11/10/2017 4:10PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 11/13 Analysis

Email

Best Bet: IMSPORTY (10th)

Spot Play: MCKINNEY (1st)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 2,3,5/1,5,6/3,4,6/3,4/2,8,10 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 3,4/2,8,10/1,2/1,2,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,8/2,3,4,8/3,5,6/8 = $36

MEET STATS: 34 - 130 / $228.70  BEST BETS: 8 - 12 / $36.50

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 13 / $47.90

Race 1

(3) MCKINNEY won the last time he raced in this class on September 11th and he paid a great price that night. I'll give him the call here. (5) DOVUTO HANOVER also won last time he raced this low (Sept. 18) and these two very well could fight it out down the lane here. (2) BUGGER BRUISER raced tough from the 10-hole last time and the top driver sticks here. He's in with a shot despite jumping up one class. (8) THORN IN YOUR SIDE will surely show speed early and he can hang around for a slice here.

Race 2

(6) MEGO MOSS made a big third 1/4 move last week and he took control of the race. Aggressive reinsman Hudon sticks and he can double up here while his form is good. (1) HOLIDAY HOLLY was no match for the choice late, but, he could trip out here and turn the tables. (5) DOMITIAN HALL comes up tagged here off a win and he merits a long look - especially if a claim is entered on him. (3) NORTHERN STORMONT takes money every week and pops once in a while. I have come to the point where I have no idea when that might be; your call.

Race 3

(6) ODD BALL trotted a big mile on the rim last time and he has a big shot here if he can stay flat. (3) MISSLAROSE comes off an upset win in this class and she was dead game down the lane; using. (4) NOBLE PRIZE set solid splits on his way to a maiden win and he could be tough on the engine right back. (8) MR SHANAHAN could be a threat racing near the lead if he can stay trotting, which seems to be a frequent issue for him.

Race 4

(4) J J MYSTIC STORM made a big threatening move in the lane last week, but when he was sent to the inside he stalled and that may have been the worst place to be that night. I'll give him another try here and he should be a good price again. (3) CHARMBO ORBIT easily beat the choice last time and he is the one to beat at a short price here. (2) JET BLACK CADILLAC is worth including coming off a win vs. similar at Flamboro. (6) OAKROCK ELDORADO raced okay after being re-taken by veteran Gassien and he can hit the ticket at a price here.

Race 5

(2) IDOLE DUHARAS inexplicably stayed in last week, and then rallied for 2nd. He can take this with a more aggressive drive. (8) FOUR CARD MAJOR is on a roll and he will be tough here again. (10) THINK ON IT was a sharp winner when dropped to this class. He isn't out of this, even from post 10. (5) ROCKABELLA can take a smaller share passing horses in the back 1/2 here.

Race 6

(1) ANDOVERS CHOICE made a decisive move to the front early last week, then hung out a challenger throughout which also resulted in softening him up enough to get nailed by the pocket-sitter. A slightly easier trip makes him a winner here. (2) LETS BE HONEST is worth a look dropping in class coming off a shuffle job. (6) THE POWER OF MANY tripped out perfectly to beat the choice last time, but she is unlikely to get the same trip here; small share predicted. (4) LODI DORIAN BLUES will jump up and surprise one of these weeks; consider if he is a price.

Race 7

(8) DOWN ON MY LUCK was taken by the leading trainer last time when he was pacing to a new life's mark. Another win here stepping up one class would be no surprise. (1) BADSTORMANYPORT comes up tagged again and he should be a pace presence here. (2) MONTANA BEN raced well in his Woodbine debut for a trainer that can move one up. He could click here at a square price. (7) OFORPETESAKE was dead game in defeat last time and he isn't out of this, either.

Race 8

(2) ROSE RUN RANGER went a huge trip parked forever on Wednesday at Flamboro. He can surprise these with a better trip. (8) THE BIG BEAST also went a tough trip and stayed game. He will have a better shot here if he can clear early. (4) SILVERINYOURPOCKET has won 3 of his last 4 out of town and he merits a look here in a spot where he might trip out near the front. (3) GOTAMEETING is always near the front early and that makes him a possibility on this track where weather conditions often favor the leaders.

Race 9

(5) PREPPY ART looked like a winner when he exploded up the pylons in the stretch last week, but the inside may not have been the best place to be that night. I'll give him the nod here. (6) PAULY WALLY paced a big mile coming off a break and he could strike again while he is hot. (3) OSBORNE SEELSTER beat one that came right back to win and he merits consideration here with his improving form. (1) CINNABAR DRAGON goes for a trainer that can move one up right away and he is worth a flyer if he goes off at a big price here.

Race 10

The last time (8) IMSPORTY raced in this class on September 18th, he won by 7 lengths in a new life's mark of 1:50 3/5. Being that he is likely to be 2nd or 3rd choice here, I'll side with him. (4) P L JACKSON also drops to the bottom and he is capable of popping here. (7) CLASSY HILL gets a big driver change coming off a good race, but he could be overbet with the switch to Roy, too. (1) FIRST CAR will likely leave in the first flight which gives him a chance to share. (3) AVATARTIST is capable of showing speed in this spot and he is in with an upset chance if his trip works out.

[DRF HARNESS NEWSLETTER: Sign Up for the FREE DRF Harness Newsletter. Fresh content and insights delivered each Thursday.]