12/18/2015 3:39PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 12/21 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 4,8,9/1,8/3,4,6/2,9,10/5,8 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,9,10/5,8/8,10/1,2,3,6 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 8/1,4,6,8/3,4,7,8,9,10/2,4 = $48

MEET STATS: 154 - 471 / $801.20  BEST BETS: 23 - 43 / $78.70

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 43 / 122.60

Best Bet: FEARLESS MAN (8th)

Spot Play: WHITEGLANCE (2nd)

Race 1

(9) VICS ROYAL LADY has raced well in both starts at Woodbine - both times losing to the same sharp winner. She looks like one of few contenders in here. (4) CALIFORNIA RACHEL got too far back last time and is sure to get a more aggressive Filion steer here but she is also likely to be overbet. (8) ASPEN CALIFORNIA raced very well in the Autumn series but has missed 2 1/2 weeks now; minor share likely.

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Race 2

(8) WHITEGLANCE was finishing quickly last week and need only start her move earlier here to greet the track photographer. (1) MACH MISS raced much better last week and should be a threat here. (4) WISHES FOR YOU raced well on December 3rd when overtaken very late in the mile but was then a vet scratch; tough call.

Race 3

(4) HERBIES WILDFLOWER could have won last week but simply ran out of racetrack once free in the lane; top call here. (6) TOTALLY RIPPED took a new life's mark last week and is as sharp as he's ever been; using. (3) COVERT OPERATIVE is showing improvement every week and is another to consider for Pick 5 wagers.

Race 4

(10) SHADES OF BAY was simply overmatched in the Valedictory series but looks like one of the best here and should get floated out for good position early. Call despite post. (2) IWILLNOTBEMACHED exits a race from which the winner repeated in spectacular fashion. He fits better here. (9) THOUGHTYOUDLIKEIT was really motoring late last week but the post is a concern here as he isn't a quick leaver typically.

Race 5

(5) MURMUR HANOVER drops from the Preferred and will be on a speed mission here. (8) BAGS FOR ALL also takes a class drop but needs to show more. (10) COLD CERTIFIED is sharp but has other speedsters to contend with early here.

Race 6

(10) C R AMIGO bottomed out a similar field leading throughout on Thursday night and is right back for more here. (8) TORTOLA SUNRISE got going too late when 3rd to the choice in that race. If he could land in his pocket early, he can take him late. (1) EMPIRE STRIKESBACK is sitting right there for hunch players.

Race 7

(1) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT has excelled at the bottom claiming level and will be tough to beat once again here. (3) JET AIRLINER almost pulled off a massive upset the last time conditioner Billings shipped him in here; beware. (6) FIRST IMPRESSION blew some carbon out of the engine after a 25-day break last time but went too fast too soon on the lead. He has a better chance here and could trip out behind the choice.

Race 8

(8) FEARLESS MAN left as expected last week, took cover then prevailed late. He can rip off a few in a row when he is sharp; call to repeat. (1) BURNIN MONEY may reverse tactics and take the choice's cover here which would make him dangerous. (2) ROSSINI has faced better but may need one over this track before he shows his best.

Race 9

(4) CAMS TUX has been closing well every start but just facing some rivals that are too tough for him. The class drop should put him right there vs. this group. (8) PRINCE CLYDE takes a similar class drop and should be blasting early here. (6) MAJOR STARLIGHT went a big winning trip in Chicago last time and should be respected.

Race 10

(8) DREYDL HANOVER dropped and popped when last in this bottom class on November 9th. History can repeat here. (7) THE REV returns to his old barn for his first start back in Ontario and has beaten better previously; using. (10) ALWAYS THERE went a big trip last time but was picked off by one that tripped out. Toss him on deeper late 4 tickets.

Race 11

(2) ETRUSCAN HANOVER has put together two solid qualifiers now and if he could stay flat he would likely blitz this field. He's hard to love here considering his breaking tendencies but also very hard to toss. (4) GAME ON HANOVER was picked off late last week and has better success when she races off a helmet which could be the preferred style here. (7) MY KID SISTER is in good form but often comes on too late in the mile. A minor share is likely again.    

Race 12

(7) SHOOTIN TO KILL could have won last week if he made his move a bit earlier. He looks like one of the best ones in here. (10) HES GONE BAD has 9 slices in 13 starts and likely adds to that total here starting furthest out. (8) CATCH TWENTY TWO showed little in his debut but could improve sharply here with that experience filed away. (6) EINHORN has been grabbing checks every week in Buffalo and this isn't the toughest field; using. (4) MAYFIELD DUKE is another that can't get past minor shares it seems but could better this placing.

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