10/11/2015 2:47PM

Woodbine Harness: Monday 10/12 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,4,7,8/3,4/2/1,4,6,7,9/3,8 = $16

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,6,7,9/3,8/1,7/2,6,7 = $60

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,6,7/1,4,8/3,5/7,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 13 - 52 / 72.60  BEST BETS: 1 - 5 / $4.60

SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 5 / 25.10

Best Bet: ARAZI (3rd)

Spot Play: STRIKING IVY (7th)

Race 1

(8) A LOT OF SENSE takes a class drop and should get a more aggressive steer here from McNair. Top call in the opener. (7) JENNA CASIMIR motored by the field in the stretch last week aided by a slowing pace. She's sharp and could repeat, however. (3) MISS SAND CREEK also closed well last week and is capable of leaving more alertly, too. She's another contender here.

Race 2

(3) MEADOW SEELSTER didn't get her trip vs. better last time but should be put right on the point from the outset here and take these a long way. (4) JUDY THE BEAUTY went a big uncovered trip in the Grassroots Final and should be a big threat here. (7) SHEGUINDAH has already won at the meet but is likely to face early pressure for the lead here which could lead to her undoing.

Race 3

(2) ARAZI dropped and popped last week and is right back in the same class. He'll be tough to beat off that new life's mark. (5) THE ROCK was the chalk in that same race but broke while on the move. He should rebound with a better effort. (8) JIMMY BE GOOD was closing best late in the same dash and should grab a share here.

Race 4

(1) BIG BANG BOOM looks ready to go in his debut and gets a slight nod in a race that looks like it requires deep coverage in this pick 4. (7) NOTETOSELF HANOVER raced well off the break and has a shot if Henry can get better position early. (4) SHOREVIEW raced tough first up in his best effort to date and is another that merits use in vertical wagers.

Race 5

(3) HOWIE made a powerful move to the front in the 3rd 1/4 last week and was a comfortable winner in his Woodbine debut. Most of these are no tougher; call to repeat. (8) MARQUIS VOLO was a 16 1/4 length winner which was due in part to several rivals breaking. He is sharp and capable but will likely be overbet. (7) MASS RAIL broke twice straight and requalified without incident. She can compete here if she behaves.

Race 6

(7) NOBLE HIGH SHADOW was solid racing first-over in his debut on this circuit and should go forward off that effort. (1) WILDCAT HILTON also raced decently in the same race and should get a good trip here leaving from the inside. (8) THINK AGAIN showed early speed which is so valuable on this oval. He could go down the road here.

Race 7

(6) STRIKING IVY has big speed for the first 1/2 in open company and finished okay. Back with her own gender she should be prominent throughout. (2) COLORATURA showed improvement last time which is a tipoff that a big effort is forthcoming soon, maybe even tonight. (7) HOPE RISES exits the Grassroots Final where she picked up a check. She should make the ticket vs. this group.

Race 8

(7) GRANDKIDS ATTACK was seen vaulting past horses late last week and if not for him following poor cover he likely would have won that night. He can beat this group with a slightly better trip. (1) DADDY WARBUCKS takes a class drop here and notice two back he almost won in this class. (3) SI SEMALU makes his second start for Moreau and should be a threat.

Race 9

(1) GIRL DRAMA is as solid as they come in this class and should appreciate the long Woodbine stretch here. (8) BLUSH AND CRUSH set solid fractions in a Billings race and was only picked off ate. She's sharp and dangerous. (4) J CS JAKE drops into a claimer which makes him a win threat here.

Race 10

(3) MAC RAIDER drops into a claimer here and McNair will likely try to wire these. (5) DEETZY was a sharp 2nd last week when dropped into this class and should be used in the late Pick 4. (9) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE has an adventurous trip last week and would stand a chance if he could clear these early which may not be an easy feat.

Race 11

(8) CAJON LIGHTNING went first up against a tough winner that has since repeated. He can take this with a better trip. (7) IM A GIFT won easily in this class last time and is the one to beat. (10) JACK REACHER was a big winner in this class two back then had a failed try vs. OSS Gold foes. He fits much better here. (6) VEGAS DREAM closed rapidly last time but now faces some elders. He can get a share here. (9) READ THE PROPOSAL gets Lasix here. He is better coming from the back and will likely revert to that style here starting from the outside.

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