10/25/2015 1:02PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 10/26 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,5,7,8/2,3,4,5,6/5/1,6,10/2,5,7 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 1,6,10/2,5,7/3,5/5,9 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 5,9/2,4/1,5,8/1,6,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 41 - 132 / 204.70  BEST BETS: 5 - 11 / $15.20

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 12 / 30.30

Best Bet: IL SOGNO DREAM (3rd)

Spot Play: COMPANY MAN (9th)

Race 1

(5) COVERT OPERATIVE did well to pass more than 1/2 the field to nab 4th in the OSS Superfinal and should get a better trip here starting from the middle of the gate; slight nod. (7) RUBBER DUCK has done well with Moiseyev at the controls and should be forwardly placed immediately at the start here. (1) STORMONT WIZARD steps up off a powerful win but these are much tougher. A minor award may be his ceiling here.

Race 2

(6) MATZA MAN almost held on last time on a wet track and stands a good chance of taking this group a long way on the engine. (4) BUFF qualified better than he raced in his three starts in the summer although he will need to produce more late speed here. (3) T C SNO MASSIVE set some solid splits and tired late last time. He could do with an easier trip here.

Race 3

(5) IL SOGNO DREAM is in the best form of his life and will be very tough to beat here albeit at a miniscule price. (3) WHISKEY TAX has improved greatly with catch drivers in the bike and looks like the biggest threat to the choice. (6) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR is always dangerous on or near the engine but there are others in here that will compromise that style.

Race 4

(6) HES GONE BAD makes his debut for a new owner following a private sale and Phil Hudon interestingly takes the lines for Steve Hudon who typically drives his own stock; angle play. (1) DAYLIGHT RUSH made a heavy favorite work hard last time in an improved performance. The number of slices are a concern but he could get there soon. (10) AZUL POOL rates highly on paper but having the 10-hole off a month break makes him one to play against especially if he is a short price which is possible.

Race 5

(2) SHOE SHINE drops into a conditioned claimer and will take some beating here. (5) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE was the only one to pull on the leader last time and raced bravely to the wire into the teeth of a quickening pace; using. (7) MAC RAIDER is a threat with his good speed but the easy trip he got last week likely won't be repeated.

Race 6

(3) MARQUIS VOLO was an impressive winner closing quickly last week down the lane. He has a good shot at winning his fourth straight here. (5) BRINKERS DREAM has upset possibilities if she doesn't get shuffled in the middle of the race as she did last time. (2) JAYPORT ALL MUSCLE finishes 2nd or 3rd about 45% of the time and should get a decent trip here and take a share.

Race 7

(9) ARAZI moves into the top trainer's barn off the claim and will no doubt be trying to wire this. (5) ON THE ROCKS took advantage of a slowing pace to score last time but may have trouble with the choice here if that one gets any kind of a breather. (2) TWIN B SPORTSMAN has been saddled with outside posts for many consecutive starts. Moving inside may allow him to get in range earlier and use his late kick to get an on-the-board share.

Race 8

(4) LMC MARSHMELLOW was a solid winner over some of these last week and should be tough again from a good post. (2) THE MURMURING PAN made a great recovery from an early break in stride to finish 2nd and will be the one to beat if she stays flat throughout. (8) MEADOW SEELSTER set the table for the choice last time but is always dangerous with her good early speed.

Race 9

(7) COMPANY MAN drops back to a class where he dominated on Sept. 22nd and is likely pointed to the top early here. (4) UF DRAGONS ROCKET was live last week but couldn't keep up to a dominant winner. He's in with a good shot here. (1) SWEET COLT OF MINE was one of few closing on a big winner last week and should get a good trip here starting from the inside.

Race 10

(6) ALWAYS THERE tried it first-over last week at a point where the dominant winner was accelerating. He hung in there okay considering and will likely be a good price here. (8) AMERICAN ROCK has faced better recently and should get an aggressive steer here. (1) ZINGERS LAUGH ships in after two decent trip over the London 1/2-miler. He could share at a nice price here. (5) MACH OF BALLYKEEL couldn't keep up to a big winner, but, nobody could that night. He can make this ticket. (4) CHOSEN HOMBRE has 10 slices in 30 tries this season and will be passing horses late here.

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