She has produced 4 winners from 6 foals that have races and this son of Angus Hall stands every chance to become the 5th of 7 in this weak group. (8) TAROT was called to win and looked like he had the upset nailed down when he got a bit sideways late in the lane. He has talent but seems tough to drive. (6) TYMAL SIGNATURE has shown good improvement in her last two starts and is getting closer to breaking her maiden.

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Race 2

Two in this group make their first start off claims and of those two we'll side with (6) MISTER ICON who fell just short last week and is in top form now. (1) UNIQUE BARAN has paced some ugly miles the past two starts but may perk back up moving into Waxman's barn. (9) COWBOY CODY paced a big mile from the 10-hole first off the claim and draws outside here again but almost certainly will feel some opposition much earlier in the mile this time.

Race 3

(5) MYSTERY BET isn't the most reliable trotter on the grounds, but he is sure to show more dropping out of the General Brock series if he stays flat. (8) MAGIC MADNESS had a slow third 1/4 work against her last time and couldn't close into a quickening pace late. She fits in here and could take the top one down. (1) WIRE ME CASH has been finishing his miles nicely when he minds his manners but is another that is a threat to break.

Race 4

(8) TEAM CAPTAIN is out of an unraced daughter of Abercrombie that produced 8 winners from 9 that raced including 5 that went in 1:53 or better. She didn't show a whole lot in her lone qualifier but trainer Brethour has struck with one like this already this meet. The tote board may provide some clues here. (3) IMAGINE THIS won by the length of the stretch at Maywood and transfers to a high % barn here. He is likely to go off a prohibitive favorite but is no lock. (5) WELL WRITTEN showed good late kick in his seasonal bow and could go better here.

Race 5

(7) ROAD SENSE tried in vain to chase down a blowout winner that was taking a huge edge and she only gave up the place and show spots very late in a much-improved effort; top call here. (5) BRUCE THE BRAVE was first up in the same dash and finished together with the choice. He should be close here at the wire. (10) ORDER BY COMMANDER was given a brutal steer in London last Wednesday. He has some trot to offer and the driver change should help.

Race 6

(6) INNOCENT VICTIM actually drops in class for this switch to this circuit and anything but an open-length win vs. this group would be a bit of a surprise; the night's BEST BET. (4) MERVS TRU LEGACY moves into the Moreau barn and is almost sure to show immediate improvement. (3) ARTIES MAGIC also switches barns and makes his season's debut. He had a great record on the Maritimes last year.

Race 7

(5) FUTURE MILLION got backed up in traffic last time but showed good energy down the lane and should go even better here in his second start on the bigger oval; top call. (6) ARI ALLSTAR closed nicely for 2nd in the same dash but had a better trip, too. (9) JAC SPADE drops back to a level where he figures highly but is a difficult one to motivate at times.

Race 8

(7) STEPHANA DREAM took plenty of cash at the windows off the barn change but found herself too far back early to threaten late. Look for the Z Man to lay closer and move earlier here. (3) YANKEE PUZZLE returns from a short break and should contend with these. (2) WHITEGLOVES makes his season's debut and showed some talent in a brief campaign last year. He might try to take these all the way.

Race 9

(3) LOST IN PANSLATION was outleft last week by a powerful winner and had to go first-up as a result which is not his trip. He may be able to control his own destiny vs. this weaker group. (2) PL GYRO has reached his very best from and is the one to fend off late. (9) ROCKNROLL BAND finally broke through for a win but rode the rail the entire way to get there. A minor share is far more likely here.

Race 10

(1) WHISKEY N PIE moved into NW2 off a loss in the maiden ranks and dusted the field. This one seems to have a great deal of talent and gets to race back in the same class here; tough to beat. (10) TOUCH THE SKY got a horrid steer and despite winning was disqualified for interference. He is the main danger but post 10 doesn't help his cause. (2) HARBOR PLACE continues to race well and pick up checks. He should be right there again.

Race 11

(5) BROADIES SONG left hard, tried to retake from an uncooperative leader that put him back in the hole on the backside then encountered traffic issues in the stretch. This one has been sitting on a winning race for a couple of weeks but needs a decent steer. (9) BLISSFUL YEARS had similar issues in the same race. He can be closer here. (3) MONTE CHRISTO finished well for third and is likely to be over bet as a result. He has gone a long time between wins. (2) GOLDSTAR BADLANDS will likely be used harder early by Henry here and can better this placing. (10) SEA DONKEY showed a bit of life in the 2nd half of his race vs. the speedy Speedy Mark. He can hit this ticket at a big price.

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