11/20/2015 4:47PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 11/23 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,3,6/1,4,5,7/1/1,3,5/1,2,3,5 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5/1,2,3,5/2,7/2,7,8 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 2,7,8/3/1,3,6/3,4,5,8,9,10 = $54

MEET STATS: 88 - 303 / $445.60  BEST BETS: 14 - 27 / $46.80

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 27 / $85.00


Spot Play: CAMS TUX (4th)

Race 1

(1) KINETIC KING has been racing well at this level and should get a good trip here; slight nod in the opener. (5) MICHAELS TURN raced better last time and is reaching his best form now. He's dangerous here. (6) MURMUR HANOVER drops again and will likely be overbet here.

Race 2

(5) KG CHEYENNE couldn't close after tracking a slow pace is his debut; more is expected here. (7) HES GONE BAD is getting closer and looks like one of the best ones in here. (4) RISING FELLA raced better last week and is another that is getting closer to breaking his maiden.

Race 3

(1) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR takes a big class drop here and should handle this group. (6) WILD AND CRAZY GUY has improved his late speed the past two and looks like the main threat. (6) J CS JAKE has been racing great since being claimed by the top trainer. He can't be dismissed even with the class rise.

Race 4

(3) CAMS TUX was visibly closing well late last week after breaking early. If he stays flat he can take this group. (5) CLIFF DRUMMOND was swooped by the winner on the backside and couldn't recover from that move. He stands a better chance of controlling things here. (1) CARACCI HANOVER left hard from the 10-hole then took a major shuffle last week. Post relief should help here.

Race 5

(1) SPORTS WARNING roared home last time in his first start of the year. He looks good here but might get hammered in the win pool. (5) DIGGIN IN ships in after being claimed out of a blowout win. The 17-day gap in action may not help though; your call. (2) SHADES OF BAY ships in off some quick miles at the Red Mile bit has now missed more than a month. He is worth trying to beat here.

Race 6

(2) MUSCLE UP THE GOAL drops and likely pops here. (7) MR LOVER has a powerful late kick but needs to stay flat. (6) STORMONT KATE is having a good year for her owner/trainer/driver and is dangerous here on or close to the lead.

Race 7

(7) MUSICAL SPELL showed big early speed last time which is perhaps a sign and last time MacDonald drove he was a wire-to-wire winner; top call. (8) GAME ON HANOVER had some trot late in her mile last week and should have more to offer here in her 2nd start back on the big track.

Race 8

(3) WAZZUP WAZZUP - the king of the drop-and-pop - takes the plunge here and should be formidable. (5) HIT AND GIGGLE A unleashed a furious late kick to win last time and should be respected here. (7) SENIOR MARKET is sharp and should be heard from starting from a better post here.

Race 9

(3) IL SOGNO DREAM was way too far back last time and should get a more aggressive steer here from the middle of the gate. (1) WINDSUN REVENGE     is in top form and is the one to knock off here. (6) ETRUSCAN HANOVER is very fast on his best day but hasn't been able to stay flat lately; tough call.

Race 10

(5) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT drops back to claiming here in his 2nd start for the new barn; top call. (9) ALWAYS HERE went a long way on the lead cutting fast fractions last week; using. (8) CASIMIR LOW GEAR has been racing well in claimers out of town. His trainer shipped one in to win Thursday night here. (10) IDOLE DUHARAS is sharp but will need to work out a trip somehow from out there. (3) DOUBLETROUBLE should be passing many of these late for a share.

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