02/12/2016 3:49PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 2/15 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,8/1,2,5/3,7/4,8/5,6,7 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 4,8/5,6,7/9/2,4,5,6,7 = $30

LATE PICK 4: 2,4,5,6,7/2,6,8/6/5,6,7,9 = $60

MEET STATS: 239 - 758 / $1280.60  BEST BETS: 40 - 70 / $143.70

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 70 / $191.30

Best Bet: WINDSONG MAGIC (6th)

Spot Play: SHADOWFALL (8th)

Race 1

(6) DEMAND AN ANSWER made a middle move last week but couldn't keep pace late with a very strong winner. He looks like he is approaching a top effort now. Top call in the opener. (8) FLEET BUMBLEBEE is obviously sharp but often is a victim of his racing style. He can win this but must beat a couple of the gate or start his move very early. (7) GRAND PREMIERE can contend if he stays flat here.

Race 2

(1) ETRUSCAN HANOVER is at the very top of his game and can take another here while he is hot. (2) IN SECRET saved his move for very late last week then roared up to nail the pacesetters right on the wire. He is improving and dangerous. (5) FEARLESS MAN trotted his fastest final 1/4 in weeks but still got nailed on the money. He's always dangerous but note the choice wore him down last time they faced.

Race 3

(3) MUSICAL RHYTHM has been unbeatable the past few weeks when he has stayed flat. He faces a tough test here in (7) HILLSONATOR and tactics will be interesting. Slight nod to the former but you need both on your Pick 5 tickets. (5) MUSCLES ALL OVER will be closing late and seems most likely to complete the tri.

Race 4

(4) WOGGY ROCKS has been a hot item at the claiming box recently and is a top contender from close range here debuting in a new barn. (8) IDOLE DUHARAS gets a positive driver change here and should get a better start which is critical for him. (6) CRAFTY MASTER should be passing many of these late for a share and could upset with the right trip.

Race 5

(5) INTENDED STYLE was parked the mile last time now moves into a high percentage barn off a claim. He won several times on this circuit last year; expect improvement here. (6) RETAIL was pushed to an insanely-fast first 1/4 last week and fought off challengers throughout the mile then fell prey to the pocket-sitter. He is a logical contender here. (7) CHICAGO HANOVER continues to race well but will need to work out a trip from out there to take down the two mentioned above.

Race 6

(9) WINDSONG MAGIC - a full sister to 2007 'O Brien Award winner Windsong Espoir - has shown promise out of town and the trainer/driver had a big winner here Thursday night; top call. (2) TRUMPETS raced okay in her first start of the year and should move forward here. (1) JAYPORT ON TH EDGE is a good one to use on the bottom of tris and supers but unlikely to finish any higher.

Race 7

(7) SIR MACHALOT and (6) SHOCK N ROCK both got mired behind terrible cover down the backside last week, costing them all chance. Both were finishing fast and are sharp, however. Top call to the former who can be closer early. (4) HIT AND GIGGLE A stopped vs. better but can contend here and may look to sit a trip this time.

Race 8

(2) SHADOWFALL drops out of the Count B series sporting a lousy line but the trainer driver has been known to wake horses up with no notice. The class drop will help here. (6) XPERT BAYAMA is the 4th foal to race from the dam and the first three were all winners that took 22 races in total. This one could be ready to roll at first asking. (8) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP was no match for the speedy Wichita Lineman when making his first start in almost 19 months. He can go forward here.

Race 9

(6) MACH POWER jogged last week under a stranglehold in his Woodbine debut and could be a very good one. Call to repeat. (7) WICHITA LINEMAN is bred to be very fast and may be the best one his dam Armbro Dancer (1:48 4/5) has produced to date. He can give the choice a tussle. (2) TRISUN seems logical to complete the tri but unlikely to threaten the top two.

Race 10

In an extremely tough race to figure let's give a slight nod to (5) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS who gets Filion back and may sit a beneficial trip here. (7) LINDYS TRU GRIT didn't fare well in his first start for new connections but the class drop here should help. (9) GRANA PADANNO has been racing well and can take a big chunk of this purse. (6) DOMEDOMEDOME was too far back early last time. Any early battling will favor her style here. (2) KINETIC KING is a good one for the bottom of exotic wagers. He can sit an inside following trip and grab a check here.

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