01/27/2017 2:18PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 1/30 Analysis

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Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 4,5,6,7,10 / 3 / 1,4,5,6 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,8 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,3 / 1,2,8 / 1,4 / 1,2,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,7 / 2,5 / 4,6,7 / 1,3 = $36

MEET STATS: 91 - 364 / $511.50

BEST BETS: 14 - 33 / $54.50

SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 34 / $59.40

Best Bet: FREE WILLY HANOVER (2nd)

Spot Play: COBALT MAN (5th)

Race 1

(7) JACK OF CLUBS is related to two good racehorses. He had good late speed on a track rated five seconds slow in his January 19th qualifier and is worth a try here, possibly at a price. (4) FUSION FIVE was nailed very late last time in a good effort. He’s the one to beat here. (10) ARTS N MUSIC made two early moves to command last week and stayed game. He is another in with a decent chance. (6) LIFEONAFASTJET qualified well over an off track and he could hit the ticket here in his debut. He also bears watching for next time too for a barn that is typically patient.

Race 2

(3) FREE WILLY HANOVER recently changed hands and the new connections will no doubt be looking to extend his winning streak; top call. (2) ASTERIX is still stuck on one win, but he comes off a big trip and retains McNair; using. (6) SIBSON will likely revert to closing tactics here, which gives him a better shot. (5) FRENCH BASTILLE rarely missed a check and he should take a small slice here.

Race 3

(5) WILD AND CRAZY GUY is in top form and he should get another good trip here; slight nod. (1) ITS HUW YOU KNOW has been going some tough trips and finishing close every time. He is a threat here. (4) FEARLESS MAN was pushed hard early last time and he paid the price. He projects to get an easier time of it and he should last longer. (6) MARQUIS VOLO is on a roll but he will find these tougher; smaller share predicted.

Race 4

(1) PODGE parlayed a smart drive and good trip into an easy win last week. He has some upside and should get another decent trip here; top call. (3) KEYSTONE KEEN was full of pace late last time and he converted; using. (2) REDONKULOUS was closing well late last time and he gets post relief tonight, but he was well-beaten by the choice and will likely be over bet here. (4) MAYFIELD DUKE figures to tag along for a smaller share.

Race 5

(1) COBALT MAN gets post relief and he could be a nice price stepping up off a loss. He is worth a play here. (8) LONEWOLF CURRIER couldn’t chase down a repeat winner but that was his best race in months; using. (2) JIMMY BE GOOD goes for the potent Auciello/McNair combo off the claim and he is another that you need on multi-race tickets. (7) DALTON DID IT will be passing some of these late for a share.

Race 6           

(1) BURNIN MONEY moves up one class off a big win and he can double up here in his current sharp state. (4) OLYMPIC SON couldn’t get a breather last week but he stayed game all the way. He could trip-out near the front. (2) SECOND SISTER is another that could get a good following trip near the front then pounce late. (9) IN SECRET will be passing horses late as he typically does and if he gets the right pace setup, he can pass them all.

Race 7

(2) JOSHUA MY BOY exploded late to win last time; call to repeat off that sharp effort. (1) MYSTIC DEUCE also comes off an impressive win and is clearly at the top of his game; using. (7) NOBETTERPLACETOBE got embroiled in an early pace duel last time but still stuck around for 2nd. He isn’t out of this. (3) CRANKIN IT UP steps up off a lifetime best score, but some of these are much tougher than those that he beat in that start.

Race 8

(5) BATOUTAHILL was simply too far back last time and caught behind dead cover. He can start better leaving from the middle of the gate here; top call. (2) WINDSUN MAGIC set solid splits while beating the choice last time. She’s the one to catch here. (9) MAJESTIC PRESENCE has beaten weaker twice straight but should find the top two here much tougher. (10) DOTTIE is capable of closing for a slice at a price.

Race 9

(7) TOP DESIRE goes for Moreau here and he projects to get a good trip near the front; slight nod. (6) MR MACH JIMMY should get an aggressive steer from Cullen off the claim and he could take these all the way. (4) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN was part of a wild scramble for the early lead last time and he paid the price late. He is a must-use going for Auciello off the claim here. (1) KEYSTONE DYLAN figures to get a following trip and take a share here.

Race 10

(3) LIFEIMITATESART finished with good energy in his first start for trainer Fine. He can chase these down if provided with a reasonable trip. (1) ROCKIN THE HOUSE was game in victory in his first start for Tackoor and he wasn’t taken despite dropping a level. He can threaten again here. (8) RED BUGLER stopped abruptly last time, which indicates something went amiss. He is worth a look after requalifying okay. (9) INTENDED STYLE always seems to be around the money. He should take at least a small share. (2) JAC SPADE always closes for a share and he should fill one of the minor slots. 

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