12/04/2015 4:32PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 12/7 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,6/1,2,5,6,8/2,6/1,2,7/1,2,9 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,7/1,2,9/3,4,5/5,9 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 2,5,9/2,3,4,7/1,3,8/2 = $36

MEET STATS: 125 - 388 / $666.40  BEST BETS: 20 - 35 / $70.80

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 35 / $99.80


Spot Play: FEARLESS MAN (7th)

Race 1

(1) MAGICAL PUMPKIN was a solid winner in this class Thursday night and was pre-entered here to come right back for more. It's tough to go against her in this spot considering how sharp she's been. (6) VICS ROYAL LADY was closing quickly in her Woodbine debut and could upset the choice with the right trip. (2) PISCEAN had it all her own way last time and couldn't hold on. She's will likely share but is hard to love on top.

Race 2

(2) TWIN B COMMANDER chased a strong winner home last week in an okay effort and gets a slight nod in a head-scratcher non-winners of two lifetime dash. (1) SILVER SAGE has been racing in stakes company in Illinois and may find this company easier. (8) JET PASSING enters a high percentage barn and could make some noise in his Woodbine debut.

Race 3

(2) J CS JAKE made a big move to the front last week and rolled to an easy win. Filion drives this gelding with great confidence; call to repeat. (6) TOTALLY RIPPED lost by less than 4 lengths last week to the choice after breaking early. He should be a lot closer if he stays flat here. (7) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT seems to be coming around and will break out with a big effort soon.

Race 4

(7) STAR COVER showed little last week in his comeback race but he is capable here vs. weaker if he gets the green light to leave hard at the start. (2) CZAR SEELSTER closed well into an accelerating late pace but was just too far back to make the board. He should be right there vs. these. (1) NEW MIRACLE left hard last time but so did several others and he got cooked. He could trip out here starting from the inside.

Race 5

(2) FATHERS AMIGA got caught in a blindswitch for most of the stretch last week and had to wait too long to get clearance which cost her the win. She has been racing great and should be prominent throughout here. (9) IN SECRET made a good move in the back 1/2 last week but couldn't reach an unbeatable winner. He is a top contender here. (1) KEN KAN WIN enters a barn that is known for improving trotters; beware.

Race 6

(4) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT has really improved his late speed in the new barn and gets the call to repeat here. (5) MACH TWO POINT SIX made two moves but couldn't get to the choice late last time. He looks like the main danger. (3) COWBOY CODY has a good qualifier, showing nice late speed while passing several horses. He could threaten off the shelf here.

Race 7

(9) FEARLESS MAN dropped back early last time and stayed there in his first start in 7 months. Dropping one level gives him a shot to lead these all the way, if he gets sent which might be a big if but that price should be right. (5) BURNIN MONEY has never been better and also drops and should be right in the thick of this throughout. (2) WILD AND CRAZY GUY only raced evenly in the top class now also drops and should be a threat.

Race 8

(4) MYSTERY BET is racing well and never seems to get bet. He could trip out on cover this time; call to upset. (3) DON'T RUSH is obviously the class here but has broken stride several times in a row prior to the qualifier. Using in the Pick 4, but avoiding in the win pool at 2/5 or so. (2) MR LOVER is going to get going earlier one of these times and get the job done.

Race 9

(1) THOUGHTYOUDLIKEIT was a sharp debut winner in September then missed some time due to sickness. Judging by the way he finished in his qualifier, he looks ready to go here. (3) DIGGIN IN did everything but hold off the pocket sitter late in a sharp effort last week. He's the one to beat here. (8) SPORTS WARNING got a perfect trip to win last week but is in great form and must be included on late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 10

(2) IDOLE DUHARAS roared to an easy win off the claim last week and likely wins and gets claimed again here. (1) U BETTORS HANOVER finished 4th to the choice but moves inside now and gets his second start over the track. He could bridge that gap and register the upset here. (5) FRESH N FAST has some good form at Flamboro and goes for top connections here; using. (8) IDEAL JET faces easier here and could wake up and crash the exotics at a big price. (3) TOUCH OF THE PAST comes in from Indiana with some solid lines from races in a claiming stakes series. He can make the ticket here.

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