03/04/2015 3:54PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 3/6 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3,5/3,4/3,4,10/9 = $12

MEET STATS: 85 - 260 / $458.70  BEST BETS: 11 - 25 / $50.00 

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 24 / $54.10


Spot Play: JET HOT STUFF (6th)

Race 1

(6) ILLSEEUINCOURT performed decently in the General Brock series then went to London and notched a nice first-over win in the Preferred. Returning to the big track he's the one to beat in here for leading trainer Moreau; top call. (9) HEADSAREGONNA TURN continues to unleash a big kick at the end of his miles but needs to be close enough at the head of the lane which is hard to predict from the 9-hole. He will be coming for a slice, at least. (4) MUSICAL SPELL was called to win and converted from far back vs. weaker. This is tougher but he is a factor in his current sharp condition.

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Race 2

(3) WAKE N BAKE was motoring noticeably late in the Miss Vera Bars final and should be able to lay closer here which will give her every chance to turn the tables on anticipated favorite (6) MAPLELEA, who was no match for the winner of the same dash but was a clear 2nd. (2) HAPPY ENDING GAL set the pace early and faltered, also in the same race. She could do better here with less early speed to contend with.

Race 3

(2) MARQUISE DE SARAH missed 3 weeks and still almost prevailed off a tough trip last week. She will be tighter now and is the one to beat. (3) RUBIS PRESCOTT gets very little respect at the windows but it doesn't bother her much as she brings 3 wins and a 2nd in her past 4 starts - most at big odds - into this race. Respect her form and consistency. (1) D GS PESQUERO worked out her usual good trip and fell just short. She should get another great trip here from the rail and share as she typically does.

Race 4

(5) KISS ME OR NOT moves into the Auciello barn and drops in class here. Look for a speed try from this one. (3) MACHET ROCKET also switches barns and drops in class; she could reverse this prediction. (1) MILEYS BIG WORLD showed good improvement late in her mile last week and is an upset possibility tonight.

Race 5

(4) STAR OF THUNDER had his best race of the year last out- now moves into the Moreau barn and gets Lasix; lots to like here. (3) TELLMEHOWYOULIKEIT dropped out of the General Brock series and came up with an improved performance last week. If Drury can keep him closer he might be able to spring the upset. (8) LUCK IS ALL INEED continues to burn win pool money on a weekly basis but is a good one for the bottom of tri keys.

Race 6

(4) JET HOT STUFF was flying in the final yards of last week's mile and has made a similar step up in class off a good mile previously to spring a huge upset. Let's make her tonight's Spot Play. (3) REGALLY READY reversed tactics last week and kicked home with an impressive final 1/4. Keep her on your early pick 4 tickets. (10) LIGHTS GO OUT is obviously the best mare in here but if she leaves 10th again, then what? Your call.

Race 7

(9) ARTISTIC MADISON powered away from her opponents last week earning a lifetime best speed badge in the process. Back in the same class she is very tough to go against. (4) PAID IN CASH had a very productive campaign until December/January when her form soured a bit. She has been freshened and comes in with a nice qualifier under her belt. She looks like a good exotics possibility here. (8) PL HURRICANE made several moves and was still only beat 3/4 of a length. She is another that should get a slice here.

Race 8

(5) JUSTABIT MEAN was ready to go first out but suffered a very long and pressured journey. That likely tightened her up even more and she gets top billing here. (10) CAST NO SHADOW has impressively won all three of her 2015 starts but the 10-hole could be her undoing here. (6) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS was closing rapidly at the end of her mile and should contend here.

Race 9

(3) BET YA raced huge from the 10-hole last week against a mare that took a lifetime mark. Tonight's the night to pounce as she should produce her best of the year so far and (1) ARTISTIC FUSION will be heavily favoured, as usual. The latter is obviously the one to beat, but not unbeatable. (4) PUTMEINTOGO takes a big plunge in class from the Mares Preferred which should also help the price on our choice.

Race 10

There appears to be ample early speed in here to set this up for a capable closer so we'll call (1) VELOCITY LANA on top after her impressive season's debut last week. (4) A LOT OF SENSE is another that can fly late and get a good piece of this. (8) YOUR MY SECRET blew a weaker field away but was unchallenged throughout while taking several breathers. That same trip is highly unlikely here. (7) CONTATA made two moves in her Woodbine debut and hung in there pretty well. She should get a share here. (5) PINOT GRIGIO is 2-2 but the waters get deeper here vs. much better.

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