02/18/2015 4:52PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/20 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,7,8 / 5 / 2,3,8 / 1,6,8 = $27

MEET STATS: 70 - 198 / $391.70  BEST BETS: 9 - 19 / $38.10 

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 18 / $54.10

Best Bet: BAGS FOR ALL (5th)

Spot Play: DIALAMARA (6th)

Race 1

(10) MUSCLE GEM was handed over by Wassilyn to Moreau and immediately showed some of the trot in his qualifier that made him a 1:55 1/5 winner at three; call despite the long layoff. (4) MUSICAL SPELL drops out of the General Brock series where he was a decent 4fh last week. He's the one to best. (8) LUCK IS ALL I NEED continues to grab minor shares but may need a trip to a 'B' track to break her maiden.

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Race 2

(3) O NARUTAC PERFETTO suffered interference while way back at the half and trotted his own back half in :56 just to get close. Henry will look to lay closer and make amends here. (7) ESCUELA continued her string of good performances by getting the jump on the choice and converting. She has been sharp all winter and is the one to beat. (2) WILD AND CRAZY GUY left hard for the front, yielded and came on again late to just miss in the same dash as the two above. He's in with a shot but has a penchant for minor awards.

Race 3

(5) A FILLY AFFAIR looked as though she would reach up late but was repelled by a very good winner. She is very sharp now and merits top call here. (4) WINDSONG JACOBA was on a front end mission from the outset last out and got no help from two that parked the mile and pushed her all the way. She could be tough in here. (3) DOUBLE JOY is one that almost always rides the pylons and comes on for a share. Tonight will likely be no different.

Race 4

(7) ARTISTIC MADISON was a refund last time after breaking long before the gate reached the start but she rebounded with an impressive qualifier in which she produced a sub-:56 back half. Maybe whatever issues she had on February 6th have been straightened out. (8) LOTSA MATZAH shipped in last week and went right down the road impressively repelling the pocket-sitter late. She is the one to beat. (2) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS showed some good late kick in her Woodbine debut and could go much better here.

Race 5

(5) BAGS FOR ALL raced Monday night and was 2nd to the dominant winner of the General Brock series. He will be tough to take down as a prohibitive favorite in here. (9) HIE BENNY likely benefits from the move off the rail where he can use his good early speed more effectively to get early position, He has held his form well the past month. (7) RAMAS LAST SON dropped into this class last week and strutted his stuff on the front end. His improving form should be respected.

Race 6

(8) DIALAMARA made several moves but was repelled by (3) CONVERSATION BOY late in a quickening pace. They look like the two best here in the Count B Final but we'll stick with the former who is sure to be a better price and may get a better trip from an outer post. (2) HIS BOY ELROY took advantage of a big third 1/4 battle to vault by the leaders late and he is coming up to the final the right way; respect.

Race 7

Pretty tough to go against (8) ROLLTIDEROLL who continues to roll right along, so we won't. One scenario that could see her get picked off would be if (6) KIKISKISSINKOUSIN could sit the pocket behind her for the route then come out late which is quite possible. (1) PRINCESS BABY ELLA looks like the only other one in with a shot as she was stifled by poor cover last time but came on well late for 2nd.

Race 8

(4) MISS COCO LUCK drops after taking a shuffle in a dash won by the red-hot Murrayfield. She can take this group with a reasonable trip. (1) RUB N TUG has hit some of the best form of her life and will be formidable again from the rail. (8) BACK YARD BABY was given a poor steer last week resulting in her taking way too much air. A return to her regular pilot puts her back in the mix.

Race 9

(1) STRIKING LINDSEY, the class of this group, passed them all but one in the lane in his first start in 9 months on Monday night. The one that beat him would dust this group as well. He gets top call here but is likely to take lots of action at the windows. (5) JOSEPH GERARD has also improved his form and comes in with a solid second to a very good winner last week. He figures highly here. (2) BLUSH AND CRUSH has gone two long trips vs. some tough claimers and could surprise these if she could get covered up longer.

Race 10

(9) PACIFIC WINE ships in and switches to a high percentage barn while facing many with suspect recent form; top call. (4) ST LADS PENNY LANE takes a class plunge to a level where her late kick should come into play again. (5) I GOT TO BOOGIE also drops to a new low and should show more here. (1) CHAMPAGNE SHOWER drops out of a stakes series and should ride the pylons for a share here. (3) SEASIDE RORY is usually closing for a minor share and is likely to make the ticket.

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