01/06/2017 3:59PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 1/9 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 4,6,7/3,4,5,8/4,5/2,7,8/3,4 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,7,8/3,4/1,4,7/2 = $18

LATE PICK 4: 2/3,5/2,6/1,3,4,5,6,7 = $24

MEET STATS: 66 - 259 / $410.30  BEST BETS: 10 - 24 / $36.40

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 24 / $33.20


Spot Play: SHADOW PLACE (5th)

Race 1

(4) EMPTYTHETILL has done well for trainer Auciello since shipping north. The only concern here is the time between starts; slight nod. (6) AMAZING PERCH was first up against an unyielding leader last time, but that was still his best effort to date; using. (10) CLOUSEAU HANOVER was a sharp first-up winner vs. weaker and he has yet to miss the board since returning from a break; worth a look at a price for the exotics. (7) MR MATCH ON BEACH will be a speed threat here and he should stick around for a share.

Race 2

(4) ARE YOU IN has closed quickly in each of his last two starts and he could offer a decent price here with driver Renaud listed; top call. (8) INNOVATIVE FORCE should be competitive here if he blasts off the gate as he did last time out. (5) PICK UP THE TAB is another that should be a threat from close range here. (3) FRENCH BASTILLE sits at 0-21 lifetime, but he does look good to take at least a share here and a win isn't out of the question vs. these.

Race 3

(4) BOBS FELLA set some solid fractions in his debut and eventually succumbed to first-over pressure. He looks good to graduate here. (5) FUSION FIVE nailed the choice for second right on the wire. He's the main threat here. (1) SPOIL SPORT is worth a look here with the Filion-to-Larocque trainer switch angle in play. Expect sharp improvement from this gelding. (3) WINDSUN GOTHAM showed some late interest in his debut. He can be more competitive here if he starts quicker.

Race 4

(8) RED BUGLER was purchased privately by trainer/driver Cullen and partners following his last start. Expect an all-out speed try here. (2) MYSTIC DEUCE had no shot of closing in a wildly-quick mile for the class last time. He should be a bigger threat here. (7) Veteran INTENDED STYLE has to be considered for multi-race bets switching to Moreau here. (3) JAC SPADE should get a good pace to close into here and he should take a slice.

Race 5

(3) SHADOW PLACE had a useful tightener at Flamboro following a break and he is more than capable of being competitive in this class; top call. (4) REGAL SON raced decently from the second-tier last time vs. better. He should be prominent throughout here. (8) JAKE LOEWEN has been finishing off his miles well and he can close for a share here. (1) BIG PETES STYLE can take a smaller slice off a following trip despite stepping up in class here.

Race 6

(1) ODDS ON AMETHYST was closing well in the final 1/4 last time but he was just too far back to make an impact on the winner. A slightly better start puts him right there vs. these. (7) APRIL ROSE was cooked early last time. She was claimed then and should be a speed threat here. (4) BIG RICH nosed out the choice last time and he is another that merits Pick 4 consideration. (9) SECOND SISTER was a driving away winner in the slop last time. It's hard to say if she can repeat on a fast track.

Race 7

(2) HUGHGETTHECREDIT simply looks fastest in here and he will get the job done if his trip is reasonable. (4) BIG JOHN HOUN took a ton of support at the windows last time, but he couldn't convert. He looks next best here. (10) DREAMFAIR MESA faced tougher in the Valedictory series ad he won a leg in fast time. He could soften up the choice if he blasts early. (7) WHATASHOWINONTARIO can close for a smaller share this time.

Race 8

(3) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE improved in his second start over this track and if he starts better here, he should be a top contender. (5) DOTTIE is in top form as she shoots for three straight wins; using. (2) SWEET ROYALTY gets a much better post this time and he will likely be rolled to the front early. He can be tough if he gets a breather. (9) BATOUTAHILL didn't like the slop last time. He should rebound and take a smaller slice if the track is dry.

Race 9

(2) PUSH BACK seems to have found his proper level and he should be tough again here racing on or near the lead. (6) COBALT MAN goes for trainer Gillis off the claim here following a win one class lower. He's worth a look in a claimer. (3) DINNER AT THE MET is a good one to use underneath as he should get a nice following trip here. (7) NOBETTORPLACETOBE raced out of his skin two back over a dry track. If he blasts this time, he could go all the way.

Race 10

(3) FEARLESS MAN faded late in the slop last time. He stands a decent chance of going down the road if the track is fast this time. (1) CATCH THE DREAM always appears to be a threat but he has been prone to taking slices lately. (5) CASH FOR GOLD won in a class higher than this two back; beware. (6) WILD AND CRAZY GUY is another that could win this very competitive finale with the right trip. (7) O NARUTAC PERFETTO will be closing for at least a share if he stays flat.

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