11/18/2016 3:43PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 11/21 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 5,7,8/9,10/2/1,3,5/4,5,7 = $7.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5/4,5,7/3,6/3,4,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,7/4,6,8/5,6/6,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 13 - 52 / $78.90  BEST BETS: 3 - 5 / $9.30

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 5 / $0.00


Spot Play: PAR INTENDED (5th)

Race 1

(8) GIVE EM HECK raced decently from the 10-hole last week and he has a much better chance of clearing to the front early here, which is where he wants to be; slight nod. (7) LISVINNIE went a very long trip last week and he is another that could get position early which would improve his chances here. (5) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE was out the route last week which dulled his late closing bid. He too should improve here with a better trip. (3) DRAKE should hit the ticket off an inside following trip.

Race 2

(10) SHOOT THE THRILL drops back down to the level at which he was claimed and notice he jogged that night; top call. (9) TOGA TOWN raced tough last time on the rim and he is likely getting closer to his first win in a long time; using. (6) ALACRITY could wake up here at a price dropping into a claimer for his second start back off a break. (2) LISEBERG can take a smaller share racing from close range here.

Race 3

(2) WINDSUN REVENGE should be able to handle this group coming off a solid Breeders Crown effort. (8) IL SOGNO DREAM also faces his easiest field in some time and he should be a factor here. (6) FEARLESS MAN looks sharp returning from a break and he loves Woodbine. The longer he gets left alone on the lead, the tougher he will be. (3) YOURE MAJESTIC steps up noticeably, but she is razor-sharp and is worthy of exotics consideration here.

Race 4

(1) SHES A MANIAC made two moves in a winning effort last week and the step up in class here isn't dramatic; slight nod. (5) LADY JEN drops and moves to the middle of the gate; expect improvement. (3) ALEXAS HOPE was closing sharply at the end of her mile last week and she gets Waples here; using. (10) DONNA PARTY rates highly on form, but the 10-hole could be her undoing here.

Race 5

(5) PAR INTENDED goes right back into the same class off a sharp win and he could easily attract another claim here; top call. (4) HIGHLAND TARTAN also goes for a new barn here off a super effort where he showed some grit. Toss him on your multi-race tickets. (7) LONEWOLF CURRIER had a good trip on the choice's cover but he couldn't reach him late. He isn't out of this, but he will likely find the top two troublesome. (2) JENKINS CREEEK was a sharp winner off the claim last time and he should factor here racing on or near the front.

Race 6

(3) TRUE MUSCLE should improve sharply vs. easier here and she should get put into the race earlier than she has been; slight nod. (6) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN is only a one-time winner, but he too should enjoy the easier company this time. (5) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE has missed six weeks of action but he does add Lasix here and he figures on form; your call. (8) SECRETCODE HANOVER set strong splits last time then tired late. He can take a smaller share here if he doesn't get hung out early.

Race 7

(4) MACH MESSIER moves up off a strong effort in defeat to an up-and-coming colt. He could take these gate-to-wire. (3) LATE NIGHT goes for three straight and he is hard to ignore in his current sharp state. (7) DREAMY FELLA drops from non-winners of five and he should be heard from down the lane here using his potent closing kick. (8) JACK RACKHAM should be a threat here exiting the Autumn series, but he must overcome the outer post position.

Race 8

(6) CASH FOR GOLD drops slightly and he should be right there vs. these if he starts his move early enough. (8) CATCH THE DREAM also rates highly in this class if he can stay on stride this time. (4) ITS HUW YOU KNOW should be a pace factor if he can overcome his recent gait issues here. (1) OLYMPIC SON steps up off a win, but he can be a factor here off a similar following trip.

Race 9

(5) ER QUINN could easily get the same winning pocket trip here as he did last week; top call. (6) NEVER BEEN TOLD moves up off a strong win and he will have to be caught, but, if the choice sits in his pocket, he could get picked off late in the mile. (3) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER can improve if he gets put into the race at some point this time. (4) CUNDALINI figures to sit an inside following trip and re-emerge for a smaller share here.

Race 10

(6) EAST END gets off the rail here which should enable a better start. He should be prominent throughout. (7) PUTNAMS LEGACY also moves to a post that is better for leaving hard, which is likely with him here; using. (4) SHADOWFALL is one of the better closers in the field. Look for him late if there is a lot of action early in the mile. (1) CENTURY CHURCHILL should share off an inside following trip. (8) SHARKY SHARK still has some upside making only his third start here. He can pass many of these late.

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