11/25/2016 4:12PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 11/28 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

.20 PICK 5: 1,8,9,10 / 2,3 / 1,7,9,10 / 6 / 3,4,6,8 = $25.60

$1 EARLY PICK 4: 6 / 3,4,6,8 / 1,5,7 / 2,4,5 = $36

$1 LATE PICK 4: 2,4,5 / 3,5,9 / 3,7 / 2 = $18

MEET STATS: 19 - 85 / $120.00  BEST BETS: 4 - 8 / $11.90

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00

Best Bet: AWESOMENESS (10th)


Race 1

(10) TWIN B INSPIRING drops into a claimer again coming off a vet scratch. She will likely get rolled for as far as she goes and she could bottom out this field. (8) LADY JEN couldn’t catch the choice’s stablemate last time, who went on a wild speed mission and lasted. She figures here, but could be involved in a similar pace scenario. (1) SHES A MANIAC should get a decent trip near the front here and isn’t without a shot. (9) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS is worth a look dropping into a claimer.

Race 2

(2) LISVINNE looked sharp in victory last week and he can double up here. The short field helps him. (3) NEVER BEEN TOLD has been on fire since arriving at Woodbine and he is the one to catch here. (7) NEW YORK NOGHTMARE will likely be camped at the back early and close for another slice here. (6) CHOSEN HOMBRE showed last week that he fits better in this class and he can close for another minor share.

Race 3

(9) DEMAND AN ANSWER woke up last time with McNair in the bike and perhaps can keep it going for MacDonald. (1) WARAWEE PROTON goes from the top trainer to one that has one win in the past three years. I will play to beat him off that angle. (10) ALACRITY woke up when dropped into a claimer last week and he looked good doing it; using. (7) CRACKER ZACK can be a pace threat here if he stays flat.

Race 4

(6) PRINCE CLYDE takes the plunge to the lowest condition level and he should get an aggressive steer vs. much easier. (1) CS EYE raced Thursday night and he got stuck behind a stopping leader. He has a shot here at a price if he goes. (8) EVERY DAY wasn’t disgraced in a quick mile last time and he shows a nice final 1/4. He could sneak onto the ticket here. (5) NEEDLECREST is another that can pass horses late and make the ticket at a price.

Race 5

(8) CASH FOR GOLD got mired on cover that was too slow to develop last time and the winner got away from him in the stretch. There is so much early speed in here that this race could fall into his lap in deep stretch. (3) MYSTERY BET showed a new dimension last time when using a take-no-prisoners approach. He is sharp and will likely revert to a preferred closing style in this field. (4) OLYMPIC SON is on a roll and he is another that will be passing horses in the back 1/2. (6) WILD AND CRAZY GUY takes a substantial class drop and he is worth including on that factor alone.

Race 6           

(7) PAR INTENDED continues to stay sharp and race well every week. The outer post should allow him to grab some cover here, which could be the deciding factor. (1) YORK SEELSTER should benefit from the post position change and get involved in the race earlier. (5) PANEDICTINE was the beneficiary of a slowing late pace last week. He isn’t out of this, but he is more likely to take a smaller share this time. (6) LONEWOLF CURRIER can be a bad actor and he must be seen on the track before being played. If he is acting up before the race, he is probably a solid bet against at any price.

Race 7

(5) RAGING FINGERS was raced aggressively in this class two back and was only beaten by the pocket-sitter. Toss the Flamboro race from the 8-hole and he looks solid here. (4) LIGHT FOOT RD should improve by default getting away from the 9-hole to start the race; using. (2) INTENDED STYLE is another that almost surely will improve from a better post. Toss him on Pick 4 tickets. (7) STIMULUS SPENDING will be passing horses late, most likely for a smaller share.

Race 8

(5) ABSOLUT SEELSTER was a strong winner from the 10-hole last time and she is a good bet to repeat here leaving from a better post. (9) PREMIER GLITTER was flying late last time in a much-improved performance. She is worth inclusion here. (3) GREGO could threaten if he can get away better from this improved post. (8) PAMPERED IN PINK should be a speed threat if she stays flat this time, but that’s hard to predict.

Race 9

(3) WINDSUN REVENGE couldn’t survive the big first 1/2 that he laid down last week. If he gets a breather here, he should be tough to beat. (7) IL SOGNO DREAM powered up impressively last week despite having missed more than three weeks of action. He is the obvious danger. (2) FEARLESS MAN could be closer early this time, which would make him a threat. (5) ABC MUSCLES BOY is an interesting shipper that should have a say in the outcome here.

Race 10

(2) AWESOMENESS was sold on November 17th and he gets a positive driver change here. Expect him to be rolled early and sent on a speed mission here. (4) DEADLY ACTION is worth a look coming off the shelf here with a nice qualifier in tow. (8) SENIOR K should be on or near the lead early, but may find the choice too tough. (9) ROCKIN RONNIE is in great form and he can share here despite facing tougher. (1) SHOOTER INTHECREEK goes for Moreau off a sharp mile vs. claimers at Hoosier. He could better this placing, but a win is unlikely here.

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