11/29/2015 6:44PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 11/30 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1/1,5,7/1,3,5,8/2,3,5/1,2,3,5,7,8 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,5/1,2,3,5,7,8/2/3,4,6 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,6/6,8,9/5/1,3,4,5,8 = $45

MEET STATS: 105 - 345 / $534.80  BEST BETS: 16 - 31 / $54.10

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 31 / $99.80

Best Bet: MUSCIAL RHYTHM (9th)

Spot Play: NEW MIRACLE (4th)

Race 1

(1) SPORTS WARNING was only nailed late in a quick mile last week and looks best here. (7) REGAL FAME was a sharp winner in his 2nd start back and can threaten despite the move up to non-winners of two. This isn't the strongest group. (8) DIGGIN IN raced decently after shipping in and now comes back in a week this time. He should share.

Race 2

(7) COUNTRY PROPHET was on the move when he broke last time. He can get back on track here if he behaves. (5) TOWNLINE MOMMA is only a one-time winner in two years but was in good from before shipping in and can get a good piece of this. (1) PISCEAN is fast enough to beat this group but has obvious gait issues and the rail may not be the best post for her; tough call.

Race 3

(3) MACH TWO POINT SIX comes out of a race that was declared a no contest at the half. He was prominent at that point and more of the same is expected here. (8) FOREGO THE CIGAR drops into a claimer for a dangerous outfit and could wake up at a big price here. (1) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT also drops back to the level he was claimed at and merits respect.

Race 4

(5) NEW MIRACLE drops back to non-winners of two and some of the miles he paced in late summer would make him very competitive here if he could recapture that form; price play. (2) SURE FIRED BET motored up late to upset last week and stands a chance here with the improvement he's been showing. (3) IWILLNOTBEMACHED lost all chance at the start last week but looks very competitive here based on the two miles he paced previous to that one.

Race 5

(7) CASH FOR GOLD appeared to be carefully driven last week when coming off a break. He could take this at a price if used harder here. (3) BAGS FOR ALL is the obvious class of the field but has missed a month. She's worth trying to beat in the win pool. (1) MYSTERY BET rolled up very late to win in this class last week and is usually a threat in deep stretch it seems.

Race 6

(2) J CS JAKE drops back to the class he last won after breaking stride vs. better. He should do here if he behaves. (8) LEXUS ROCKY raced okay vs. a dominant winner last week and fits well here. (5) BROADWAY PRINCE steps up off an impressive win but is sure to face quicker splits.

Race 7

(4) REASONABLE FORCE went a long mile last time and wasn't beaten that far. He can take this with a better trip and drive. (3) MR YOKASIPPI ships in off two impressive wins out of town and steps up. He should be in the thick of it late. (6) IDOLE DUHARAS goes for Auciello and Drury off the claim and they always do well at this meet; using.

Race 8

(6) FEARLESS MAN comes off a rest here and is quite capable of taking this group down the road if ready; top call. (8) FLANAGAN MEMORY was third in the TVG Free For All Trot last time which means he will be heavily bet here. He is an obvious contender but his style often compromises his chances on this track. (9) IL SOGNO DREAM has won three of the last four Preferreds and is the one to beat.

Race 9

(5) MUSICAL RHYTHM took a new life's mark last week and should be good for another here facing similar. (1) JUANITAS FURY was third to the choice - yet well-beaten - and should get a good following trip here. (7) LMC MARSHMELLOW is capable of getting closer to the choice if she can start quicker and get better position.

Race 10

(5) CAMS TUX was first-up last week which isn't his trip. He can win the finale if he can latch onto some decent cover. (8) THEPANINSULAHOTEL fits this class well and should be prominent throughout again. (4) INTENDED STYLE hinted at returning to his best form last week and will likely take lots of play here. (3) LIVE AND LEARN has a good shot to share starting from the inside and this trainer is known for clicking with some big bombs; beware. (1) BROADIES SONG earned a lot of money on this circuit in his younger years and isn't without a shot here.

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