03/06/2013 5:13PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 3/8 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet ( 9 - 23 / $31.50): GREYSTONE LADYLIKE (9th)          Spot Play: YACKETY YAK (8th)

Race 1

(1) SUGAR VALLEY ALLEY did all the work on the front last start and tired late in the stretch and had to settle for second. He draws inside and the horse that beat him last week, GUNGA WIN, draws outside. (9) GUNGA WIN is picked for second based on his post position. He's a top contender in here, but I think he's beatable. (2) CADILLAC CRUISER is a very good option for the triactor. He's been top three in each of his last three starts and draws inside.

Race 2

(3) TROTTING R T continues to surprise me because I didn't think he was this good of a horse. He draws well once again and remains at the same level that he's been very competitive at. (1) MARABOU draws the rail and shows excellent gate-speed. With the right trip, I think he can be a part of the exactor. He should offer value since he hasn't raced since Feb. 22. (4) MIKESBROTHERFRANK drops down in class and that's the main reason for my selection. He also draws much better and has a good record while racing in this class.

Race 3

(3) MONTENEGRO drops in class and should be a top threat at this level. She's been finishing in the top three quite consistently at a higher level and that leads me to believe that she should be very competitive in this lower class. (5) STAGE IT RIGHT was the post time favourite last start and came first-over and that's not her best stride. With a cleaner trip, I like her chances at a level where she should put together another strong performance. (4) WARRAWEE LIMELIGHT is a terrific option to consider for the triactor, in my opinion. She has only missed the board once in her last five starts, regardless of class.

Race 4

(10) THE SUMMER WIND came first-over last week to notch an impressive win for new trainer Fellows. She now has to overcome post 10, but she was very impressive last week and has the gate-speed to be positioned mid-pack if need be. (6) SHES A MANIAC was aggressively-driven last week by Saftic and it proved to be the winning move. She draws the same post and still will likely offer value. (2) PASSION R VIRGINIE is fresh off a win at Kawartha Downs and has terrific closing speed. If she's within striking distance at the top of the stretch, I like her chances. She likely will offer a high price and rightfully so.

Race 5

(9) MASTER BUILDER drops into a class where he found the winner's circle at three starts ago. He won from an outside post, much like he's been assigned in here and I think he can handle this class providing he's not too far back at the start. (10) DOLCE DUCCI has finished second in four straight races, all at this class. He does show gate-speed and can be well positioned off the start. Don't expect to see much value on him. (4) WORTHY ADVANTAGE enjoys racing from behind and draws well. When he behaves himself, he's very competitive in this class and won at this level four starts ago.

Race 6

(5) MILLIONDOLLARTOUCH did all the work on the front last week en route to victory and remains at the same level. This also marks his second start on Canadian soil, which I like. (8) STOMPIN TOM CREEK was full of pace last week and flying at the end of the mile. He was simply too far back to catch MILLIONDOLLARTOUCH. He draws outside and I'd expect to see the same tactics used. (2) BEST EARS drops back into a claimer and I feel that his best class right now. He draws inside and two starts ago he was at this level and put in a second-place effort.

Race 7

(4) TARAS JET put in a terrific effort two starts ago considering it was her return from a layoff and last week she tired late on the front. I don't think I'd like to see her on the front, but with an off-the-pace trip, I think she's capable. (2) LADY LATTE gets class relief and she has a lot of back-class and has won at a much higher level. She also draws well and comes out of the Gillis barn. (9) VOELZ HANOVER was used twice in the mile and that took its toll on her. She's eight-years-old and I think if she's not hard-pressed in the early going, she's very competitive in here.

Race 8

(6) YACKETY YAK faces an easier group of horses in my opinion and is due for the win. He does have gate-speed, but can also race from behind and I think he may provide value. (1) LADY AT BAT made a break last week, but still finished her mile very strong. If she minds her manners, I think she's very competitive in this field as she also draws inside. (2) MAJESTIC TAGLET raced very well last week considering she was on the outside for most of the mile. I like her chances from a much better post.

Race 9

This class is pretty much the Fillies & Mares Preferred, but without MONKEY ON MY WHEEL, so I'm going to select (8) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE as my top pick. With no ''Monkey' I think she's the horse to beat as she has been racing terrific as of late. (2) ADDISON BAY raced terrific last start considering the class jump. She posted a terrific :27 1/5 final quarter to finish third and begins from the inside once again.(7) BAROCKEY still might provide some value as she drops out of the Preferred level and I think at this class, she's very capable of being a part of the triactor. Keep in mind that she has won five of nine starts this season.

Race 10

(3) LETS GO GET EM drops in class and I think she's more competitive in this bottom level. She's due for a win as she's winless in 2013 and I think it could happen in here. (1) SHADYS M THREE also gets class relief and draws inside. She's hit the board in two of her last three starts and continues to drop time. (9) MEMUMSNOTNICE will have to overcome post nine to be a factor and I hope her gate-speed comes into play in here. I don't like her chances if she's taken to the back. She's very capable if positioned well off the start.

Race 11

(3) ST LADS DUDE is fresh off a claim and remains at the same level. He's been very competitive in this class and draws well once again. Don't expect to see much value. (8) GENTLEMAN FRIEND had to go three-wide very early last week before the top of the stretch and that caused him to tire late. At this level, I like his chances of hitting the board and he's proven to be very competitive in this field. (7) DUKE DID IT was put on the front last week by Byron and parked a pair of horses during the process. I hope his gate-speed comes into play, because he's a very good option to consider and I doubt he'll offer a price.

 

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