01/23/2015 5:35PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 1/26 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,7,8 / 2,6,7,8 / 4 / 5,6,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 19 - 52 / $129.90  BEST BETS: 2 - 5 / $13.20  SPOT PLAYS: 1 - 5 / $21.60


Spot Play: JLS TIMES R GOOD (1st)

Race 1

(7) JLS TIMES R GOOD produced a nice effort first time dropped into claimers after chasing better at Flamboro. McDonnell should be able to carve out a winning stalking trip here. (2) STEPHANA DREAM came with a visually impressive rush late in her last mile which came off a 6-month layoff. She is an obvious contender but may get overbet here relative to her chances. (3) NEILS GOLDEN GIRL closed belatedly to be a well-beaten 2nd behind a winner that was taking a big edge; for a piece.

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Race 2

First time starter (4) AMERICAN ROCK looks revved up and ready to rock for Team Alagna and likely dispatches this group as a popular winner at the windows. (5) CAMVICTED impressively won his debut despite racing greenly down the lane; respect. (6) GIVE EM BACK showed decent early foot in his seasonal debut and should get a piece of this dash, too.

Race 3

(1) TYMAL COLLOSUS was beaten by one that had an obvious edge on the field. He should be able to make his own luck here from the rail and take control of the race when Filion says 'go'. (8) HOLY MOLIE MAGGIE exits the same heat and overcame some poor cover to close well belatedly. She'll be coming late again. (4) LAKEFIELD drops back into a claimer and you'll know him early; late is questionable.

Race 4

(7) HOPETOBEFIRST debuts off the Auciello claim and was thwarted last time by poor cover and a leader getting zero pressure throughout the mile. It will be interesting to see if A-Mac revs this one up early. (2) LITTLE QUICK's chances were eliminated by a horse that stalled the flow throughout the mile. Redemption is possible here. (8) GUINESS SEELSTER was claimed off some nice wins by Puddy and jumped up into the London Preferred. He fits better here and could upset. (9) LOST IN PANSLATION strolled unchallenged around the track as predicted returning an astounding $21. He is unlikely to get the same kind of trip here.

Race 5

(7) COBBLE BEACH makes his 3rd start of the season and takes a substantial class drop. He is likely all systems go against this group. (8) KINDLY POET, the likeable millionaire, drops several classes and would be no surprise vs. these. (2) SMARTER YET fell just short of upsetting after a covered trip throughout. A similar good trip is possible here.

Race 6

(4) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT, the night's BEST BET, came up with a monster effort off a 28-day break. He should be even better on the 7-day rotation and rates top call.  (2) REGAL RAY showed good improvement in his second start off a layoff and should go even better here. (5) HARBOR PLACE had every chance but was repelled by the choice last week. A similar fate is likely tonight.

Race 7

(6) NORTHERN VICTORY produced a big winning effort as expected last week. Call right back in his current sharp form. (5) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT has been in very good form for Henriksen for several weeks and fits this class like a glove; should be right there. (10) PAPER BACKED LINDY won two straight impressively at lower classes but the waters get deeper here with the class jump and move to post 10.

Race 8

(5) LEGION OF BOOM's debut was decent enough to suggest he is one of the better ones here. Expect McNair to fire him off the gate with the better starting slot. (6) BARRYS SHELBY is certainly bred well enough to be competitive right off the gate; using. (8) TERROR OF THE NIGHT took a ton of cash at the windows then imploded early. His penultimate race makes him a big factor if he can replicate it.

Race 9

(2) FEARLESS MAN again made multiple moves but paid the price in the Preferred. He gets the call to rebound here. (4) WATKINS makes his third start off a long layoff and could wake up vs. these. (5) COOL GUY made a bold move for the front in the third quarter but was easily overtaken by the classy winner who was taking her 4th straight Preferred. He is a big factor in here.

Race 10

(1) ROCKNROLL BAND could not find a spot to tuck in early and was hung out to dry; he stopped and started several times in that mile and did well to be third. He goes much better from the rail here. (4) UNIQUE BARAN was a comfortable winner first off the claim for Stewart and is the obvious danger. (6) SHOW TOPPER followed along for third but has been racing okay for trainer Jarvis since the December 8 claim. This one is on the ticket. (9) PL GYRO closes for a piece after the winner has been decided virtually every week. Put him on the bottom of your vertical wagers. (5) SMOKEYS LUCK was 2nd behind the choice then missed a week; for a minor award only.

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