02/11/2015 4:26PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/13 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


4,8 / 3,5 / 1,4,5,6 / 4,7,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 64 - 166 / $364.40  BEST BETS: 9 - 16 / $38.10

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 15 / $54.20

Best Bet: DIALAMARA (2nd)

Spot Play: MISS POPPYCOCK (11th)

Race 1

(1) CAMVICTED continues to roll right along and is unlikely to see his win skein snapped here although there will be no value in the win pool on him. (5) HIS BOY ELROY tried the choice first-over and paid the price last week. He could complete the exacta here with a covered trip. (3) LEGION OF BOOM left hard last week but lost all chance when he broke on the backside. He is likely to be overbet on the bottom of the exacta; we'll try to beat him.

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Race 2

(2) DIALAMARA, the night's BEST BET, was ready to roll as expected and used a 26 3/5 third 1/4 to get into position first up to get the job done. He looks formidable again. (6) NEWBIE hung in there well after setting the pace vs. the choice. His consistency is to be respected. (1) CONVERSATION BOY made a move to the front down the backside but couldn't contain the choice who overpowered him. The top one just looks better at this stage.

Race 3

(7) TOSCA wasn't able to get out where she would have liked to early last time due to numerous leavers inside of her. She may be able to get a better spot early and convert here. (6) FLEXIBLE WOMAN couldn't match strides with the hot Hie Benny last week but showed improvement and is likely coming up to her best race now. (5) FEDERAL ARMY has been racing great at London but will need to show more speed here to contend on the big track.

Race 4

(4) KIKISKISSINKOUSIN had pace in the lane and only ran out of racetrack or she'd have been a winner last week. She should get another pocket trip behind (8) ROLLTIDEROLL who managed to hem her in long enough to keep her at bay. The former gets a slight edge here. (3) JANIE BAY tried the top two first up and couldn't keep pace. She could be closer with a less stressful trip.

Race 5

(5) O NARUTAC PERFETTO got a more aggressive steer from Henry last week as expected and it resulted in a blowout win. Call right back. (3) EXQUISITE GLIDE waited and waited to fish out some cover and none took the bait. By the time he decided to go it was too late. He can rebound here. (1) HIE BENNY has been on a roll in NW2 but these are much tougher. A minor award may be his ceiling here.

Race 6

(1) A FILLY AFFAIR was first up on an extremely cold night and kept coming in a very good effort. Drury should be able to carve out a better trip from the rail here and the price should be decent; top call. (4) TOTAL LEE did all the roadwork and was only nailed in the absolute final stride in the same heat. She's the one to beat. (5) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR motored by them both at a huge price in her comeback race. The question is, can she replicate that effort?

Race 7

(4) REGALLY READY looks ready to roll for Menary here and needs to make an immediate impact to get into the Final. She could be the one to end (8) ARTISTIC FUSION's win streak right here. (7) BET YA put in a good comeback mile although stalling a bit in the lane. She can go better here.

Race 8

(1) MURRAYFIELD produced one the best miles of her career last week with great speed both early and late in the mile. She is tough to go against here off that much-improved effort. (7) ROCK N ROLL EXAMPLE was seen getting beat by only two lengths in the Mistletoe Shallee when last on a racetrack and is the obvious class. She is the other one that should be on your late pick 4 tickets. (3) EAT ME UP rarely wins but is a great one to use in triactors and supers.

Race 9

(6) GRANDE DIABLO was called to win last week first time in Moreau's barn and showed some nice grit and determination late to convert. Call to repeat. (8) SOUTHWIND WARSAW just about chased down the choice first-over and is the obvious one to fend off again. (1) FALCOR BLUESTONE came up with his best performance in months last week and should be used on wider pick 4 tickets.

Race 10

Two class droppers seem to have the best chance in this weak field and we'll give the edge to (6) AFTER ALIMONY, who showed great improvement last week in Murrayfield's quick mile. (5) MACHET ROCKET exits the same heat but was farther back than normal and couldn't close into a rapid last quarter. Use both of these in the pick 4 and this race should be covered. (7) ALL CHOCOLATE showed a bit of life in her last two miles and may be rounding back into form. She should get a minor share here.

Race 11

The finale looks like a dash that will feature lots of action and seems tailor made for a classic Christoforou steer tipping (4) MISS POPPYCOCK off cover late to reach up. We'll give her the nod. (9) A REAL COMMITMENT has maintained her sharpness the entire month and is a big threat again although the 9 hole doesn't help. (2) I GOT TO BOOGIE gave futile chase to class-dropping Rubis Prescott but now takes a class plunge herself; using. (1) WINDSONG JACOBA was first up in a race where the late pace was rapid. She should get a better trip here and a slice as a result. (5) RUB N TUG should leave and take cover similar to last week and make the high-5 ticket on one of the lower rungs.

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