02/03/2016 4:50PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/5 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 4,8/5,6,7/2,6,7/5,7,9/2,4,7 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 5,7,9/2,4,7/3,5/1,3,5,6 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 6,7/2,5/5,7/1,2,3,5 = $32

MEET STATS: 226 - 706 / $1211.70  BEST BETS: 37 - 65 / $128.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 65 / $191.30

Best Bet: ELDORADO GOLD S (1st)

Spot Play: HIDDEN IDENTITY (7th)

Race 1

(4) ELDORADO OF GOLD S comes into this sporting an ugly most recent chart line, but if he can duplicate his effort from two back, he'll roll these. (8) ASPEN CALIFORNIA raced well in the Lifetime Dream series and looks like the main threat to the choice. (2) MISSYS GA GA moves into the top barn but will still likely be a big price due to her sketchy form. Kadabras can come up with dramatic improvement with no warning so she is worth considering here.

Race 2

(5) NEW STANDARD continues to be raced passively and close belatedly. Perhaps the small field here will allow him to get into position to win. (6) WAR N MUNN sports an interesting qualifier parked the route in some wicked fractions. That could have him fit enough as he debuts for Auciello here. (7) ST LADS CHARGER won a leg of the Snowshoe series and this group appears to be much easier. You have to put him on your Pick 5 ticket.

Race 3

(6) THREE TRUTHS got a clean line last week now gets Filion back, returns in 7 days and should be better here considering all of those factors; top call. (7) BIG BANG BOOM hasn't been strong enough down the lane his last two but a sub-28 third 1/4 likely was a big reason last week; using. (2) SHADOWFALL returns from a short break sporting a good qualifier and adds Lasix. He is a contender here.

Race 4

(9) ADAYMER SEELSTER faces the easiest field she has met in a long time and might offer a decent price starting farthest out; slight nod. (7) NEVERSAIDIWASSWEET raced okay twice vs. better after being claimed by Stewart and is likely primed for a big speed try here. (5) WHISTYS PARADISE faced a tough group last week and took a share. Dropping down gives her a big chance to score here. Use all three of these mares in the early pick 4.

Race 5

(2) WILDCAT MAGIC was too far back last time to threaten but moving inside here makes her a top contender. (4) BAROCKEY is obvious on the big class drop but will likely be wildly overbet. (7) MAPPOS MOENHAY raced out of her skin and took a new life's mark the only time she raced out of Moreau's barn on Jan. 15 and she goes for him here on the reclaim; don't take her lightly.

Race 6

(3) MUCH ADOO comes into this series in sharp form and will be tough here from close range. (5) SHOW SOME LEG showed speed vs. some tough elders last time and fits well here. Notice the win over the choice two back. (6) DOUBLE OLIVES tripped out behind several pace battles in the Blizzard Final and may be a bit overbet here, but she certainly figures.

Race 7

(5) HIDDEN IDENTITY has raced against much better for several weeks and may offer a square price here based on his most recent line; top call. (3) SCARY GOOD is hard to love on top considering he has won only one of his past 58 starts, but he's been racing okay for McNair who does move certain horses up and this is a really weak field. (1) THANKYOUKESSEL has won here off a layoff before and stacks up okay on ability in a field with few contenders.

Race 8

(7) TWIN B SWEETHEART took a new life's mark last week and could register a slight upset here if she can land in the pocket of the likely favorite (6) AMAZING CONTROL, who looks like the one to beat here. Slight nod to the former. (3) MACH MAGIC qualified decently twice and should pick up a minor share.

Race 9

(2) REGALLY READY was an impressive winner last week and Zeron may have her figured out now. She'll have to beat class-dropping (5) WAASMULA but the former is sure to offer a better price. (6) ROCK N ROLL XAMPLE tumbles in class for her third start of the year and should wake up with a better effort.

Race 10

(5) HOPE FOR PADDY drops for her 2nd start in Montini's barn and should show more here. (7) MISS COCO LUCK steps up off a win but could turn into a pocket rocket here and score at a better price. (2) MURRAYFIELD drops and should take a smaller share.

Race 11

(2) OLIVIAS WAY makes her 2nd start for trainer Johnson after being bottled up much of the way last week. She should get a more aggressive steer here. (3) WAR FILLY is showing the signs but needs a better start. (5) ADDISON BAY is a classy veteran that figures here as a recipient of some class relief. (1) BOAT HOUSE ROW got scorched from the 10-hole last time and figures to get a much better trip here. (8) ONYOURMARKNATAVA rarely gets bet yet often rolls up late for a slice; using.

[PICK FIVE CARRYOVER: Derick Giwner's video analysis of the $18,653 Friday Meadowlands carryover]