12/16/2016 3:04PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 12/19 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 7/2,6,8/3/6,7,9,10/1,3,4,5,10 = $12

EARLY PICK 4: 6,7,9,10/1,3,5/4,5/4,5,6 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,6/2,3,7,10/5,8/1,3,7 = $72

MEET STATS: 53 - 207 / $299.60  BEST BETS: 8 - 20 / $25.80

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 20 / $24.80

Best Bet: UTOPIA (3rd)

Spot Play: J JS DELIVERY (1st)

Race 1

(7) J JS DELIVERY showed some life when dropped into a claiming handicap last time now he tries what should be a much easier spot vs. conditioned claimers; top call. (1) THINK AGAIN raced well in his first start for Moreau - but he still has only won 2 of his last 56 starts. Beware taking too short a win price on this gelding. (5) SIERRA MADRE takes a share every week and he should find this conditioned claimer easier. He's not out of this. (2) WALTZKING HANOVER should be a pace threat here and stick around for a share.

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Race 2

(2) ZAGSTER notably moves into Allard's barn here following a very good effort. That stable could be on the verge of heating up; top call. (6) MARQUIS VOLO edged the choice with a determined effort last time. He should be on Pick 5 tickets. (8) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO used a 26 4/5 third 1/4 to get away on his foes last week. He is a threat with that kind of speed. (1) DUH BUBBEES figures to tag along and grab another share.

Race 3

(3) UTOPIA went a big trip to take a new life's mark last week; call to repeat. (5) ITS HUW YOU KNOW set the pace in that mile - showing how good he can be when he behaves - and he will do the same here if he stays flat. (6) CATCH THE DREAM figures for another smaller share here. (2) RAMAS LAST SON should make the ticket leaving from an inner post.

Race 4

(6) DIGGIN IN takes a pretty big class drop here and he should handle these if nothing is amiss. (7) NO BU also drops after setting the pace in a claiming handicap. Coming back quicker here should help. (9) STROKIN is worth a look making his debut for trainer Bourassa and picking up Henry. (10) RAGING FINGERS should show more here dropping to the bottom level, but his post is no bargain.

Race 5

(1) ER ZACH ATTACK showed some late interest in his Woodbine debut and that was after missing a month. He could show sharp improvement here. (3) FRANKIE BOY closes quickly each start. One of these times he will be close enough to pounce. (5) THREE OF CLUBS should be a threat here if he can stay flat this time. (10) AVATARTIST drops and he may get sent hard off the gate which would make him dangerous.

Race 6

(5) IM WANTED makes his second start for the leading trainer after showing sharp improvement last week; top call. (4) PRINCE OF MINTO rallied strongly to win last week and he should be a major threat here right back. (8) GRACE DUHARAS figures to rally belatedly for a share. (10) GUSCREST raced well last week off the shelf but the 10-hole likely dooms him to a smaller share here.

Race 7

(6) YORK SEELSTER debuts for Cullen off the claim here and he is sure to get an aggressive steer. (4) PUSH BACK raced well first time in a claimer last week and although he has seen better days, he appears to fit here currently. (5) LISVINNIE and (1) JIMMY BE GOOD are two more sharp contenders that you need to consider for Pick 4 tickets. This is a very contentious dash that is likely to be decided by trip.

Race 8

(10) ALL B OVER debuts for Moreau after tearing up Rideau Carlton's surface several weeks in a row. These are tougher but he could be up to it. (3) ESCUELA is sharp and will be passing horses late; using. (7) VICS ROYAL LADY made two moves last time but couldn't reach the tripped-out winner late in the mile. She figures to be a threat here. (2) CHARLIE IS A JOKER takes a big class plunge and can obviously win, but he will also likely be overbet in this spot.

Race 9

(8) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP raced well under a lot of pressure throughout last week. A slightly better trip gets him to the winner's circle here. (5) LATE NIGHT was the one that was dueling with the choice last time. He, too, figures to get an easier trip here which makes him a contender. (6) BIG JOHN HOUN closed well into a slowing late pace in the same race. He figures for a share here. (2) KILLER THRILLER brings solid form with him from Ottawa; for a share.

Race 10

(7) I WANNA BE GEARED improved sharply in his debut for Johnson last week. I'll give him the nod here. (1) INTENDED STYLE couldn't get close to a very sharp winner last time, but he does rate highly here. (3) MYSTIC DEUCE rallied for a sharp win in the drop to this class last week; using. (9) JAC SPADE continues to race well, but post likely relegates him to a smaller share here. (4) ROCKIN THE HOUSE raced okay off a long break. He can share here, too.

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